excalibur
Diamond Member
- Mar 19, 2015
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Our 'allies' are paper tigers. And circumventing sanctions on Russian products as well.
They hate President Trump because he exposes them for what they are. And then they want us to believe they will go it alone and defend Ukraine. Ha!
They hate President Trump because he exposes them for what they are. And then they want us to believe they will go it alone and defend Ukraine. Ha!
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But, whatever the Europeans say about supporting Ukraine to the bitter end, we can see their revealed preferences. They do not consider Russia's destruction of Ukraine an imminent threat to their security. They, like the United States, are increasing the conditions on Ukraine for assistance.
Look first to Germany. In a 2022 speech, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz committed to reversing the entire drift of policy in Germany, set under Angela Merkel, to meet the challenge. This historic project was called "Zeitenwende," or "times-turning," and it included ambitious goals of helping Ukraine fight for democracy, reducing dependency on Russian energy while still pursuing climate goals (possibly using nuclear energy again), taking a tougher approach to Russia, using Germany to strengthen the European Union and NATO, and arming Germany to defend itself. Except, all of this was abandoned, such that two years later, policy study groups in Germany declared the project dead.
Germany looked into its armory for what it could give Ukraine and found completely unusable Puma tanks, so it promised a small number of Leopard tanks, then it looked for excuses not to send them if the U.S. didn't send Abrams tanks, then it found that the Leopard tanks it wanted to send were also not battle-ready. It's not working to reverse this.
Germany does buy more American liquefied natural gas for energy — resentfully, because of the blowup of Nord Stream 2. But Europeans have largely bypassed the frightful sanctions they imposed on Russia in 2022 by relying on Russian proxies as a pass-through.
Europe created no wartime economy to match the Russian production of weapons, particular shells, and drones. Around the time of the Munich Security Conference two weeks ago, the Trump administration began asking European governments what they were willing to commit in terms of peacekeepers to Ukraine. Poland replied: none. What an astonishing answer from one of the only NATO members that takes defense seriously. The United Kingdom has indicated some interest in sending peacekeepers, so long as they are protected by Americans. The rest of the European countries fell into an embarrassed silence, or simply returned to asking for what they always want: verbal and moral input with no material or moral commitment.
As the sharp-eyed authors of the EuroIntelligence news source put it, Europeans are trying hard not to notice what has become obvious. In geopolitics, talk goes only so far:
We have yet to meet a European with a worked-out strategy to defeat Vladimir Putin. We are red-liners. We argue from first principles. We claim that we will support Ukraine for however long it takes. This idea worked spectacularly well for the ECB in the fight against speculators. But it does not translate to wars.
Ukraine has lost the war. We have no strategy to change this. Of all the nonsense Trump said and tweeted last week — and most of it was nonsense — he was correct on the essential issue — that the war is not winnable. He told us during his campaign that he wants to cut a deal.
The Europeans are in their unfortunate situation on the cats' table of international diplomacy because they outsourced strategic thinking. The US acts, we react. Trump speaks. We are outraged.
Indeed. The entire project of pulling Ukraine away from its domination by Russia was supposed to economically benefit Europe. That was the very meaning of the economic cooperation proposed ahead of the 2014 Maidan revolution. And yet Europe cannot be arsed to provide much beyond paper promises, loans, and the value of seized Russian assets.
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