Economically, Could Obama Be America's Best President?

...Good to know we agree that the '03 tax cuts increased revenue...
...Correlation does not prove causation...
LOL --so you're now saying the tax-cuts did not cause the recession?

OK, so what we know for sure is that the rate cuts definitely did not reduce revenue, and that falling revenue changed to increasing revenue the minute the rate cuts came into effect. If someone said the evidence is merely circumstantial we'd have to remember that most trial virdicts are determined upon the presentation of overwhelming circumstantial evidence such as this.
 
...Good to know we agree that the '03 tax cuts increased revenue...
...Correlation does not prove causation...
LOL --so you're now saying the tax-cuts did not cause the recession?

OK, so what we know for sure is that the rate cuts definitely did not reduce revenue, and that falling revenue changed to increasing revenue the minute the rate cuts came into effect. If someone said the evidence is merely circumstantial we'd have to remember that most trial virdicts are determined upon the presentation of overwhelming circumstantial evidence such as this.

It takes a tiny mind to believe that everything that happened at the same time the tax cuts were in effect were caused by them.
 
...Good to know we agree that the '03 tax cuts increased revenue...
...Correlation does not prove causation...
LOL --so you're now saying the tax-cuts did not cause the recession?

OK, so what we know for sure is that the rate cuts definitely did not reduce revenue, and that falling revenue changed to increasing revenue the minute the rate cuts came into effect. If someone said the evidence is merely circumstantial we'd have to remember that most trial virdicts are determined upon the presentation of overwhelming circumstantial evidence such as this.

''OK, so what we know for sure is that the rate cuts definitely did not reduce revenue,''

We don't have any idea of the correlation between tax cuts and revenue. Anyone who assumes that tax cuts are the only variable that influences federal revenue is one pickle short of a full jar.
 
...Good to know we agree that the '03 tax cuts increased revenue...
...Correlation does not prove causation...
LOL --so you're now saying the tax-cuts did not cause the recession?

OK, so what we know for sure is that the rate cuts definitely did not reduce revenue, and that falling revenue changed to increasing revenue the minute the rate cuts came into effect. If someone said the evidence is merely circumstantial we'd have to remember that most trial virdicts are determined upon the presentation of overwhelming circumstantial evidence such as this.

''so you're now saying the tax-cuts did not cause the recession?''

The opposite.

I'm saying that they were part of the overstimulation that, all together, caused the Great Recession.
 
From Forbes.com:

Economically, Could Obama Be America's Best President?



With the stock market hitting new highs, some people have already forgotten about the Great Recession.


Recall 2009. Things looked pretty bleak economically.


But the outlook has changed dramatically in just 4 years. And it has been a boon for investors, as even the safest indices have yielded a 250% return (>25% annualized compound return:)


6a00d8341c275753ef017eeb3e8242970d-pi




Additionally, unemployment and consumer confidence trends have reversed direction and are improving:





6a00d8341c275753ef01901c411ac1970b-pi





Since this coincides with President Obama’s first term, I asked the authors of “Bulls, Bears and the Ballot Box,” (available on Amazon.com and which I reviewed in my October 11, 2012 column,) to capture their opinions on how much Americans should attribute the equity upturn, and improved economic prospects, to the President as we enter his second term.

Interview with Bob Deitrick, co-Author “Bulls, Bears and the Ballot Box” (BBBB):

Q- Bob, how much credit should Americans give President Obama for today’s improved equity values?

BBBB – Our research reviewed American economic performance since President Roosevelt installed the first Federal Reserve Board Chairman – Republican Marriner Eccles. We observed that even though there are multiple impacts on the economy, it was clear that policy decisions within each administration, from FDR forward, made a clear difference on performance. And relatively quickly.


Presidents universally take credit when the economy does well (such as Reagan,) and choose to blame other factors when the economy does poorly (such as Carter.) But there was a clear pattern, and link, between policy and financial market performance.
Although we hear almost no one in the Obama administration taking credit for record index highs, they should. Because the President deserves attention for how well this economy has done during his leadership.

The auto rescue plan has worked. American car manufacturers are still dominant and employing millions directly and in supplier companies. Wall Street reform has been painful but it has re-instated faith amongst investors. The markets are far more predictable than they were four years ago, as VIX numbers demonstrate greater faith and less risk.


Even for small investors, such as those limited to their 401(k) or IRA investments, the average annual compound return on stocks under President Obama has been more than 24% since the lows of March, 2009. This is a better result than either Clinton, Reagan or FDR – who were the prior winners in our book.

Q- Bob, what policies do you think were most important toward achieving today’s new highs?

