The mistake conservatives are making is to believe that current conditions will be in place come 2024.
If we go into 2024 with inflation under control, unemployment low, and sustained economic growth, Biden will have no problem being reelected.
Republicans taking control of Congress in 2023 will also benefit Biden, as the voters have a penchant for divided government and gridlock.
Indeed, going into 2020, it was widely expected that Trump would win reelection, riding Obama’s strong economy to a second term – even after the madness, insanity, and turmoil what was the Trump ‘presidency.’
That didn’t happen, of course, because of Trump’s mishandling of the pandemic and resulting recession.
It will always be about the economy.