Unkotare
Diamond Member
- Aug 16, 2011
- 136,884
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So what is the answer?
IMO, begin campaigns to dramatically reduce birth rates.
Irrational and unnecessary.
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So what is the answer?
IMO, begin campaigns to dramatically reduce birth rates.
In a recent episode of Anthony Bourdain's travel show, he was in China.
And it was interesting that one of his guest was one of China's top economist.
And his answer to Anthony's question - What is the greatest challenge facing America and China? - His answer surprised me..."what to do with the people who are no longer needed to contribute to the economy"...he went on to say that through technology, out sourcing, robotocs and mergers - it is a simple and increasing fact that the economy needs less people to produce and serve what the population needs and wants are. So what do we do with the increasing number of people who are not needed?
This is a fascinating topic.
Do we lower the retirement age, therefore providing more jobs to developing families?
Provide "payment" to one adult family member for staying home?
Screw them?
This isn't a future problem, in China it is a HUGE problem...and as sure as you are reading this. it will be a HUGE problem in America certainly in the next decade.
Less people are needed to service the economic wants/needs of the public. It is an indelible fact, that is getting worse.
So what is the answer?
It isn't an indelible fact, god I hate it when you death cultist twits do that. What you mean when you say "less people are needed to service the economic wants/needs of the public" is "I don't want to support people who can't support themselves so I think they should die."
Just fucking say it.
You are correct.The irony of dopey threads like this is that the real challenge facing countries and cultures in the future will be declining populations.
There will probably be a really big war with Russia or China soon, and that will cut down populations nicely.That's an ultra long term solution and it takes 50 to 75 years to have an impact.
You need a short term and a mid term solution as well.
Not every problem has an effective near or mid term solution. Not every goal is worth pushing to fruition in the near or mid term.
If I can identify a solution approach that will almost certainly work for my grandchildren, I'm of a mind to implement that approach immediately, and after doing so, continue to seek nearer term solutions. I'm certainly not of a mind to do nothing whatsoever on behalf of my "grand" descendents merely because I can think of nothing that may or will work in the next ten years to the benefit me or my kids. I'm okay with the prospect of myself enduring hardship if it means that my kids or perhaps grandkids won't have to do so as goes the matter in question.
I want nothing more than for my kids to all go to Heaven, but I didn't baptize them and then kill them while they were infants to ensure they make it there. That's a very near term solution that, according to Christianity's principles would work to get their souls into Heaven, albeit at the expense of my own doing so. And, yes, slaughtering baptized infants would put a nearer term kibosh on problems resulting from (directly or indirectly) population growth, but I doubt most folks are of a mind to apply that approach.
Option 1:
There are certainly other near term solutions. One of them is to cease and desist with the search for life prolonging drugs and treatment modalities. We could return to letting folks with fatal ailments die as they would have some 100 years or more ago, using our medical knowledge to abate their pain as needed but not to prolong their lives.
The reality humanity doesn't like is that Mother Nature has very effective ways of keeping population sizes in check. Humanity has endeavored, with some success, to circumvent nature's way of culling the less strong and making the need to be as or more physiologically and mentally strong/adept as others less of a critical factor in perpetuating one's genes. Perhaps allowing nature's methods to do as they are meant to do is the best overall and long term solution to many of the ills that beset humanity. Of course, for many folks that's a "nasty pill" to swallow, but in the ultimate irony, it may be the right one to swallow for there's little question about whether the planet needs more humans. It does not.
Option 2 -- Apply the principle of comparative advantage to robot implementations:
Another approach might be to build robots that can terraform or locate other planets so we have places to which Earth's excess humans can go. Maybe we should set computers/robots to finding ways to perform light-speed interstellar travel or wormhole travel. This idea accrues from my belief that Strong AI is a good thing, provided we direct Strong AIs to figure out/do things that we humans simply cannot do or that we cannot do in pragmatically short time frames.
