Team Dems New Strategy

[Vel]

Just don't mention that you're a sitting DEMOCRAT congressman. This ad is unbelievable. This guy is trying for his 4th term.

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hKDSOPp6hpg]YouTube - Independent Conservative[/ame]

 

[Annie]

GOP 4th District Poll Shows Rep. Lincoln Davis Vulnerable | Humphrey on the Hill | knoxnews.com

...

LINCOLN DAVIS VULNERABILITY
• Democrat incumbent Lincoln Davis's image stands at 45% Favorable to 30% Unfavorable. Davis finds himself with only 45% of the voters with a favorable opinion of him which should be concerning for a four term Congressman that won re-election in '08 with 59% of the vote. As a matter of comparison, Lincoln Davis' image stood at 65% favorable and just 15% unfavorable in September of 2008. A sitting congressman who endures a 35-point drop in his net favorability ratings in just under two years is rarely re-elected.

• Davis is only at 44% on the ballot against his most likely challengers, Scott DesJarlais and Jack Bailey (44%-33%) - well in the danger zone for an entrenched incumbent.

• When voters were asked what was more important, maintaining the 4th's congressional seniority to insure the district gets its fair share of federal funding or electing a fiscal watchdog that will fight against wasteful federal spending and tax increases, they chose the fiscal watchdog by and overwhelming 74% to 14% margin.

• This survey is not complicated. Congressman Davis is very likely to lose reelection this fall to any well-funded Republican challenger. The wave that is building will hit Democrat-held swing districts like the TN 4 very hard. Davis is at great risk of becoming a victim of "Obamacare" in spite of his vote against it.

 

[Oddball]

Democrat incumbent Lincoln Davis's image stands at 45% Favorable to 30% Unfavorable. Davis finds himself with only 45% of the voters with a favorable opinion of him which should be concerning for a four term Congressman that won re-election in '08 with 59% of the vote. As a matter of comparison, Lincoln Davis' image stood at 65% favorable and just 15% unfavorable in September of 2008. A sitting congressman who endures a 35-point drop in his net favorability ratings in just under two years is rarely re-elected.

I like the Dick Morris take on this particular number.

If someone asked you about your relationship with your spouse and it could only muster a 45% positive rating, it's safe to say that your marriage is in big trouble.

 

[Vel]

One of the interesting things about his unpopularity is that he's one of the few Dems that voted against Obamacare. I just keep reminding folks that his first vote was for Pelosi.