Polymarket

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

A lot of people keep touting the odds on Polymarket. Polymarket is an offshore betting site. It's not a polling service and the values are based solely on bets. In the case of Polymarket, many, if not most of these bets aren't being made by Americans because it's illegal in the U.S.

Here is a good thread on X that explains how it works and who is manipulating it.

 

[Concerned American]

Meh. Just another irrelevant poll. The only one that counts is on Nov. 5.

 

[Crepitus]

A lot of people keep touting the odds on Polymarket. Polymarket is an offshore betting site. It's not a polling service and the values are based solely on bets. In the case of Polymarket, many, if not most of these bets aren't being made by Americans because it's illegal in the U.S.

Here is a good thread on X that explains how it works and who is manipulating it.

Informative, thank you for posting.

 

[IM2]

Yes DTMB thanks for the info.

 

[Independent thinker]

A lot of people keep touting the odds on Polymarket. Polymarket is an offshore betting site. It's not a polling service and the values are based solely on bets. In the case of Polymarket, many, if not most of these bets aren't being made by Americans because it's illegal in the U.S.

Here is a good thread on X that explains how it works and who is manipulating it.

There are numerous betting agencies, all have Trump at least 10 points ahead of Harris. Not one has Harris ahead.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

 

[Missourian]

Not just Polymarket.

Predictit it has Trump up by 10 as well...

PredictIt

www.predictit.org

I don't know about you ... but I don't throw my money around around whiley-nilley.

The consensus among betters is that Trump is winning.

Likely because he's currently ahead in every swing state, and Harris is only up +1.5 nationally.

Clinton was up 3.4 nationally on election day...but only up +2.1 in the actual vote tally. She lost.

Biden was up 7 points on election day. But only up 4.5 in the election vote tally. He won by only 43,000 votes across three states...

A +1.5 for Harris should be completely erased in the actual election...if history is any judge.

Looking at all this, and Harris' poll numbers going the wrong way...she was at +2.4 a week after the debate....plus her disastrous 60 minutes interview and the trainwreck last night... my money would be on Trump as well.

You'd have to both disregard everything that is currently occuring and everything that has happened in past elections to bet the other way.

 

[bdtex]

Let's hope the MAGAts double down on their bets.

 

[Andrew_Jackson_FTW]

There is no manipulation. What a load of utter nonsense. If you look at the timeline of poly market, there was a time when Harris was up comfortably on Trump. So was poly market being manipulated then? Or only now??? see what kind of garbage nonsense logic that the Harris supporters bring forth.

So there is no manipulation going on. Trump is up way ahead now because of JD Vance crushing the vice president debate Elon Musk, speaking at a Trump event among various other things. Harris doing a terrible job in her recent interviews.

Plenty of Americans are still betting on poly market. It’s kind of a gray area, but make no mistake about it. Plenty of Americans are betting on the site.

For Christ sake technically online Poker was and still is in some cases illegal across the USA… but millions of Americans have bet on online Poker throughout the years. Folks use various methods to access these sites.

It’s over for Harris she is getting demolished by Trump.

 

[Andrew_Jackson_FTW]

LOL feel that beta male cuck energy people supporting Harris and trying to take down Trump.

Amazing that people are trying to support her or claim they “don’t like either candidate”. What the hell is that lol …well it’s beta cuck energy….

The American people by far and wide black-and-white have had enough of the Democrats radical ideas on race and gender. That’s playing a role in Trump winning this thing to.

 

[Mr. Friscus]

Let's hope the MAGAts double down on their bets.

Care to wager, oh confident one?

 

[bdtex]

Care to wager, oh confident one?

I donated $75 to Harris/Walz today. You donate $75 to Trump/Vance. We'll see who wins on 11/5.

 

[Concerned American]

I donated $75 to Harris/Walz today. You donate $75 to Trump/Vance. We'll see who wins on 11/5.

A fool and his money...

 

[bdtex]

A fool and his money...

You got any skin in the game or do you just watch from the sidelines and take pictures?

 

[g5000]

Not just Polymarket.

Predictit it has Trump up by 10 as well...

View attachment 1027751

PredictIt

www.predictit.org

I don't know about you ... but I don't throw my money around around whiley-nilley.

The consensus among betters is that Trump is winning.

Likely because he's currently ahead in every swing state, and Harris is only up +1.5 nationally.

Clinton was up 3.4 nationally on election day...but only up +2.1 in the actual vote tally. She lost.

Biden was up 7 points on election day. But only up 4.5 in the election vote tally. He won by only 43,000 votes across three states...



View attachment 1027754


A +1.5 for Harris should be completely erased in the actual election...if history is any judge.

Looking at all this, and Harris' poll numbers going the wrong way...she was at +2.4 a week after the debate....plus her disastrous 60 minutes interview and the trainwreck last night... my money would be on Trump as well.

You'd have to both disregard everything that is currently occuring and everything that has happened in past elections to bet the other way.

The betting sites predicted Trump would win in 2020.

They also predicted Trump would beat Harris in the debate.

Anyone who believes a manipulated non-scientific betting site is an idiot.

 

[g5000]

I donated $75 to Harris/Walz today. You donate $75 to Trump/Vance. We'll see who wins on 11/5.

Mr. Friscus, looks like it's your move. Time to put your money where you mouth is.

 

[g5000]

Meh. Just another irrelevant poll. The only one that counts is on Nov. 5.

This.

 

[Concerned American]

You got any skin in the game or do you just watch from the sidelines and take pictures?

I pay taxes.

 

[luiza]

A lot of people keep touting the odds on Polymarket. Polymarket is an offshore betting site. It's not a polling service and the values are based solely on bets. In the case of Polymarket, many, if not most of these bets aren't being made by Americans because it's illegal in the U.S.

Elections are all about money .
Plus scamming thev Sheeple with believable rhetoric .

The quoted odds reflect sentiment largely among the elite of non- Deep State .
And for all I know they also include money from JP Morgan , B of A and Goldman Sachs -- all forecast a Donny victory .

Your problem is that historically their track record is outstanding.

It further underwrites the thinking of those that believe The Donald is himself a Deep State faction leader and this simply tells you that this time he is their preferred choice and will win .
Period .
I am inclined to that view myself but it is just my opinion , albeit shared by many other smart people .

 

[The Irish Ram]

A lot of people keep touting the odds on Polymarket. Polymarket is an offshore betting site. It's not a polling service and the values are based solely on bets. In the case of Polymarket, many, if not most of these bets aren't being made by Americans because it's illegal in the U.S.

Here is a good thread on X that explains how it works and who is manipulating it.

That is incorrect. Poly sued and won their case and the appeal to allow Americans to bet on the outcome of the election.
Americans can and are betting.

 

[marvin martian]

Let's hope the MAGAts double down on their bets.

It's not Americans betting, you fucking moron. The OP just told you that.

Damn, you're stupid.

LOL