Trump Leads In Both Wisconsin & Michigan

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Trump gaining in polling to win the ‘Blue Wall’ states as Harris poll momentum slows

John Bowden
Wed, October 9, 2024, 5:08 PM CDT¡

A new poll of three crucial swing states shows the 2024 race deadlocked while Kamala Harris’s momentum grinds to a crawl.

Harris trails Trump in two midwestern battlegrounds, Michigan and Wisconsin, dragged down by concerns about her ability to manage America’s role in global crises, according to a Quinnipiac poll released on Wednesday. In both states, she is behind by low single digits; 50% to 47% in Michigan, and 48% to 46% in Wisconsin.
 

Trump gaining in polling to win the ‘Blue Wall’ states as Harris poll momentum slows

John Bowden
Wed, October 9, 2024, 5:08 PM CDT¡

A new poll of three crucial swing states shows the 2024 race deadlocked while Kamala Harris’s momentum grinds to a crawl.

Harris trails Trump in two midwestern battlegrounds, Michigan and Wisconsin, dragged down by concerns about her ability to manage America’s role in global crises, according to a Quinnipiac poll released on Wednesday. In both states, she is behind by low single digits; 50% to 47% in Michigan, and 48% to 46% in Wisconsin.

Seeing a lot of Trump support on the ground here in MI
 
This sounds good, however, I keep in mind that for the 2016 presidential run, the polls showed Clinton the significantly favored candidate and when all the dust settled and it was over, Trump won. So, don't trust the polls, just the end results.
 
Kamala has always been trailing Trump in the polls, but they wanted it to look like they were making good on dirty democrat political money.

....making the billionaire dems feel like they got their money's worthy in Kamala, but it was always a lie.
 
This sounds good, however, I keep in mind that for the 2016 presidential run, the polls showed Clinton the significantly favored candidate and when all the dust settled and it was over, Trump won. So, don't trust the polls, just the end results.
It's not so much trusting polls, but acknowledging them.
 
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Her “media tour” - going on idiot talk shows and laughing - was a last-ditch attempt to save her sinking campaign.

All it did was make it worse: between the Hurricane response and the revelation that needed funds were spent on illegals - along with her word salad answers - it’s all over but the crying.

She rode her female blackness favoritism almost to the very top. Her vacuous answers to basic questions shows how she faked it her entire career: she spoke with authority about NOTHING, and everyone went along with it.

It’s over.
 
Up against Trump she just is not the best, nor the more experienced candidate.
 


Beware.......^^^^^ an idiot is speaking. Last 10 seconds


The con man is truly an idiot.
How did he con you? SweetSue92

You Can Cackle, But You Can't Tackle

Whatever. Objectively, how can you say Trump is suffering from senility after this energetic and point-driving speech? Even if you don't agree with any of it, you better find a new GOTCHA meme. Seems pretty desperate to compare Trump to a Dementiacrat.
 
Well that sure flipped around in less than two weeks. Go, Harris!
 
This sounds good, however, I keep in mind that for the 2016 presidential run, the polls showed Clinton the significantly favored candidate and when all the dust settled and it was over, Trump won. So, don't trust the polls, just the end results.
Polls have shown themselves to be mostly irrelevant.
 
Polls have shown themselves to be mostly irrelevant.
Wisconsin is Trump's best state when it comes to outperforming the polls.

In 2016 he beat the RCP poll averages in Wisconsin by 7.2%, and in 2020 by 6%.

He is up by 0.4% in Wisconsin today...
 
Wisconsin is Trump's best state when it comes to outperforming the polls.

In 2016 he beat the RCP poll averages in Wisconsin by 7.2%, and in 2020 by 6%.

He is up by 0.4% in Wisconsin today...
Apparently Republicans don't poll accurately. I'm not sure how they do these calls I'm gathering most of them are phone calls. The average working conservative is simply going to hang up. The average basement dwelling progressive will pretend to be a conservative to skew the polls.
 
Apparently Republicans don't poll accurately. I'm not sure how they do these calls I'm gathering most of them are phone calls. The average working conservative is simply going to hang up. The average basement dwelling progressive will pretend to be a conservative to skew the polls.
I'm just comparing the election day polling averages against the official results.

AZ polls pretty accurately- within a half-point either way. Trump beat the polls in PA in 2016 by 2.6%, but PA was dead on in 2020.

Some states are just more accurate than others. Trump has only under-performed the polls once in the past 2 cycles, that was AZ in 2016, he was -0.5%.

Average in the swing states over the 2 cycles, Trump beats the polling by about 2.5%.

I would say that is a good sign for Trump this year, the polling methodology hasn't changed and Trump's numbers are better than previous years.

What the pollsters try to do with their weighting is to essentially sample the electorate from the previous election. They are (in theory) asking the voters from the last election who they will be voting for this time around.
 
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Trump asks people to vote early and we are.

:SNIP:

With former President Donald Trump’s encouragement, Republicans are voting early again, flocking to the polls for in-person voting ahead of Election Day and helping push the national number above 17 million.

The early turnout is breaking records in swing states such as Georgia and North Carolina.

The GOP hopes this surge of early votes will fix a mechanical problem that some in the party blame for costing it the 2020 presidential election and key races in 2022. Campaigns usually want their voters to cast ballots ahead of Election Day so they can focus their resources on getting more marginal supporters to the polls at the last minute.

Republicans excelled at that before Trump turned against early in-person and mail voting in 2020, as he spun wild conspiracies about the process and convinced his supporters to wait until Election Day to cast their ballots. But the party is again pushing its voters to cast their ballots early, and the former president is largely encouraging the change.


more: https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/e...=DM699912_10222024&s=acs&dkt_nbr=01050473qf7b
 
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