This approach also plays to the idea that rather than implementing robots to do things that people can do effectively enough, we deploy them in a sequence whereby the last things they are used to do are the things people can do. One thing, however, that is critical for this approach is that though it can yield near term benefits, it is something that pretty much be implemented sooner rather than later. Why? Because we can't very well put the genie back in the bottle once she's out.
For example, now that automated telephone response systems answer the lines at every major corporation, it's no more than pipe-dream to think those companies will revert to having humans man the customer service lines. We may, however, be able to prevent the deployment of robots into roles where they are merely better, but not better to the extent they can achieve outcomes humans simply cannot achieve.
We don't need robots that can flip burgers; people can do that just fine, even if they are less efficient at doing it. We don't need Strong AIs that can drive taxis. People do that well enough too. In contrast, we have yet to find the answer to myriad questions:
Do you get the idea? Even though we may task robots to answering those and other hard questions like them, that doesn't mean we humans need to entirely stop trying to answer them ourselves. There's nothing suggesting that we can't work in tandem with the robots to finding the answers. Indeed, even thinking about the "taxi" example, it may be that we use humans to drive taxis in high density areas like NYC and robots in low density areas that have little call for abundant public/taxi service.
- Is there life elsewhere in the universe?
- What is dark matter? Dark energy?
- What rules need to be revised so there are no exceptions to them?
- How did life begin?
- What makes us human?
- Why do we dream?
- What can we do with all the carbon?
- What's in the oceans besides the little bit we've discovered or know we put there?
- What is a better source of energy for us to use instead of fossil fuels?
That young man in the photo needs to learn to keep his hands OFF the gun.There are 5.8 million unpaid for jobs now. They aren't filled because people don't have the skills. It's not that we don't need people, it's that ignorant people are to lazy to learn. Look at Republicans living in the deep south.In a recent episode of Anthony Bourdain's travel show, he was in China.
And it was interesting that one of his guest was one of China's top economist.
And his answer to Anthony's question - What is the greatest challenge facing America and China? - His answer surprised me..."what to do with the people who are no longer needed to contribute to the economy"...he went on to say that through technology, out sourcing, robotocs and mergers - it is a simple and increasing fact that the economy needs less people to produce and serve what the population needs and wants are. So what do we do with the increasing number of people who are not needed?
This is a fascinating topic.
Do we lower the retirement age, therefore providing more jobs to developing families?
Provide "payment" to one adult family member for staying home?
Screw them?
This isn't a future problem, in China it is a HUGE problem...and as sure as you are reading this. it will be a HUGE problem in America certainly in the next decade.
Less people are needed to service the economic wants/needs of the public. It is an indelible fact, that is getting worse.
So what is the answer?
![]()
Do these look like people with skills?
There will probably be a really big war with Russia or China soon, and that will cut down populations nicely.That's an ultra long term solution and it takes 50 to 75 years to have an impact.
You need a short term and a mid term solution as well.
Not every problem has an effective near or mid term solution. Not every goal is worth pushing to fruition in the near or mid term.
If I can identify a solution approach that will almost certainly work for my grandchildren, I'm of a mind to implement that approach immediately, and after doing so, continue to seek nearer term solutions. I'm certainly not of a mind to do nothing whatsoever on behalf of my "grand" descendents merely because I can think of nothing that may or will work in the next ten years to the benefit me or my kids. I'm okay with the prospect of myself enduring hardship if it means that my kids or perhaps grandkids won't have to do so as goes the matter in question.
I want nothing more than for my kids to all go to Heaven, but I didn't baptize them and then kill them while they were infants to ensure they make it there. That's a very near term solution that, according to Christianity's principles would work to get their souls into Heaven, albeit at the expense of my own doing so. And, yes, slaughtering baptized infants would put a nearer term kibosh on problems resulting from (directly or indirectly) population growth, but I doubt most folks are of a mind to apply that approach.
