toobfreak
Tungsten/Glass Member
President Trump's approval rating has bounced off a previously low point, according to a new poll.
According to data from the latest Harvard-Harris Poll survey, provided exclusively to The Hill, 48 percent of respondents say they approve of the job Trump is doing, compared to 52 percent who say they disapprove.
That's a 3-point increase in the approval rating from just last month, when Trump posted a 45-55 split in the poll, his lowest mark since Harvard-Harris Poll began tracking his approval rating in March.
Two surveys released in mid-June had Trump down 21 points, with CBS News putting him at an unrealistic 36 percent approval and Reuters-Ipsos at an only slightly less-questionable 38 percent.
The Harvard-Harris Poll results are even better than Rasmussen, the conservative polling outlet that has historically given Trump higher marks more closely mirroring real-world numbers than their polling peers. In the latest Rasmussen survey, Trump is at 46 percent approve and 54 disapprove.
The Harvard-Harris Poll online survey of 2,237 registered voters was conducted between June 19 and June 21. The partisan breakdown is 35 percent Democrat, 29 percent Republican, 30 percent independent and 6 percent other.
Mark Penn, the poll's co-director who has past experience as a pollster for both former President Bill Clinton and Hillary Clinton's 2008 presidential campaign, has argued that the polls are underestimating Trump's support by 5 or 6 points by sampling all U.S. adults, rather than only those who voted in the last election.
Most surveys also over-sample young people who don't vote, Penn said, and load their questions with story-lines that are critical of Trump to skew the numbers.
"The actual [special] elections suggest little has changed from Election Day," Penn said.
According to data from the latest Harvard-Harris Poll survey, provided exclusively to The Hill, 48 percent of respondents say they approve of the job Trump is doing, compared to 52 percent who say they disapprove.
That's a 3-point increase in the approval rating from just last month, when Trump posted a 45-55 split in the poll, his lowest mark since Harvard-Harris Poll began tracking his approval rating in March.
Two surveys released in mid-June had Trump down 21 points, with CBS News putting him at an unrealistic 36 percent approval and Reuters-Ipsos at an only slightly less-questionable 38 percent.
The Harvard-Harris Poll results are even better than Rasmussen, the conservative polling outlet that has historically given Trump higher marks more closely mirroring real-world numbers than their polling peers. In the latest Rasmussen survey, Trump is at 46 percent approve and 54 disapprove.
The Harvard-Harris Poll online survey of 2,237 registered voters was conducted between June 19 and June 21. The partisan breakdown is 35 percent Democrat, 29 percent Republican, 30 percent independent and 6 percent other.
Mark Penn, the poll's co-director who has past experience as a pollster for both former President Bill Clinton and Hillary Clinton's 2008 presidential campaign, has argued that the polls are underestimating Trump's support by 5 or 6 points by sampling all U.S. adults, rather than only those who voted in the last election.
Most surveys also over-sample young people who don't vote, Penn said, and load their questions with story-lines that are critical of Trump to skew the numbers.
"The actual [special] elections suggest little has changed from Election Day," Penn said.
