North Carolina will lose. None of the things Bucs claims will happen.
The only way the lawyers fighting for North Carolina will lose is if the Justice Department can clarify how a man pretending to be a woman is the intent of the 1964 Civil Rights Act inclusion. Otherwise, any behavior at all could claim they have a civil right to do "x" and demand that others play along. Lawyers know about precedent even if you don't. And don't think North Carolina's lawyers are going to be sleeping on the job. Loretta Lynch has her work cut out for her. She cannot define how a man pretending to be a woman "is actually a woman" in the purest legal sense that would allow him to essentially violate the civil rights of ACTUAL women and girls (some of which who have been sexually assaulted by men, as pointed out in the OP) behind doors marked "women" (words have meaning, those born with a womb) for their most intimate hygiene activities.
Loretta Lynch and her team are fucked. I know enough about law to know if one civil right faces off with another, especially where children are involved (girls in the ladies room), children's rights and protections physically and mentally, are dominant. See "New York v Ferber (USSC 1982) for this key point on legal case law precedent.
The difference is that the right is portraying this as an effort for all men to be able to enter women's restrooms. It is not. It's about trans gender people who have committed to living as a woman.That commitment and behavior is easily identified, and anyone who doesn't fit that criteria is not effected by the laws. It does not make it legal for a man to decide to put on a dress today to gain access to women's restrooms,but go back to living as a man tomorrow.
I've heard and read lots of opinions that agree that any male who has
committed himself to living as a woman, i.e. has undergone the surgical self-mutilation that renders his male genitalia nonexistent, should be admitted to the facilities designated for females. Men lacking the self confidence in their fancied feminine gestalt to make that commitment can damned well continue to use facilities suited to their anatomical endowments. To allow anatomically intact males to utilize facilities designated for females is an abuse of women and girls. Apparently the left doesn't give a fig about the rights and protection of
actual females. How about it, ladies? Are you willing to sacrifice yours, or other females', privacy and protection just to accommodate some guy/boy who may, or may not, be a "woman" and not a predator?