2012 Presidential Election: TGG's 50 States Calls

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by TheGreatGatsby, Nov 6, 2012.

  1. TheGreatGatsby
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    TheGreatGatsby Gold Member

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    Alabama - Romney + 25.4
    Alaska - Romney + 22.6
    Arizona - Romney + 16.7
    Arkansas - Romney + 23.1
    California - Obama + 18.7
    Colorado - Romney + 4.3
    Connecticut - Obama + 3.5
    Delaware - Obama + 14.9
    Florida - Romney + 6.8
    Georgia - Romney + 15.9
    Hawaii - Obama + 36.3
    Idaho - Romney + 51.4
    Illinois - Obama + 12.3
    Indiana - Romney + 11.9
    Iowa - Romney + 1.8
    Kansas - Romney + 22.2
    Kentucky - Romney + 21.8
    Louisiana - Romney + 23.1
    Maine - Obama + 5.2
    Maryland - Obama + 15.2
    Massachusetts - + 17.1
    Michigan - Obama + 2.7
    Minnesota - Romney + 0.8
    Mississippi - Romney + 19.2
    Missouri - Romney + 8.9
    Montana - Romney + 5.5
    Nebraska - Romney + 17.3
    Nevada - Obama + 2.3
    New Hampshire - Romney + 2.4
    New Jersey - Obama + 6.5
    New Mexico - Obama + 5.9
    New York - Obama + 17.9
    North Carolina - Romney + 7.2
    North Dakota - Romney + 26.3
    Ohio - Romney + 1.1
    Oklahoma - Romney + 41.2
    Oregon - Obama + 6.6
    Pennsylvania - Romney + 0.3
    Rhode Island - Obama + 19.0
    South Carolina - Romney + 16.2
    South Dakota - Romney + 20.2
    Tennessee - Romney + 22.9
    Texas - Romney + 17.5
    Utah - Romney + 46.1
    Vermont - Obama + 25.9
    Virginia - Romney + 3.4
    Washington - Obama + 11.0
    West Virginia - Romney + 21.9
    Wisconsin - Romney + 2.3
    Wyoming - Romney + 38.4
     
  2. TheGreatGatsby
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    TheGreatGatsby Gold Member

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    Swing States

    Colorado - Romney + 4.3
    Florida - Romney + 6.8
    Iowa - Romney + 1.8
    Michigan - Obama + 2.7
    Minnesota - Romney + 0.8
    Nevada - Obama + 2.3
    New Hampshire - Romney + 2.4
    North Carolina - Romney + 7.2
    Ohio - Romney + 1.1
    Pennsylvania - Romney + 0.3
    Virginia - Romney + 3.4
    Wisconsin - Romney + 2.3
     
  3. Statistikhengst
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    Statistikhengst תיקון עולם, baby, תיקון עולם Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    Ok, taking your predictions and adding the actual results next to them (bolded):

    Alabama - Romney + 25.4 (Romney +22.19), you were off to the Right by 3.2
    Alaska - Romney + 22.6 (Romney +13.99), you were off to the Right by 8.6
    Arizona - Romney + 16.7 (Romney +9.04), you were off to the Right by 7.6
    Arkansas - Romney + 23.1 (Romney +23.69), you nailed this one, congratulations
    California - Obama + 18.7 (Obama +23.09), you were off to the Right by 4.4
    Colorado - Romney + 4.3 (Obama +5.36), you miscalled the state and were off to the right by 9.7
    Connecticut - Obama + 3.5 (Obama +17.33), you were off to the Right by 13.8. Tsk, tsk.
    Delaware - Obama + 14.9 (Obama +18.63), you were off to the Right by 3.7
    Florida - Romney + 6.8 (Obama +0.88), you miscalled the state and were off to the Right by 7.7
    Georgia - Romney + 15.9 (Romney +7.80), you were off to the Right by 8.1
    Hawaii - Obama + 36.3 (Obama +42.71), you were off to the Right by 6.4
    Idaho - Romney + 51.4 (Romney +31.69), you were off to the Right by 19.7
    Illinois - Obama + 12.3 (Obama +16.84), you were off to the Right by 4.5
    Indiana - Romney + 11.9 (Romney +10.20), you were off to the Right by 1.7. pretty close.
    Iowa - Romney + 1.8 (Obama +5.81), you miscalled the state and were off to the right by 7.6
    Kansas - Romney + 22.2 (Romney +21.6), you nailed it, within 0.6
    Kentucky - Romney + 21.8 (Romney +22.68), you nailed it, within 0.9 (a little off to the Left)
    Louisiana - Romney + 23.1 (Romney +17.21), you were off to the Right by 5.9
    Maine - Obama + 5.2 (Obama +15.29), you were off to the Right by 10.1. Tsk, tsk....
    Maryland - Obama + 15.2 (Obama +26.08), you were off to the Right by 9.9. Tsk, tsk....
    Massachusetts - + 17.1 (Obama +23.15), you were off to the Right by 5.0
    Michigan - Obama + 2.7 (Obama +9.54), you were off to the Right by 6.8
    Minnesota - Romney + 0.8 (Obama +7.69), you miscalled the state and were off to the Right by 8.5
    Mississippi - Romney + 19.2 (Romney +11.50), you were off to the Right by 7.7
    Missouri - Romney + 8.9 (Romney +9.36), you nailed it, within 0.5
    Montana - Romney + 5.5 (Romney +13.64), you were off to the LEFT by 8.1
    Nebraska - Romney + 17.3 (Romney +21.78), you were off to the LEFT by 4.4
    Nevada - Obama + 2.3 (Obama +6.68), you were off to the Right by 4.4
    New Hampshire - Romney + 2.4 (Obama +5.58), you miscalled the state and were off to the Right by 8
    New Jersey - Obama + 6.5 (Obama +17.74), you were off to the Right by 11.2. Tsk, tsk.
    New Mexico - Obama + 5.9 (Obama +10.15), you were off to the Right by 4.3
    New York - Obama + 17.9 (Obama +28.18), you were off to the Right by 10.3
    North Carolina - Romney + 7.2 (Romney +2.04), you were off to the Right by 5.2
    North Dakota - Romney + 26.3 (Romney +19.63), you were off to the Right by 6.7
    Ohio - Romney + 1.1 (Obama +2.97), you miscalled the state and were off to the Right by 4.1
    Oklahoma - Romney + 41.2 (Romney +33.54), you were off to the Right by 7.7
    Oregon - Obama + 6.6 (Obama +12.09), you were off to the Right by 5.5
    Pennsylvania - Romney + 0.3 (Obama +5.38), you miscalled the state and were off to the Right by 5.7
    Rhode Island - Obama + 19.0 (Obama +27.46), you were off to the Right by 8.5
    South Carolina - Romney + 16.2 (Romney +10.47), you were off to the Right by 5.7
    South Dakota - Romney + 20.2 (Romney 18.02), you were off to the Right by 2.2, pretty close
    Tennessee - Romney + 22.9 (Romney +20.38), you were off to the Right by 2.5, pretty close
    Texas - Romney + 17.5 (Romney +15.77), you were off to the Right by 1.7, very close
    Utah - Romney + 46.1 (Romney +47.88), you were off to the LEFT by 1.8, very close
    Vermont - Obama + 25.9 (Obama +35.60), you were off to the Right by 9.7, tsk, tsk.
    Virginia - Romney + 3.4 (Obama +3.87), you miscalled the state and were off to the Right by 7.3
    Washington - Obama + 11.0 (Obama +14.77), you were off to the Right by 3.8
    West Virginia - Romney + 21.9 (Obama +26.69), you were off to the LEFT by 4.8
    Wisconsin - Romney + 2.3 (Obama +6.94), you miscalled the state and were off to the Right by 9.2. Tsk, tsk.
    Wyoming - Romney + 38.4 (Romney +40.82), you were off to the LEFT by 2.4, pretty close

