Employment Up and Inflation Down, New BLS Report Shows

excalibur

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Good news.

And tomorrow we should get 4th quarter 2025, first estimate GDP numbers.


...

Total nonfarm payrolls blew past “expert” estimations of approximately 55,000 to 75,000—coming in hot at 130,000. Businesses continued to hire American-born workers ...

President Donald Trump inherited an economy that was expanding the public sector and shrinking the private sector. The January 2025 Employment Situation report showed 32,000 added government jobs and, after downward revisions, a loss of 48,000 private payrolls.

The Trump administration’s efforts to reverse the harmful labor effects of the Biden years is finally bearing fruit. The January 2026 report illuminates total private sector employment increased by 172,000 and government employment decreased by 42,000.

The data is astoundingly clear: The productive private sector is growing and the unproductive public sector is shrinking.

...

In addition to employment stability, inflation signals continued cooling toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

Headline CPI approximated 2.4% year-over-year, down from 2.7% in December 2025. Driven by reductions in energy prices, this marks the lowest annual rate since May 2025. Core CPI approximated 2.5%, the lowest since March of 2021, reflecting that inflation is moderating.

But these optimistic Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers may be an understatement, still. Truflation, a platform that provides real-time inflation data by tracking millions of prices per day, estimates real inflation below 1%.

And with consumer prices cooling, Americans can enjoy a higher standard of living.

In January 2026, average wages grew by 0.4% with CPI increasing only 0.2% month-over-month. As wage growth continues to outpace inflation, as it has done under Trump, affordability becomes achievable for more Americans.

This is the exact opposite of what happened under the previous administration.

...


 
Just a few facts please:

HEADLINE: "U.S. trade deficit remains high in 2025, despite Trump’s tariff policy"
Deficit in trade of goods hits a record. Trade shifts away from China to other Asian exporters.

HEADLINE: "In 2025, Trade Deficit in Goods Reached Record High"
Data released Thursday by the Census Bureau showed the overall trade deficit with the world narrowed, the result of an expanding trade surplus in services. The trade deficit in goods was the highest on record.

KEY POINTS:
For the full year, the U.S. ran a $901.5 billion trade deficit, down slightly from 2024 but only by 0.2%, or $2.1 billion.

The report follows a year in which President Donald Trump implemented a series of aggressive tariffs aimed at leveling the global playing field.


The U.S. trade deficit swelled in December, closing out a year in which the imbalance was essentially unchanged despite efforts by the Trump administration to close the wide gap.

Closing out a tumultuous year in the global marketplace, the goods and services shortfall in December totaled $70.3 billion, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. That marked an increase of $17.3 billion from November and was well above the Dow Jones consensus estimate of $55.5 billion.

For the full year, the U.S. ran a $901.5 billion deficit, down slightly from 2024 but only by 0.2%, or $2.1 billion. The total was also a bit less than the record $923.7 billion shortfall in 2022.


The Con-by-Don Continues:
AI Overview

The "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" (OBBBA) signed by President Trump provides temporary, limited tax deductions for tips and overtime (2025–2028), not a full exemption from all taxes, and does not eliminate taxes on Social Security for most beneficiaries.

These provisions are capped and generally apply only to federal income tax, not payroll taxes (Social Security/Medicare) or state taxes.

Here is a detailed breakdown of the proposals:

No Tax on Tips: The law allows taxpayers to deduct up to of qualified tip income from federal income taxes. This deduction phases out for higher earners (over single/ married).

It does not eliminate Social Security or Medicare taxes on tips.

No Tax on Overtime: The Act provides a deduction for "qualified overtime compensation" for tax years 2025–2028, capped at ( for married filing jointly). It does not apply to state taxes and still requires payment of federal payroll taxes (Social Security/Medicare).

No Tax on Social Security: Claims that Social Security is now tax-free are inaccurate. While tax reductions exist for some, the Tax Policy Center estimates that about half of all recipients will still pay some income taxes on their benefits.

Key Limitations: All three provisions are temporary, expiring after 2028, and do not eliminate the federal payroll tax, notes CNBC and the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy.
 
Just a few facts please:

HEADLINE: "U.S. trade deficit remains high in 2025, despite Trump’s tariff policy"
Deficit in trade of goods hits a record. Trade shifts away from China to other Asian exporters.

HEADLINE: "In 2025, Trade Deficit in Goods Reached Record High"
Data released Thursday by the Census Bureau showed the overall trade deficit with the world narrowed, the result of an expanding trade surplus in services. The trade deficit in goods was the highest on record.

KEY POINTS:
For the full year, the U.S. ran a $901.5 billion trade deficit, down slightly from 2024 but only by 0.2%, or $2.1 billion.

The report follows a year in which President Donald Trump implemented a series of aggressive tariffs aimed at leveling the global playing field.


The U.S. trade deficit swelled in December, closing out a year in which the imbalance was essentially unchanged despite efforts by the Trump administration to close the wide gap.

Closing out a tumultuous year in the global marketplace, the goods and services shortfall in December totaled $70.3 billion, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. That marked an increase of $17.3 billion from November and was well above the Dow Jones consensus estimate of $55.5 billion.

For the full year, the U.S. ran a $901.5 billion deficit, down slightly from 2024 but only by 0.2%, or $2.1 billion. The total was also a bit less than the record $923.7 billion shortfall in 2022.


