As Republicans here continue repeating a narrative not based in reality, the truth is that more people are leaning Democrat. That's what the same Gallup Poll Repubicans here have used to me claims about the death of the Democratic Party says.
Democrats Regain Advantage in Party Affiliation
Shift occurs even as Democratic Party favorability falls to record low
Americans’ party affiliation has flipped back toward the Democratic Party after the Republican Party held advantages for most of 2023 and 2024. However, these changes in party preference are occurring at a time when the Democratic Party’s image is at an all-time low and slightly worse than that of the Republican Party. Further, Americans are no more likely to believe Democrats are better than Republicans at managing the federal government or bringing about changes the country needs.
Shifts in party affiliation away from the ruling party have occurred in the first year of most recent presidential administrations. The current movement in party preferences is primarily driven by a greater share of political independents saying they lean toward the Democratic Party.
Party Preferences Shift in Second Quarter
In the second quarter of 2025, an average of 46% of U.S. adults identified as Democrats or said they are independents who lean toward the Democratic Party, while 43% identified as Republicans or said they lean Republican.
That three-percentage-point Democratic advantage compares with a tie between the two parties in the first quarter of 2025, after a four-point Republican lead in the fourth quarter of 2024. Until now, the Republican Party had led or tied in most quarters since 2023.
Americans' party identification has shifted from a Republican advantage in 2024 to a Democratic advantage in the second quarter of 2025.
news.gallup.com