6 signs the next recession might be closer than we realize

Discussion in 'Economy' started by IM2, Aug 29, 2018.

  1. IM2
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    IM2 Gold Member

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    The Trump lie is coming to an end.

    6 signs the next recession might be closer than we realize
    Sean Williams

    Chances are that if you invested at any point during the Great Recession, you're sitting pretty right now, assuming you've held onto your positions.

    The U.S. economy is in the midst of its second-longest economic expansion in history, going back 161 years. And since the market bottomed out in March 2009, investors have witnessed all three major stock indexes at least quadruple in value at one point. It's been a truly unique ride -- and chances are it's going to come to an end sooner rather than later.

    To be perfectly clear, trying to predict when recessions will occur is pure guesswork. Top market analysts have called for pullbacks in the market, unsuccessfully, in pretty much every year since the Great Recession ended. But the economic cycle doesn't lie: recessions are inevitable. And in my estimation, we're probably closer to the next recession than you realize.

    How can I be so certain? Well, I can't. Remember, I just noted there's virtually no certainty when it comes to predicting when recessions will occur. There are, however, six warning signs that suggest a recession could be, in relative terms, around the corner.

    6 signs the next recession might be closer than we realize
     
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  2. frigidweirdo
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    frigidweirdo Platinum Member

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    The higher you go, that harder you fall.
     
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  3. Mac1958
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    Mac1958 Diamond Member

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    Obviously some are very happy & hopeful about this possibility.

    This is what it looks like when we allow our ideology & hate to take priority over our country.
     
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  4. Penelope
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    Penelope Platinum Member

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    Republican Presidents always put us in a recession and raise the national debt, Reagan, Bush JR and now Trump. Trickle down does not work.
     
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  5. Toro
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    Toro Diamond Member

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    The yield curve inverting usually means a recession is coming. But that hasn't always been the case.

    The index of Leading Economic Indicators turning negative usually means a recession is coming. But this hasn't always been the case.

    When both the yield curve is inverting and the index of Leading Economic Indicators is turning negative, there has been a recession every single time.

    The yield curve will likely be inverted by the end of the year. The LEI index is falling but it isn't negative.
     
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  6. Two Thumbs
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    Two Thumbs Platinum Member

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    recessions happen to every President and the better the economy the more likely they are to happen.

    most often it's a simple reset, the Clinton crash of 08 is histories only exception
     
  7. gipper
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    gipper Libertarian/Anarchist

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    It is sad that many Americans WANT a big fat recession, so they can blame that too on Donnie.

    I suppose some on the Right wanted the same, when BO stained the WH.

    Divisiveness rules the day.
     
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  8. Mac1958
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    Mac1958 Diamond Member

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    Yep. The Right was the same. This is all a self-inflicted wound, a choice we're making.
    .
     
  9. gipper
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    gipper Libertarian/Anarchist

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    Yes and proof the ruling class can easily control the minds of millions of Americans.
     
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  10. Penelope
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    Penelope Platinum Member

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    Clinton crash, you mean Bush Jr crash.
     
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