Early Voting Totals Not Looking Great For Republicans So Far

[Billo_Really]

Yep, You’re voting for an idiot who’s beliefs you can’t articulate

That's better than voting for some nut you can't articulate!

 

[Concerned American]

Yet you can't refute what I told you, lightweight. As always.

You've got no facts, no game, and no intellect.

You haven't got a clue. The "facts" that you are posting are nothing but "who cast early votes" You have no idea who those votes were cast for--but not to worry, you'll find out on Nov. 6 and you ain't gonna be happy bro.

 

[Dr. Phosphorous]

Those margins were greater in 2020. If anything this shows Republicans are choosing to vote early more this cycle than they did the last cycle.

This is very lopsided. Republicans should be worried.

The margins were greater in 2020 because of covid. That doesn't mean that Trump has more support this election, not even close.

 

[Billo_Really]

We know this because if you dont vote Democrat you aint black......

We know this because Republicans are stupid dumbasses!

 

[Auld Phart]

Bullshit! Democrats think for themselves, Republicans do not@

of course they do.



that's why they elected supported Biden up til they saw just how far gone he was mentally at the debate.

and why they are now backing his second in command, despite her inability to put 2 sentences together.

they 'think'(?) for themselves.

 

[tahuyaman]

That's better than voting for some nut you can't articulate!

Huh? That was dumb.

 

[tahuyaman]

Bullshit! Democrats think for themselves, Republicans do not@

Lol. That was a good one.

 

[Dr. Phosphorous]

Democrats tend to vote early and by mail-in ballot more than Republicans. So this does not mean anything.

This is why Trump declared victory on election night, because he knew he was going to get his ass kicked by mail-in and absentee ballots.

At least in the case of Pennsylvania, it does mean something. And if it means something in PA, then it probably means something in every battleground state.

Republican officials in PA have been encouraging their voters to vote early and it's not working. --

In the past two election cycles, Republicans have been far less eager to vote by mail than Democrats — and their candidates have suffered because of it. This year, Republicans made Pennsylvania their target for flipping the trend, pledging more than $10 million to persuade G.O.P. voters there to vote by mail in the November election.

Early data from the secretary of state’s office shows that they still have a long way to go.

As of Monday, Democrats in the state had requested about 881,000 mail ballots, and Republicans had requested 373,000, less than half of the Democratic total and only about a quarter of the total mail ballots requested in the state.

Pennsylvania Republicans Lag Democrats in Early Mail Ballot Requests

Encouraging voters to cast mail ballots — and cast them early — benefits political campaigns. But former President Donald J. Trump’s skepticism has hurt Republican efforts in a key state.

www.nytimes.com

 

[Couchpotato]

This is very lopsided. Republicans should be worried.

The margins were greater in 2020 because of covid. That doesn't mean that Trump has more support this election, not even close.

? You're pointing out that the margins are large but they were larger in 2020, and that election was razor thin. Not sure how the margins being smaller this election cycle than last is some signal that it's going to skew the vote toward the side with the smaller piece of the pie.

 

[Couchpotato]

We know this because Republicans are stupid dumbasses!

LOL. Compelling.

 

[Dr. Phosphorous]

? You're pointing out that the margins are large but they were larger in 2020, and that election was razor thin. Not sure how the margins being smaller this election cycle than last is some signal that it's going to skew the vote toward the side with the smaller piece of the pie.

I actually don't know if the margins were bigger or smaller in 2020. Do you have that data?

You shouldn't forget that Trump lost in 2020....due mainly to the giant deficits he faced from early voting.

 

[Couchpotato]

I actually don't know if the margins were bigger or smaller in 2020. Do you have that data?

You shouldn't forget that Trump lost in 2020....due mainly to the giant deficits he faced from early voting.

Yes, he lost but the margins were exceedingly small. I think it was like if 6 swing counties in swing states had gone the other way Trump wins and Biden loses. We are talking less than 100k votes switching. Hilary was ahead by 9 points, and lost. Biden was ahead by 7 and barely won. Harris and Trump are running a dead heat. Maybe the pollsters have fixed their modeling but I kind of doubt it.

 

[Dr. Phosphorous]

View attachment 1027196

Yes, he lost but the margins were exceedingly small. I think it was like if 6 swing counties in swing states had gone the other way Trump wins and Biden loses. We are talking less than 100k votes switching. Hilary was ahead by 9 points, and lost. Biden was ahead by 7 and barely won. Harris and Trump are running a dead heat. Maybe the pollsters have fixed their modeling but I kind of doubt it.

This is nice data, but it doesn't address my question.

My data shows voter registration...it doesn't show who they are voting for. If I had to guess, more registered Republicans and more registered Independents are going to vote for Harris in 2024 than they did for Biden in 2020.

Two main reasons why I feel this way:

1) Trump's criminality and derangement, as illustrated on Jan 6.

2) The overturning of Roe vs Wade.

 

[Billy000]

? If you vote before Nov 5th does your vote count for more than if you vote on Nov 5? If not what's the "advantage"?

Moron, if millions of people wait until ED to vote, there is a decent probability many of those millions won’t because of the two factors I gave you. How stupid are you exactly?

 

[Mr. Friscus]

It's still early, but this does not look great for Republicans so far. --

Over 400,000 people have voted so far in Pennsylvania, and registered Democratic voters vs registered Republican voters is currently 69% to 23%.

Over 500,000 people have voted so far in Michigan, and registered Democratic voters vs registered Republican voters is currently 57% to 34%.

Over 200,000 people have voted so far in Wisconsin, and registered Democratic voters vs registered Republican voters is currently 40% to 19%.

Over 700,000 people have voted so far in Virginia, and registered Democratic voters vs registered Republican voters is currently 53% to 38%.

Early Voting and Mail-In Ballots by State 2024 Results

View the results for mail-in and early in-person ballots in your state for the 2024 general elections

www.nbcnews.com

Go ahead and bet on Harris then

 

[hadit]

What are you even talking about? I said no such thing

You didn't say that some things may "unexpectedly threaten the process"?

 

[Mr. Friscus]

This is nice data, but it doesn't address my question.

My data shows voter registration...it doesn't show who they are voting for. If I had to guess, more registered Republicans and more registered Independents are going to vote for Harris in 2024 than they did for Biden in 2020.

Two main reasons why I feel this way:

1) Trump's criminality and derangement, as illustrated on Jan 6.

2) The overturning of Roe vs Wade.

Neither of those issues are high on what people report as most important in the election.

You must be in a bubble

It’s about the economy, inflation, and the border

 

[Couchpotato]

Moron, if millions of people wait until ED to vote, there is a decent probability many of those millions won’t because of the two factors I gave you. How stupid are you exactly?

That's not an advantage for the voter dum dum.

 

[Couchpotato]

This is nice data, but it doesn't address my question.

My data shows voter registration...it doesn't show who they are voting for. If I had to guess, more registered Republicans and more registered Independents are going to vote for Harris in 2024 than they did for Biden in 2020.

Two main reasons why I feel this way:

1) Trump's criminality and derangement, as illustrated on Jan 6.

2) The overturning of Roe vs Wade.

In other words "Im going to impart my bias on all voters because I cant in any way imagine how anyone could possibly believe anything that I dont believe".

 

[Dr. Phosphorous]

In other words "Im going to impart my bias on all voters because I cant in any way imagine how anyone could possibly believe anything that I dont believe".

Trump's ceiling is 47% of the vote, as shown in the 2016 and 2020 elections.

There is simply no way he is going to do better than this, not after everything that has happened the past 4 years.

Maybe Trump can win the EC if he gets 44% or 45% of the vote, but I doubt it.