FYI, I believe this is an online poll. Online polls tend to be less reliable.
I think Reuters has two different polls...I believe both online.
This is their daily tracking poll, I don't give this one too much credit:
Follow the latest Reuters/Ipsos polls on everything from politics and elections, to social issues and current events.
Then there is the Ipsos poll which this thread is about and 538 gives them an A- rating. So, they are rated well however I have the same distrust of online polls as you do.
So they poll 1000 people out of 330,000,000 and claim that it means something? Really?
Pay me to do a poll, tell me the result you want, and I will find 1000 "random" people to give you that answer. Its statistical bullshit.
Even the great Steven Hawking would agree with that.
That's how polls work and their success rates are rated, we can actually see how they have performed in the past. We knew the winner of most elections due to polling. Those of us who took polling seriously knew that Romney was going to lose in 2012. Stick your head in the sand if you want but polls are for the most part pretty accurate.
They are no better than educated guesses. They are statistically garbage. The sample size is so small that it is meaningless mathematically.
That's my point, yes, some of them have guessed correctly, so have I, so have you.
It's not meaningless mathematically. You keep saying that.
Yes, it is. Go to your local library and check out a stat 101 text book. Unless a sample is 5% of the population it is not statistically meaningful.
I fully understand how the pollsters claim that their tiny samples are structured to proportionally represent every demographic in the country-------------but its bullshit.
Do you really think they can take 1000 people and accurately proportionally represent every demographic in the USA? Think about it.