We all know the state of sheer desperation & panic that the DNC crowd is currently trapped in. Desperation/panic brings out the best in both obnoxious & outright ludicrous predictions, statements & fantasies, which brings us to the current state of Iowa, "magically" making a whopping *21 point shift to the left literally overnight. I could go on & on but I am certainly not a professional(paid) political commentator so I will provide a link below to someone who IS a paid & respected professional political commentator, so folks can actually get the facts about the current state of affairs in the state of Iowa.
(*3:40 into the vid)
It is the most outlying poll this cycle and being the very curious person I am I have watched countless videos on this election.
Some have suggested that this outlier was intentionally dishonest because they want to try and drive artificial optimism and their supporters to the polls, others say it is to try and pretend it won't be a surprise if she wins.
I have watched many videos of random pollsters, and some have gone into great detail about the numbers and I sense some anger from them because they believe that some of pollsters are purposely inaccurate and it is a mark on their profession. Considering how wrong they have been for so long (remember the Reagan election where he was behind?), this is not good.
In terms of polls, the closest one I saw had Harris tied in two Swing States, winning one but losing the others and all the Sun States. That was her best showing if memory serves correct and she still loses when Trump hits over 290 in the E.C.
The most accurate pollster in 2020 and 2022 was AtlasIntel and they have Trump winning every Swing State and the only one she wins I believe was VA by less than a point and Wisc she was tied or something. He is predicting Trump hits 312 in the E.C.
Ramussen was the most accurate in 2016 and they also have Trump well ahead and winning the E.C going away.
This isn't my bias. Yes, I like many of his policies on China in particular. I'm not his biggest fan in regards to Ukraine, but, if it avoids WWIII and also settles Iran, China and N Korea down, we have to be smarter than we were in the past.
Either candidate will still offer more civil liberties and freedom than Canada does. I suspect Harris will win somehow. President Xi and their Axis will be ready when she does.