The Con-by-Don Continues:
AI Overview

The "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" (OBBBA) signed by President Trump provides temporary, limited tax deductions for tips and overtime (2025–2028), not a full exemption from all taxes, and does not eliminate taxes on Social Security for most beneficiaries.

These provisions are capped and generally apply only to federal income tax, not payroll taxes (Social Security/Medicare) or state taxes.

Here is a detailed breakdown of the proposals:

No Tax on Tips: The law allows taxpayers to deduct up to of qualified tip income from federal income taxes. This deduction phases out for higher earners (over single/ married).

It does not eliminate Social Security or Medicare taxes on tips.

No Tax on Overtime: The Act provides a deduction for "qualified overtime compensation" for tax years 2025–2028, capped at ( for married filing jointly). It does not apply to state taxes and still requires payment of federal payroll taxes (Social Security/Medicare).

No Tax on Social Security: Claims that Social Security is now tax-free are inaccurate. While tax reductions exist for some, the Tax Policy Center estimates that about half of all recipients will still pay some income taxes on their benefits.

Key Limitations: All three provisions are temporary, expiring after 2028, and do not eliminate the federal payroll tax, notes CNBC and the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy.
You just can't admit to the wins, what a strange world you live in Dante.
There always has to be a boogie man that lives in your head. :eusa_whistle:
 
Last edited:
You just can't admit to the wins, what a strange world you live in Dante.
There always have to be a boogie man that lives in your head. :eusa_whistle:
Trump claims as usual it's an unprecedented "win" when in reality it is almost nothing

You just can't admit your keep backing and defending a Buffoon
 
Trump claims as usual it's an unprecedented "win" when in reality it is almost nothing
You just can't admit your keep backing and defending a Buffoon
I'm retired and receiving SS. My Federal Taxes are much lower.
I'm sure people receiving tips and working OT are also grateful for the lower taxes.
Biden was the Buffoon.
 
I'm retired and receiving SS. My Federal Taxes are much lower.
I'm sure people receiving tips and working OT are also grateful for the lower taxes.
Biden was the Buffoon.
Many People will be paying back any gains because of tariffs and more Trump eco-nonsense
 
Good news.

And tomorrow we should get 4th quarter 2025, first estimate GDP numbers.


...
Total nonfarm payrolls blew past “expert” estimations of approximately 55,000 to 75,000—coming in hot at 130,000. Businesses continued to hire American-born workers ...
President Donald Trump inherited an economy that was expanding the public sector and shrinking the private sector. The January 2025 Employment Situation report showed 32,000 added government jobs and, after downward revisions, a loss of 48,000 private payrolls.
The Trump administration’s efforts to reverse the harmful labor effects of the Biden years is finally bearing fruit. The January 2026 report illuminates total private sector employment increased by 172,000 and government employment decreased by 42,000.
The data is astoundingly clear: The productive private sector is growing and the unproductive public sector is shrinking.
...
In addition to employment stability, inflation signals continued cooling toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
Headline CPI approximated 2.4% year-over-year, down from 2.7% in December 2025. Driven by reductions in energy prices, this marks the lowest annual rate since May 2025. Core CPI approximated 2.5%, the lowest since March of 2021, reflecting that inflation is moderating.
But these optimistic Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers may be an understatement, still. Truflation, a platform that provides real-time inflation data by tracking millions of prices per day, estimates real inflation below 1%.
And with consumer prices cooling, Americans can enjoy a higher standard of living.
In January 2026, average wages grew by 0.4% with CPI increasing only 0.2% month-over-month. As wage growth continues to outpace inflation, as it has done under Trump, affordability becomes achievable for more Americans.
This is the exact opposite of what happened under the previous administration.
...


Great news for Americans, bad news for Democrats.
 
Government workers and HR department are the same. Both can’t produce anything but love to dictate those who generate revenues.
 
So, to recap the past week.


Stagflation risk rising.
 
Good news.

And tomorrow we should get 4th quarter 2025, first estimate GDP numbers.


...
Total nonfarm payrolls blew past “expert” estimations of approximately 55,000 to 75,000—coming in hot at 130,000. Businesses continued to hire American-born workers ...
President Donald Trump inherited an economy that was expanding the public sector and shrinking the private sector. The January 2025 Employment Situation report showed 32,000 added government jobs and, after downward revisions, a loss of 48,000 private payrolls.
The Trump administration’s efforts to reverse the harmful labor effects of the Biden years is finally bearing fruit. The January 2026 report illuminates total private sector employment increased by 172,000 and government employment decreased by 42,000.
The data is astoundingly clear: The productive private sector is growing and the unproductive public sector is shrinking.
...
In addition to employment stability, inflation signals continued cooling toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
Headline CPI approximated 2.4% year-over-year, down from 2.7% in December 2025. Driven by reductions in energy prices, this marks the lowest annual rate since May 2025. Core CPI approximated 2.5%, the lowest since March of 2021, reflecting that inflation is moderating.
But these optimistic Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers may be an understatement, still. Truflation, a platform that provides real-time inflation data by tracking millions of prices per day, estimates real inflation below 1%.
And with consumer prices cooling, Americans can enjoy a higher standard of living.
In January 2026, average wages grew by 0.4% with CPI increasing only 0.2% month-over-month. As wage growth continues to outpace inflation, as it has done under Trump, affordability becomes achievable for more Americans.
This is the exact opposite of what happened under the previous administration.
...


Inflation was up and employment is almost always up regardless of President.
 
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