BBBB – Firstly, let’s review just how bad things were in 2009. In 2000 America was completing the longest bull market in history. But by the end of President Bush’s tenure the country had witnessed 2 stock market crashes, and the DJIA had fallen 58%. This was the second worst market decline in history (exceeded only by the Great Depression,) and hence the term “Great Recession” was born.


In 2000, at the end of Clinton’s administration, the Consumer Confidence Index was at a record high 140. By January, 2009 this index had fallen to an historic low of 25.3. Comparatively, when Reagan took office at the end of the economically weak Carter years the Confidence Index was still at 74.4! Today this measure of how people feel about the country is still nowhere near 2000 levels, but it is almost 3 times better than 4 years ago.


Significantly, in 2000 America had a budget surplus. By 2009 surpluses were long gone and the country was racking up historic deficits as taxes were cut while simultaneously outlays for defense skyrocketed to cover costs of wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Additionally, banks were on the edge of failing due to unregulated real estate speculation and massive derivative losses.


Today the Congressional Budget Office is reporting a $200B decrease in the deficit almost entirely due to increased revenue from a growing economy and higher taxes on the wealthiest Americans. The deficit is now only 4% of the GDP, down from over 10% at the end of Bush’s administration – and projections are for it to be only 2% by 2015 (before Obama leaves office.) America’s “debt problem” seems largely solved, and almost all due to growth rather than austerity.


We can largely thank a fairer tax code, improved regulation and consistent SEC enforcement. Also, major strides in health care reform – something no other President has accomplished – has given American’s more faith in their future, and an increased willingness to invest.

Considering how republicans have tried everything in their power to ruin the Obama presidency from day one of his presidency including trying to bring the worlds economy to a halt, I have to give Obama an A+. Not bad considering he was not my first choice. I think he should have went after the repubs and put them on the defensive from day one, instead of trying to work with them as if they were decent human beings which they're not.
 
Are we in bizzaro world? Even the most glueless, gutless liberals deep down know he is a disaster economically!

Economically he has been one of the worst Presidents. Even worse than his idol Jimmy Carter.

The stock market has gone up, good, but that is because all his regulations help the top get stronger and gut the middle and bottom.

Obamacare is a picture perfect example. As Hannity said, Obamacare won't effect him. He has the money to provide the healthcare needs for himself and his family. However, it will effect everyone else. It's increasing costs SUBSTANTIALLY FOR EVERYONE.

The job market? Obama is creating low paying part time jobs only! Even the Huffingglue Post acknowledges that 75% of the jobs created this year were low paying part time jobs.

75 Percent Of Jobs Created This Year Were Part-Time Due To Weak Economy, Obamacare Concerns

Manufacturing is set for a rebound with rising cost of shipping and labor in China, Japan (which already had comparable labor costs), South Korea, Indonesia etc that makes manufacturing stateside less expensive than manufacturing in the aforementioned countries and shipping them to America! Yet with all the bonehead regulations (past administrations are guilty of this also), business climate uncertainity and Union corruption, the rebound is not happening at the pace it should.

The sectors that creates the most instant high paying skilled jobs is the energy sector and Obama is at war with coal, oil and natural gas. Despite his war, the sector is flourishing. If he ended his war, just imagine where it would go.

Gas prices are everlastingly high.
 
From Forbes.com:

Economically, Could Obama Be America's Best President?



With the stock market hitting new highs, some people have already forgotten about the Great Recession.


Recall 2009. Things looked pretty bleak economically.


But the outlook has changed dramatically in just 4 years. And it has been a boon for investors, as even the safest indices have yielded a 250% return (>25% annualized compound return:)


6a00d8341c275753ef017eeb3e8242970d-pi




Additionally, unemployment and consumer confidence trends have reversed direction and are improving:





6a00d8341c275753ef01901c411ac1970b-pi





Since this coincides with President Obama’s first term, I asked the authors of “Bulls, Bears and the Ballot Box,” (available on Amazon.com and which I reviewed in my October 11, 2012 column,) to capture their opinions on how much Americans should attribute the equity upturn, and improved economic prospects, to the President as we enter his second term.

Interview with Bob Deitrick, co-Author “Bulls, Bears and the Ballot Box” (BBBB):

Q- Bob, how much credit should Americans give President Obama for today’s improved equity values?

BBBB – Our research reviewed American economic performance since President Roosevelt installed the first Federal Reserve Board Chairman – Republican Marriner Eccles. We observed that even though there are multiple impacts on the economy, it was clear that policy decisions within each administration, from FDR forward, made a clear difference on performance. And relatively quickly.


Presidents universally take credit when the economy does well (such as Reagan,) and choose to blame other factors when the economy does poorly (such as Carter.) But there was a clear pattern, and link, between policy and financial market performance.
Although we hear almost no one in the Obama administration taking credit for record index highs, they should. Because the President deserves attention for how well this economy has done during his leadership.