Option 1:
There are certainly other near term solutions. One of them is to cease and desist with the search for life prolonging drugs and treatment modalities. We could return to letting folks with fatal ailments die as they would have some 100 years or more ago, using our medical knowledge to abate their pain as needed but not to prolong their lives.
The reality humanity doesn't like is that Mother Nature has very effective ways of keeping population sizes in check. Humanity has endeavored, with some success, to circumvent nature's way of culling the less strong and making the need to be as or more physiologically and mentally strong/adept as others less of a critical factor in perpetuating one's genes. Perhaps allowing nature's methods to do as they are meant to do is the best overall and long term solution to many of the ills that beset humanity. Of course, for many folks that's a "nasty pill" to swallow, but in the ultimate irony, it may be the right one to swallow for there's little question about whether the planet needs more humans. It does not.
Option 2 -- Apply the principle of comparative advantage to robot implementations:
Another approach might be to build robots that can terraform or locate other planets so we have places to which Earth's excess humans can go. Maybe we should set computers/robots to finding ways to perform light-speed interstellar travel or wormhole travel. This idea accrues from my belief that Strong AI is a good thing, provided we direct Strong AIs to figure out/do things that we humans simply cannot do or that we cannot do in pragmatically short time frames.
This approach also plays to the idea that rather than implementing robots to do things that people can do effectively enough, we deploy them in a sequence whereby the last things they are used to do are the things people can do. One thing, however, that is critical for this approach is that though it can yield near term benefits, it is something that pretty much be implemented sooner rather than later. Why? Because we can't very well put the genie back in the bottle once she's out.
For example, now that automated telephone response systems answer the lines at every major corporation, it's no more than pipe-dream to think those companies will revert to having humans man the customer service lines. We may, however, be able to prevent the deployment of robots into roles where they are merely better, but not better to the extent they can achieve outcomes humans simply cannot achieve.
We don't need robots that can flip burgers; people can do that just fine, even if they are less efficient at doing it. We don't need Strong AIs that can drive taxis. People do that well enough too. In contrast, we have yet to find the answer to myriad questions:
Do you get the idea? Even though we may task robots to answering those and other hard questions like them, that doesn't mean we humans need to entirely stop trying to answer them ourselves. There's nothing suggesting that we can't work in tandem with the robots to finding the answers. Indeed, even thinking about the "taxi" example, it may be that we use humans to drive taxis in high density areas like NYC and robots in low density areas that have little call for abundant public/taxi service.
- Is there life elsewhere in the universe?
- What is dark matter? Dark energy?
- What rules need to be revised so there are no exceptions to them?
- How did life begin?
- What makes us human?
- Why do we dream?
- What can we do with all the carbon?
- What's in the oceans besides the little bit we've discovered or know we put there?
- What is a better source of energy for us to use instead of fossil fuels?
Not to worry.
...
The Chinese philosopher was talking about LESS work for everybody, in which case there will be need more birth control, more population control,....
Could be Carousel as seen in Logan's Run. You turn 30 and your light begins flashing, time for you to go to Carousel for 'renewal'.
Or this future is already here:
Soylent — Free your body
What is most likely to happen is a paradigm shift in societies. Humans will be forced to go back to how we lived up until a few hundred years ago, where entire families including the grandparents and parents, children etc all shared a dwelling and all the living and dying in the family was normal and communal. Many Asian societies still operate like this. Western culture though generally has everyone living apart with seperate lives and the younger generations not wanting much to do with the elderly. It's a moot point, at some point water will limit human population capacity and we WILL have to decide how to handle the reality of many people not in the work force that have to be fed and cared for.
Or start enjoying Soylent right now so the transition later is not such a big shock.
There is definitely a "soft kill" genocide program in place and has been for some time......
There is definitely a "soft kill" genocide program in place and has been for some time......
Take your crazy idiot show to the Conspiracy Forum, you fruitcake.
There is definitely a "soft kill" genocide program in place and has been for some time......
Take your crazy idiot show to the Conspiracy Forum, you fruitcake.