Democrat wins Long Held GOP seat

Discussion in 'Politics' started by JimH52, May 4, 2008.

  1. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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  2. Dogger
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    Dogger Active Member

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    Destroying the Republican Party is Bush's only positive accomplishment.
     
  3. Ravi
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    Ravi Diamond Member

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    Yes, it is. And that's not a bad thing.
     
  4. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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    HIGH FIVE!:eusa_dance:

    (couldn't find a high five icon...)
     
  5. RetiredGySgt
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    RetiredGySgt Platinum Member

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    Didn't hurt that the press did ahatchet job just before the vote. Or did you miss the "fair and balanced" report I linked to?
     
  6. Paulie
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    Paulie Platinum Member

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    Yes, the 100's of Senators and congressmen had nothing to do with it, nor did the millions of idiot voters who forgot what their principles were. :rolleyes:
     
  7. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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    I guess FOX needs more afiliates, huh?
     
  8. Gunny
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    Gunny Gold Member

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    As was destroying the Democrat party Carter's only positive accomplishment. An accopmlishment I look forward to seeing repeated if Obama is actually elected.

    You can talk all the hack shit you want. The truth is, it's cyclical. When this Congress that hasn't done jack shit and if the next President is a Dem finally get on everyone's nerves because they're useless, they'll be gone again too.
     
  9. jreeves
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    jreeves Senior Member

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    Don't go wetting your pants prematurely now....

    Bernie Pinsonat, a pollster with Baton Rouge-based Southern Media and Opinion Research, said Sunday that Jenkins was mainly to blame for the loss and that the outcome had little to do with any national political trends.

    And the Democratic win does not mean the district's voters have turned against Republicans, Pinsonat said.

    "Democrats have a hard time winning in Louisiana, except when Woody runs," Pinsonat said. "I think Cazayoux got the only Republican opponent he could have beaten."

    "I think Cazayoux was able to take advantage of Woody's high negatives with white voters," Pinsonat said.

    But Wayne Parent, a Louisiana State University political scientist, said he saw a slight trend in the Democrats' favor in the Baton Rouge area, noting that a Democrat was recently elected sheriff and that the city has a Democratic mayor after years of Republican leadership.

    "I think you can read a little into Cazayoux's win, but not too much," Parent said. "You can see Jenkins as too far right, and Cazayoux was seen as a moderate, and that's a perfect situation for a Democrat.

    "But Democrats do seem to be doing better in those areas where they need to win, and they've been doing a little better for the past couple years," he said.

    Returns showed Cazayoux won in Jenkins' backyard, East Baton Rouge Parish, by far the district's most populous parish and with a makeup of about 30 percent loyal Democratic black voters. Cazayoux won East Baton Rouge with 33,634 votes to 28,755 votes for Jenkins.

    Jenkins swept white, suburban Ascension Parish with 3,297 votes to Cazayoux's 1,845, according to the secretary of state's office.

    Cazayoux's win means the district has a Democratic congressman for the first time in three decades. The seat opened up when longtime incumbent Richard Baker resigned to take a lobbying position.

    Cazayoux attributed the special election win to his campaign's focus on such issues as health care, saying, "We talked about the issues in this campaign. The other side was more divisive."

    Jenkins, who offered congratulations to Cazayoux, blamed his loss on low turnout and the large amount of money spent during the campaign. Only 23.5 percent of the district's voters turned out, elections officials said. Jenkins said he has not ruled out another run for the job.

    Pinsonat said he expects Republicans to pick a stronger candidate to go against Cazayoux when he's up for re-election this fall.

    "Cazayoux is not better than an even bet to win in the fall," Pinsonat said. "He'll have to work from now to November to hold on to that seat, and it'll still be iffy."

    Jenkins said he is not ruling out another campaign in the fall.

    In another Louisiana congressional election on Saturday, Republican state Sen. Steve Scalise won 75 percent of the vote to beat Democrat Gilda Reed, a college instructor, and two lesser-known candidates.

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080505/ap_on_el_ho/congress_louisiana
     
  10. Toro
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    Toro Diamond Member

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    As bad as this is for the GOP, don't count on the Democrats not screwing up the Presidential race in November just yet.
     
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