The auto rescue plan has worked. American car manufacturers are still dominant and employing millions directly and in supplier companies. Wall Street reform has been painful but it has re-instated faith amongst investors. The markets are far more predictable than they were four years ago, as VIX numbers demonstrate greater faith and less risk.


Even for small investors, such as those limited to their 401(k) or IRA investments, the average annual compound return on stocks under President Obama has been more than 24% since the lows of March, 2009. This is a better result than either Clinton, Reagan or FDR – who were the prior winners in our book.

Q- Bob, what policies do you think were most important toward achieving today’s new highs?

BBBB – Firstly, let’s review just how bad things were in 2009. In 2000 America was completing the longest bull market in history. But by the end of President Bush’s tenure the country had witnessed 2 stock market crashes, and the DJIA had fallen 58%. This was the second worst market decline in history (exceeded only by the Great Depression,) and hence the term “Great Recession” was born.


In 2000, at the end of Clinton’s administration, the Consumer Confidence Index was at a record high 140. By January, 2009 this index had fallen to an historic low of 25.3. Comparatively, when Reagan took office at the end of the economically weak Carter years the Confidence Index was still at 74.4! Today this measure of how people feel about the country is still nowhere near 2000 levels, but it is almost 3 times better than 4 years ago.


Significantly, in 2000 America had a budget surplus. By 2009 surpluses were long gone and the country was racking up historic deficits as taxes were cut while simultaneously outlays for defense skyrocketed to cover costs of wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Additionally, banks were on the edge of failing due to unregulated real estate speculation and massive derivative losses.


Today the Congressional Budget Office is reporting a $200B decrease in the deficit almost entirely due to increased revenue from a growing economy and higher taxes on the wealthiest Americans. The deficit is now only 4% of the GDP, down from over 10% at the end of Bush’s administration – and projections are for it to be only 2% by 2015 (before Obama leaves office.) America’s “debt problem” seems largely solved, and almost all due to growth rather than austerity.


We can largely thank a fairer tax code, improved regulation and consistent SEC enforcement. Also, major strides in health care reform – something no other President has accomplished – has given American’s more faith in their future, and an increased willingness to invest.

Considering how republicans have tried everything in their power to ruin the Obama presidency from day one of his presidency including trying to bring the worlds economy to a halt, I have to give Obama an A+. Not bad considering he was not my first choice. I think he should have went after the repubs and put them on the defensive from day one, instead of trying to work with them as if they were decent human beings which they're not.

Republicans have nothing at all to offer to demonstrate good performance on their part, and haven't had for decades. Nothing is not an exaggeration. The only tool they have, given that, to get elected, is 24/7/365 Fox News propaganda programmed to attempt to bring democrats down to their level of incompetence.

Of course they've failed at that too except for a small minority of cultists that they've created. People unable to resist.

The informed electorate has spoken and is perfectly capable of, and willing to, hold the GOP fully accountable for their dismal performance.
 
...liberals deep down know he is a disaster economically! ...
You may be way underestimating people's ability to look right at one thing and suddenly decide they're seeing the opposite. My honest take is that these are folks who actually believe it when they say things like "massive spending solved the great recession" and "more borrowing reduces debt".

Now, couple the fact that this "un-think" is generally basic human nature, plus the fact that for thousands of years humankind's carried forth an ever-advancing civilization, I'd say we got overwhelming proof that there is a God. Like, you got a better explanation?
 
...liberals deep down know he is a disaster economically! ...
You may be way underestimating people's ability to look right at one thing and suddenly decide they're seeing the opposite. My honest take is that these are folks who actually believe it when they say things like "massive spending solved the great recession" and "more borrowing reduces debt".

Now, couple the fact that this "un-think" is generally basic human nature, plus the fact that for thousands of years humankind's carried forth an ever-advancing civilization, I'd say we got overwhelming proof that there is a God. Like, you got a better explanation?

"massive spending solved the great recession" and "more borrowing reduces debt"

Both provably true.

When the economy is in recession, shrinking, supplementing low consumer spending with government spending, even if borrowed, is standard macroeconomics and the way to get revenue back up quicker than the unsupplemented economy would.

Of course there are right and wrong ways to do that.

There has to be a recession. Overstimulation of a growing economy causes, not mitigates, recession.

The stimulus has to go to those who will spend it. Not to the wealthy who will only save it or invest it. In a recession new capacity is not required so investors don't influence it. Buyers of consumer goods, the middle class, can and do influence recovery.

Europe of course demonstrated in the recovery from The Great Recession that austerity, cutting government spending, slows recovery and delays the return to normal revenue.
 
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