fncceo
Diamond Member
- Nov 29, 2016
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let em take some commies wif emThink Stalingrad.InterestingThere will be a lot of guns in Hong Kong ... but the people won't be bearing them.
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How did America do in Vietnam?
Russia in Afghanistan?
IF having a powerful military was the ends of all wars why are we still in Afghanistan? and Iraq?
A powerful military does well aginst another military of similar size but it doesn't do so well in the end game against a small force. It's hard for a large military force to fight against someone who uses Asymmetric warfare tactics.
Hong Kong would be the worst place in the world to hold a guerilla war. The Hong Kong Peninsula (New Territories) and Island (an entire area of 428 square miles) are some of the most densely populated places on this Earth. PLA soldiers could cover the entire area standing hand in hand.
With literally no place to fall back or to regroup but the sea and surrounded by one of the World's largest armies and navies, it would make the Warsaw Ghetto look like an excellent strategic position.
Add to that, there are covert stores of arms, no way to smuggle in arms, and no allies willing to go to war against China to support them.
I support the people of Hong Kong in fighting back against the loss of their freedoms, but they are well and truly buggered.
The Battle of Stalingrad was a massive Soviet force fighting a massive German force. The Russians had a fallback position across the Volga, which German armor couldn't cross.
The Hong Kong people have no tanks, no aircraft, no small arms, and no fall-back position. The will be over run in a weekend.
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It'll be a bloodbath the Chinese are hard core
The majority of the population, while they might be concerned about the loss of liberties, will not fight back. These are the largest protests in the 187-year history of the colony and the protesters still make up a very small percentage of the population.
They are not, historically, a militant people.
Historical side note: When the British abandoned the colony after the Japanese invasion in 1941, the Hong Kong Chinese were brutally occupied.
There was no resistance during the entire four years of occupation.