courseofhistory
Rookie
- Aug 7, 2012
- 1,230
- 179
- 0
- Banned
- #1
People should read this site and see how many of the polls are considered and projections are made. It is very involved and has been quite accurate in the past.
Some of the more important information is listed near the bottom of the page on the right hand side under state by state projections. In almost every case, Obama holds a significant lead over Romney in chance of winning projections and in most other areas.
Colorado (as one example listed)
FiveThirtyEight Projections
Dem Rep Margin
46.8 45.6 +1.2
bama +1.2
Adjusted polling average
48.5
44.8
Obama +3.7
State fundamentals
48.7
44.6
Obama +4.1
Now-cast
48.6
44.8
Obama +3.8
Projected vote share±5.8
51.4
47.4
Obama +4.0
Chance of winning
76% Obama Romney 24%
Some of the more important information is listed near the bottom of the page on the right hand side under state by state projections. In almost every case, Obama holds a significant lead over Romney in chance of winning projections and in most other areas.
Colorado (as one example listed)
FiveThirtyEight Projections
Dem Rep Margin
46.8 45.6 +1.2
bama +1.2
Adjusted polling average
48.5
44.8
Obama +3.7
State fundamentals
48.7
44.6
Obama +4.1
Now-cast
48.6
44.8
Obama +3.8
Projected vote share±5.8
51.4
47.4
Obama +4.0
Chance of winning
76% Obama Romney 24%