Bassman007
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- Sep 10, 2015
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http://nypost.com/2016/04/30/how-donald-trump-beats-hillary-clinton/
Absent an alien invasion, the zombie apocalypse or the sudden re-annexation of California by Mexico, Donald Trump will be the Republican candidate for president. Itâs time to move on to the real question: Can he beat Hillary Clinton?
Youâre darn right he can.
This runs contrary to conventional wisdom, of course. Then again, conventional wisdom also said (a) that he wouldnât run, (b) that establishment candidates like Jeb Bush, Scott Walker and Rick Perry would crush him in the primaries and (c) that the Republican electorate would never accept a social liberal who donates lavishly across the political spectrum and doesnât seem terribly interested in any ideology other than âAmerica First.â
Whatâs more, Trumpâs foes on both sides of the aisle note that the Democrats current structural advantage in the Electoral College, where they walk in the door with big states like California (55 votes), New York (29) and Illinois (20) already in the bag, make it almost impossible for the GOP candidate to get to the magic number of 270.
They gleefully point to surveys showing that either Ted Cruz or John Kasich â the winner of exactly one primary â would fare better hypothetically against Clinton in the general election. Indeed, 90 percent of âtop operativesâ in battleground swing states recently assured Politico that Clinton will clobber Trump.
Polls, however, can change. Already, one survey has Trump within 3 points, and a recent Rasmussen poll showed Clinton and Trump tied at 38 percent apiece. Trump has already picked up 5 points on Clinton in just the past month. And while itâs true that Trump currently has high negatives among voters (62 percent), so does Hillary (56 percent).
Further, the media has consistently underestimated Trumpâs genuine appeal to the white working class, which is tired of being the one group in America itâs OK to scorn.
What doesnât take Trump down only makes him stronger and more popular. Every rival whoâs rushed him headlong has been eliminated.
Does anyone think that, in the debates, Hillary will be able to withstand the blunt-force trauma the braggadocious billionaire deployed to knock Jeb and his other rivals out of the race?
Trump wonât hesitate to hammer her, and everything from Monica Lewinsky and Bubbaâs âbimbo eruptionsâ to Whitewater, to Benghazi will be on the table. Heâll also saddle her with the miserable Obama economy â seven straight years of anemic growth below 3 percent, the coal industry collapsing, a record number of able-bodied men and women out of the workforce. Millions will cheer.
In the last few primaries, Trump outperformed his poll numbers by 6 percent (New York) to 12 percent (Pennsylvania). Which indicates that â surprise â folks sometimes lie to pollsters even as they secretly admire Trumpâs freewheeling positions on such hot-button issues as illegal immigration, Islamic terrorism and the Obama administrationâs diplomatic ineptitude.
Finally, thereâs this: What doesnât take Trump down only makes him stronger and more popular. Every rival whoâs rushed him headlong has been eliminated. Every time he says something thatâs the âlast straw,â his numbers jump.
In the end, of course, it will come down to turnout. Can Trump pick up enough disaffected Democrats in places like Pennsylvania and Ohio to offset the Democratsâ advantage among minorities and force them to play defense in states they normally take for granted?
Not since the bitter Adams-Jefferson election of 1800 will the nation have seen such a no-holds-barred, down-and-dirty slugfest. But after 16 years of misguided Bush interventionism and pallid Obama apathy, the momentum is on Trumpâs side.
So say hello to the new real estate wing at Guantanamo Bay resort Hilly..............
Absent an alien invasion, the zombie apocalypse or the sudden re-annexation of California by Mexico, Donald Trump will be the Republican candidate for president. Itâs time to move on to the real question: Can he beat Hillary Clinton?
Youâre darn right he can.
This runs contrary to conventional wisdom, of course. Then again, conventional wisdom also said (a) that he wouldnât run, (b) that establishment candidates like Jeb Bush, Scott Walker and Rick Perry would crush him in the primaries and (c) that the Republican electorate would never accept a social liberal who donates lavishly across the political spectrum and doesnât seem terribly interested in any ideology other than âAmerica First.â
Whatâs more, Trumpâs foes on both sides of the aisle note that the Democrats current structural advantage in the Electoral College, where they walk in the door with big states like California (55 votes), New York (29) and Illinois (20) already in the bag, make it almost impossible for the GOP candidate to get to the magic number of 270.
They gleefully point to surveys showing that either Ted Cruz or John Kasich â the winner of exactly one primary â would fare better hypothetically against Clinton in the general election. Indeed, 90 percent of âtop operativesâ in battleground swing states recently assured Politico that Clinton will clobber Trump.
Polls, however, can change. Already, one survey has Trump within 3 points, and a recent Rasmussen poll showed Clinton and Trump tied at 38 percent apiece. Trump has already picked up 5 points on Clinton in just the past month. And while itâs true that Trump currently has high negatives among voters (62 percent), so does Hillary (56 percent).
Further, the media has consistently underestimated Trumpâs genuine appeal to the white working class, which is tired of being the one group in America itâs OK to scorn.
What doesnât take Trump down only makes him stronger and more popular. Every rival whoâs rushed him headlong has been eliminated.
Does anyone think that, in the debates, Hillary will be able to withstand the blunt-force trauma the braggadocious billionaire deployed to knock Jeb and his other rivals out of the race?
Trump wonât hesitate to hammer her, and everything from Monica Lewinsky and Bubbaâs âbimbo eruptionsâ to Whitewater, to Benghazi will be on the table. Heâll also saddle her with the miserable Obama economy â seven straight years of anemic growth below 3 percent, the coal industry collapsing, a record number of able-bodied men and women out of the workforce. Millions will cheer.
In the last few primaries, Trump outperformed his poll numbers by 6 percent (New York) to 12 percent (Pennsylvania). Which indicates that â surprise â folks sometimes lie to pollsters even as they secretly admire Trumpâs freewheeling positions on such hot-button issues as illegal immigration, Islamic terrorism and the Obama administrationâs diplomatic ineptitude.
Finally, thereâs this: What doesnât take Trump down only makes him stronger and more popular. Every rival whoâs rushed him headlong has been eliminated. Every time he says something thatâs the âlast straw,â his numbers jump.
In the end, of course, it will come down to turnout. Can Trump pick up enough disaffected Democrats in places like Pennsylvania and Ohio to offset the Democratsâ advantage among minorities and force them to play defense in states they normally take for granted?
Not since the bitter Adams-Jefferson election of 1800 will the nation have seen such a no-holds-barred, down-and-dirty slugfest. But after 16 years of misguided Bush interventionism and pallid Obama apathy, the momentum is on Trumpâs side.
So say hello to the new real estate wing at Guantanamo Bay resort Hilly..............