    Well, that was fun. You miscalled nine states for 2012: CO, FL, IA, MN, NH, OH, PA, VA and WI. So, you screwed up on 119 EV. You were also more than 4.5 points off (most always to the Right) in 30 states.

    Don't quit your day job.

    Source:

    http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2012&datatype=national&def=1&f=1&off=0&elect=0
     
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  4. TheGreatGatsby
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    TheGreatGatsby Gold Member

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    I'm sure you willfully ignore that it's rigged. All of the sudden, no swing state was close, and 90 plus percent of ghettos were voting? Yea, cos that's how things really work. You enjoy your hollow victory, dude. I don't care. I know I wasn't off.
     
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  5. Nyvin
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    Nyvin Gold Member

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    A national election that a candidate wins by 5 million votes would be pretty fricking difficult to rigged. A lot of the races followed the polls predictions pretty closely btw, as exampled by the fact that not many polls ever showed Romney with any lead in Ohio.
     
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  6. TheGreatGatsby
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    TheGreatGatsby Gold Member

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    It's not that hard at all. Do some research. This is nothing new. Obama's cheating is pretty obvious. You don't have to be a so-called conspiracy theorist to understand what happened.
     
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  7. Statistikhengst
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    Statistikhengst תיקון עולם, baby, תיקון עולם Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    Only, polling was showing Obama wins in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Iowa and Virginia, all of which he won.

    Polling showed an almost perfect tie in Florida, which he won by +0.88%.

    Polling showed Romney slightly ahead in North Carolina. Romney won in North Carolina.

    A number of swing states were indeed quite close: FL, OH, VA. PA, NH and CO were +5 wins. Nevada and IA were +6 wins. WI was a +7 win (it wasn't ever really a battleground) and MN was a +8 win (it was never a battleground, that was all smoke and mirrors from some crappy RW pollsters with bad reputations).

    In other words, as usually happens in elections, even in relatively close elections, the battleground states tend to fall like dominoes for the winning candidate. See: 2004, for instance. Same thing, only in red.

    Skewed, skewed, skewed, you cry!!! :rofl:

    The polling was right. YOU were wrong.
     
    Last edited: Oct 26, 2014
  8. Nyvin
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    Nyvin Gold Member

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    So you make up some random numbers on how much Romney is going to win by, but the polls showed some other results (namely that Obama was going to win). Election day comes and it turns out the polls were correct and the random numbers thrown out by you and Dick Morris from your butts were wrong...and the only conceivable answer is that Obama rigged the election.

    Clowny. That's all.
     
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  9. JakeStarkey
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    JakeStarkey Diamond Member Supporting Member

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    TGG: you are creepy if you think the election was rigged.
     
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    Last edited: Oct 26, 2014
  10. Statistikhengst
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    Statistikhengst תיקון עולם, baby, תיקון עולם Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    He took the bold move of predicting each state, down to a tenth of a percentage point. I took the actual results and showed where he was off. Which was a LOT.

    :lol:
     
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