Old Rocks
Diamond Member
Predicting the track has become quite accurate. Predicting intensity changes is still a challenge.
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Of course, you could watch the lecture, and actually learn something, instead of remaining a complete and ignorant ass.
Really, you are demonstrating what a dumb ass you are. Ever hear of chaos theory? Not going to happen. However, the accuracy that they have attained has saved thousands of lives, as it gives enough warning for people to evacuate, and harden property against the wind and rain. And they are working on honing that accuracy, so as to save even more lives, and give better warning of intensity. In the meantime, you sit there, making fun of the work they are doing. You really sound like a total ass.
They already can! Anytime the weather changes, it's because of manmade global warming. They have a 100% hindsight prediction record.Wow, amazing. I wonder when they'll be able to predict weather changes.
If you consider predicting that a hurricane presently in the Caribbean will make landfall in the Yucatan, or Houston, or Miami, or Hilton Head or Fort Lee NJ accurate, sure, have at it
Predicting the track has become quite accurate. Predicting intensity changes is still a challenge.
Predicting the track has become quite accurate. Predicting intensity changes is still a challenge.
What motivated you to post this, Old Rocks?
Tropical Storm ACE is not increasing.
The cone of uncertainty is massive. Its like saying the center of the target is red when you'r throwing darts at the side of a red barn.
100% Confidence that Hurricane Irma is headed west, more than that is anyone's guess
What a lie. Yes, they can predict the track for the next 24 hours very well. And do pretty well on the next 48. As for the difference in the models, had you actually bothered to listen to what the scientists were presenting, you would know how they use those differences. But then, if you actually were to listen to scientists, you would not be a 'Conservative'.We have a dozen satellites and sophisticated computers dedicated to weather forecasting and for some reason the weather people seem conflicted between the U.S. and the European "model" and they can't chart the day to day movement of a hurricane within hundreds of miles.
What a lie. Yes, they can predict the track for the next 24 hours very well. And do pretty well on the next 48. As for the difference in the models, had you actually bothered to listen to what the scientists were presenting, you would know how they use those differences. But then, if you actually were to listen to scientists, you would not be a 'Conservative'.We have a dozen satellites and sophisticated computers dedicated to weather forecasting and for some reason the weather people seem conflicted between the U.S. and the European "model" and they can't chart the day to day movement of a hurricane within hundreds of miles.
The National Hurricane Center 'updates' their track forecasts every 6 hours.. they have greater than 20% changes every 6 hours. The models don't do well from either side of the pond.What a lie. Yes, they can predict the track for the next 24 hours very well. And do pretty well on the next 48. As for the difference in the models, had you actually bothered to listen to what the scientists were presenting, you would know how they use those differences. But then, if you actually were to listen to scientists, you would not be a 'Conservative'.We have a dozen satellites and sophisticated computers dedicated to weather forecasting and for some reason the weather people seem conflicted between the U.S. and the European "model" and they can't chart the day to day movement of a hurricane within hundreds of miles.
Yes they make good 24 forecasts, but they still change 24 hours later anyway.
Surely you have seen how often the CHANGE their forecasts?