How many seats will the Rep/Tea Party pick up in the House?

[CrusaderFrank]

Dems have lost the following groups: moderates, Jews, the elderly, the sick, the healthy, the employed and the unemployed.

The non-living and blacks will still go 95% for Democrats.

 

[Cuyo]

Dems have lost the following groups: moderates, Jews, the elderly, the sick, the healthy the employed and the unemployed.

The non-living and blacks will still go 95% for Democrats.

Well, yes, them and high school graduates. Perhaps 300-lb inbred 7-month pregnant women who smoke 3 packs a day will still vote Republican.

 

[Article 15]

Dems have lost the following groups: moderates, Jews, the elderly, the sick, the healthy the employed and the unemployed.

The non-living and blacks will still go 95% for Democrats.

Well, yes, them and high school graduates. Perhaps 300-lb inbred 7-month pregnant women who smoke 3 packs a day will still vote Republican.

Oh, baby, that's hot!

Slow down a bit though, there's no need to rush this.

Awwwwwwwwww Yeeahhhhhhhhhh

 

[sarahgop]

45 house seats 8 senate seats 10 govs seats

 

[NYcarbineer]

The Tea Party will win no seats because there is no Tea Party.

Be assured however that the tea party dimwits will take credit for every seat Republicans win, while simultaneously continuing to deny that they are nothing more than de facto Republicans.

 

[jillian]

Perhaps, but I was pretty shocked when they didn't do it in PA-12.

or NY-21.

and now it looks as though Crist is going to beat Rubio pretty solidly for the FL senate seat.

Crist? The Republican turned Independent leading by a whopping 4.8 pts (avg spread from RCP) in July? "Pretty solidly"???

A little early to be counting those chickens, isn't it?

he was trailing rubio.

then he was tied with rubio...

now he's ahead of rubio.

he has a 60% approval rating as governor.

if he doesn't win, i'd be shocked. and i thought this thread was simply predictive....

i saw lots of insane tea party preidictions on this thread. at least mine is based on something rational.

 

[Sarah G]

45 house seats 8 senate seats 10 govs seats

Republican numbers for November were always exaggerated, inflated and nothing more than a guestimate. Rubio is falling like the big, dumb boulder he is. Reid is taking Nevada and nobody predicted that..

Both of these examples are the result of bad decision making on the part of GOP voters. The chicken lady would have had a better chance of taking Nevada from Reid.

Even with the corporate vote, Republicans are struggling. That doesn't look good at all...

 

[saveliberty]

Boxer leads by three points. Yes, sleep well liberals. Just ignore this election until January 2011. lol

 

[ScienceRocks]

45 house seats 8 senate seats 10 govs seats

I think that is very possible. We will see.

 

[Avatar4321]

I'm tired of predicting things I don't know.

I'd rather focus on earning those seats and see the results when we recieve them.

 

[Dr.House]

or NY-21.

and now it looks as though Crist is going to beat Rubio pretty solidly for the FL senate seat.

Crist? The Republican turned Independent leading by a whopping 4.8 pts (avg spread from RCP) in July? "Pretty solidly"???

A little early to be counting those chickens, isn't it?

he was trailing rubio.

then he was tied with rubio...

now he's ahead of rubio.

he has a 60% approval rating as governor.

if he doesn't win, i'd be shocked. and i thought this thread was simply predictive....

i saw lots of insane tea party preidictions on this thread. at least mine is based on something rational.

He went ahead when he switched to Independent... I believe that gave him a 6-8 point advantage (6 or 8, not sure) after he announced... that lead has apparently gone down since then since then... It's even gone down since I said 4.8 - now it's 4.4....

I disagree on the rationality, but hey - we disagree on a lot...lol

Kudos for the "Crist is going to beat Rubio pretty solidly" prediction, though... I couldn't make one in this race at this point inn time if you begged me...

As Billy Joel once said "You may be wrong but you may be right"....

 

[SFC Ollie]

I think that 45 and 8 prediction is pretty close. Of course many many things can change in 4 months

 

[Sarah G]

I'm tired of predicting things I don't know.

I'd rather focus on earning those seats and see the results when we recieve them.

Iow, you're not all that confident that the teaparty running against a Democrat might be a whole different animal than running against Rs in the primaries?

 

[midcan5]

"The best argument against democracy is a five-minute conversation with the average voter." Winston Churchill

After the complete failure of the republicans to govern, electing them again makes no sense, but sense is often a rare commodity.

"Why Conservatives Can't Govern" by Alan Wolfe


W. and the damage done - Global warming - Salon.com

 

[Pepe]

According to Cook, Rasmussen, and a few others the Pubs should take the House.

I believe the hapless Pubs will also pick up 6-8 in the Senate.

There is an off chance that the Pubs may take the Senate but I doubt it.

That means "gridlock."

Not enough to undo the massive damage Obama has done to the Empire but enough to kill the rest of the Socialist Agenda.

Gridlock is good for the Taxpayers.

 

[Apollo]

30 and 5

and that's if they're lucky. the GOP could still shoot themselves in the foot in quite a few senate races.

oh how badly i want a divided gov't...

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

30 and 5

and that's if they're lucky.

That's more like the minimum they'll get at the rate this Congress and President are fucking up and pissing off everyone.

 

[Apollo]

30 and 5

and that's if they're lucky.

That's more like the minimum they'll get at the rate this Congress and President are fucking up and pissing off everyone.

you underestimate the public's reluctance to boot incumbents at your own peril, especially as they open up their war chests this fall. during a severe economic recession, the pork they bring home takes on much more significance--those in any position of seniority will do everything to emphasize that point in nearly every ad blitz. don't be surprised if this doesn't turn out to be the huge wave year we'd like it to be. in the upper house, there are numerous senate races that are far from as solid as the GOP would like, and the playing field isn't nearly as favorable as it will be in two and four years. no way they pick up more than 5 if they lose races in MO, OH, FL, etc., as is entirely possible.

 

[CrusaderFrank]

The RNC is doing everything it can to keep it competitive, Steele is still in, Republicans might only pick up 20 if the RNC has its way

 

[Avatar4321]

I'm tired of predicting things I don't know.

I'd rather focus on earning those seats and see the results when we recieve them.

Iow, you're not all that confident that the teaparty running against a Democrat might be a whole different animal than running against Rs in the primaries?

No, in other words there is alot going to happen between now and then and pretending that everyone is going to win based solely on an idealogical basis seems like a pretty silly thing to do.

And no, I don't know that they will beat the Democrats. I pray that they do. But I don't know anything and I think being overconfident will cause us to fall.

But I don't think the solution to the nation is found in it's politicians. I think it's found in the people.