Correct. But as it turns out McCain didn't get his policies enacted and he didn't promise specific results. President Obama made the promises while asking for stimulus money. His policy wonks and supporters told people like me that this was something we couldn't understand so there was no validity in our concerns.
Are my concerns valid now?
No, your concerns are not valid.
I didn't think it was going to work as planned and I said so. It didn't work as planned. Why aren't my concerns valid? They were wrong and I was right.
No, you weren't right. The economy started growing and the trend of job losses turned around. We went from losing 750K jobs per month in the month prior to ever-shrinking job loses which has now turned to job creation for many months.
We can dither about this if you prefer, but I say 100s of thousands of jobs for $1 Trillion is not worth the cost nor was it anywhere close to the results promised.
No need to dither. Those 100's of thousands of jobs (or millions by most estimates) and the projects and capital accumulated because of the spending are part of what will help us sustain the recovery - and they are partly responsible for the higher overall level of income since. We now have a higher base income from which to grow, so a 3% growth now will be more significant than it would have been without the stimulus.
And by the way, 40% of that stimulus was tax cuts. Surely you support tax cuts...right?
Ok, so you are holding the President partially responsible then (he gets some of the credit for the successes and some of the credit for the blame)? If so, look at the chart again. Look at what he promised and look at what he delivered.
The entire economy does not revolve around one chart. I give him partial credit for our current situation and I hold him and past presidents partially responsible for our current fiscal mess.
What I Don't do is recommend fixing a long-term fiscal mess by making our short-term economic situation worse. Making our short-term situation worse only makes our long-term problems worse
Only from lows we were promised wouldn't be reached if we just enacted that stimulus. That's sorta like saying Obama cut the deficit. He hasn't, he has just (I presume) budgeted a cut off an unpredicted high.
The entire economy can not be based on one chart. That a previous prediction by Romer was wrong doesn't mean that the economy as a whole will respond differently in the future.
Bias against or for what? I clearly admitted my errors. To be fair, you certainly had the talking point about how an increase in unemployment was a potentially positive sign since more jobs meant more people re-entering the workforce.
Well, bias against my posts and perhaps Obama. I never cheerlead 9% unemployment - in fact, I said it was bad. I said the recovery wasn't good. That doesn't change the fact that the economy is getting better and a recovery is in place.
Denying that just makes one look abjectly partisan.
And yes - an increase in the percentage of people calculated as unemployed can be seen as a positive sign if it's occurring because jobs are being created but not as quickly as people are re-entering the workforce.
Your caught up in the UE rate without understanding how the rate is calculated. The most important figure is how many jobs are being created. The UE rate may or may not move in tandem with that figure.
Please supply your definition. We haven't recovered from the dire situation when this stimulus was being sold. We have recovered from a low that I think the stimulus created.
How could the stimulus have create a low when the economy started growing within two months of it being enacted? The economy was losing 7% of its output when Obama was elected. By June or July of 2009, it was growing again.
Is this red?
If you go to home depot and ask for a can of red spray paint are they going to bring you this can?
Yes, that is red.
And just like the word "red" has a very specific meaning, so does the word recovery - it's the period of economic growth that follows a recession.
Ok. So before Obama's stimulus plan was implemented correct?
No, incorrect. The stimulus package was implemented starting in March of 2009. The recession ended that summer.
What happened in March 2009 and what are the results?
The stimulus was passed. The economy started growing and job losses shrank dramatically - from a net of -700K per month to positive figures a year later.