Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump in three of the most important states that are key to winning the 2024 election, according to a new
New York Times/Siena College poll published Saturday.
The poll was conducted between Aug. 5-9 and asked likely voters in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin about their attitudes toward Harris and Trump. When asked who they would vote for if the election were held today, Harris received 50 percent support to Trump’s 46 percent — a marked improvement compared to President Joe Biden’s performance against Trump
in earlier Times polling. When third-party candidates and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. are included in the race, Harris remains ahead by 5 percentage points in Michigan, 2 percentage points in Pennsylvania and 6 percentage points in Wisconsin, with a fading Kennedy averaging just 5 percent support.
The new poll suggests that Harris has not only narrowed the gap against Trump nationally but is also pulling ahead in the crucial Blue Wall states as she rides a wave of momentum stretching into its third week. The poll was fielded largely in the same time frame that Harris
energized crowds in the Midwest on a rapid-fire rally tour with her newly minted running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, whom voters are still getting to know. Meanwhile, Trump and his running mate, Sen. JD Vance from Ohio, are struggling to lock in a
consistent and cogent message against their Democratic opponents.