I have lived in Turkey. And I am in touch with people who are Turks, living there, or Westerners who have lived there for 25-30 years. They do not believe there is any chance of Turkey falling apart. It is Erdogan's last term in office. He will be replaced. Most likely with someone more middle of the road, someone who does not want the devisiveness we are seeing now, which has simply come to a head. Turkey is not going to fall apart. Sorry to disappoint you. And it's not going to become a theocracy because of someone like Erdogan. When I lived there, only 8 years ago, it was illegal to insult Ataturk. Do you have credible, verifiable evidence that Erdogan has insulted Ataturk?
Then last week Erdogan defended his anti-alcohol legislation by obliquely calling Ataturk and his closest ally, Ismet Inonu, a couple of "drunkards".
Turkey's protesters proclaim themselves the true heirs of their nation's founding father | World news | The Observer
I don't want to get into the debate of "who lived in Turkey more than the other" or "who has more Turkish friends in facebook". I just want to crank some history, to put this subject on some solid ground.
Lets start what gezi park is. Gezi park has a very distinct place in anatolian history, way before modern Turkey was established, it was called Ottoman back then. As all we know, Ottoman was a backward country ruled by religious institutions, just like europe in the middle ages, and Iran at the moment. While western countries progressed by pushing the separation of church and the state to their societies, Ottoman was not able to put himself on this path, becoming more and more backward. Then western countries pushed Ottomans to enact their first constitution, recognizing his religious and ethnic minorities and giving them some freedom, along with the muslim majority. But religious institutions feel pressurized by this new "gavur icadi" (which means westerners invention, make of the devil) and started a backward revolution attempt. And as you guessed, it was started right where gezi park is, there was the barracks of soldiers supporting the religious institutions rather than the constitutional government. And guess who put that revolution down??? Mustafa Kemal, aka Ataturk. And now Erdogan plans to re-build those barracks, instead of gezi park.
This is just the beginning. There is a lot more to that. Just another small detail, do you know who put the law against insulting Ataturk in place? It is Menderes himself, whom Erdogan claims to be the successor of. But the reason Menderes put that law in place was not because he was a fan of Ataturk, but because there was a religious cult openly ridiculing Ataturk because of him abolishing the caliphate, sultanate and bunch of religious institutions, and for not being a proper muslim, drinking alcohol(

) and Menderes simply did not want to be seen as a backwards leader. Otherwise he was opposing Ataturk for his reforms especially because of his land reform giving the poor some land to live on. I can understand that since Menderes was one of the biggest land owners in Turkey.
And about Erdogan having his last term as a PM, it is true that he can not get elected as a PM anymore but I would not be so sure about Erdogan being out of the picture. He is trying to change the parliamentary system to a presidential one, so he now he can get elected as a president, not a PM.
So when I claim Turkey being on a slippery slope, I am trying to base myself on these historical processes Turkey has been through, the facts of its religion and its geographical location that also plays a big role in its relations to the rest of the world which naturally effecting its politics.
And one last detail from history, do you know how long it did take Romains from chanting for Ceausescu, to shoot him like a dog in front of a wall? 48 hours...
Don't try to demean my post. I have never been on Facebook. When I refer to contacts and friends in Turkey, I refer to real life people with whom I am in contact by email and who I visit there on occasion. Friends I made while I lived there and worked with these people for 2 years. You seem to be basing your entire perspective on what you've read about the history of Turkey, while at the same time having no real life experience of it. According to my Turkish friends, the problem with Erdogan is religious. Not religious as in Sunni vs Shia but that he is too religious. They also believe their democracy is not a true or complete democracy, so there is that too, but not just focusing on Erdogan. You are not living there. You are not in the middle of this; your opinions are based on what you've read. That's like a European forumating 'the actual, real state of things in the US' without ever being here or being involved with the real situation and people.
BTW, Erdogan is not facing another term. He is done. He's on the way out. He's not going to be able to change the structure of the government. He's not Henry the Eighth or Cromwell. Turkey is not that vulnerable or unstable. There are millions and millions of highly educated, sophisticated, worldly Turkish people who will not allow that. Erdogan might like to be a dictator, but he isn't. He is nothing at all like Asad, and Turkey is truly and absolutely nothing like Syria. But you wouldn't know that because you base your entire perspective on reading about it.
Oh, btw, another fun fact about Turkey; Erdogan is now planning to construct another bridge on bosporus, the 3rd one. And you know what he will name it? Yavuz Sultan Selim bridge. And you know who this Selim guy is? He is an ottoman sultan, butchered thousands of alevis (turkish shia minority), just because..... they were not muslim enough(!?!?!?!).
So you think Erdogan will just leave the scene like that. He served 3 terms and he will say enough is enough.
Latest comment from Erdogan: "You expect me to be mellow? Menderes (remember my last post?) was mellow and you hanged him!"
For Erdogan, this is life or death matter. He will do everything in his power to get the presidential system in place in the next year to be re-elected as the first sultan of Turkey. He openly said he did not want any separation of powers before, so you can imagine where Turkey maybe heading now. Maybe not.
And aside from all that, you are telling me nobody should try commenting about USA without the knowledge of USA (which is barely 500 years) and you can just put whatever you are thinking out there about some region in the world in which people lived, fight, laughed, eat, drink together for the last,... I don't know,... 10.000 years maybe more, starting from the first day of agriculture, without any knowledge of this history? You can talk to as many people as you like or visit as many places as you like, without history, you are lost forever. Because what you will listen from people is their biases, nothing more. Even history is biased

And Turkey is a special case also, with its long time military guardianship, disbanding political thinking in the society, de-politicizing youth with pressure and torture, I don't expect any Turk to know more than you about his/her past. I bet most of them did not know what was in place of gezi park(my last post again), before all this mess.
I respect whatever your friends are saying, and totally respect whatever your experience was when you visited there, but you lack of one thing, historical chronological knowledge of the region you are commenting on.
And you are right on one thing, this guys is no Assad and this is no Turkish spring, this is worse. Turkey is in a slippery slope. This guy is a true dictator, but worse than that, he is a democratically elected one. It is easy to get rid of a dictator who forced himself in, but it will not be as easy to get rid of this one. We have seen similars in history. No one can determine where he will push Turkey to. You can not predict that. But I see his hardened views and his constant success with his unsustainable policies as his biggest weakness because he got marginalized without realizing it and sooner than later he will realize what a big mess he is in to.
AKP is a big union of different conservative factions. I am hoping they will not allow Erdogan to play it like a toy. The president of Turkey, who has some minor power considered to the PM, openly criticizing Erdogan himself. Polls show he is head to head in terms of peoples votes with Erdogan.
So to summarize, I believe common sense will make everything better for Turks at the end. This was something they must have done for a long time but timing is not too bad. But on the other hand, I have to say this is a slippery slope. This is numbers game. Most likely, Erdogan will lose at the end, but there is a chance he will succeed. And if you think that there is no way he can, I simply find your logic faulty...