And all swing states Trump won in 2016 are now leaning D
Donald Trump won the last election despite losing the popular vote by 3 points. However, our data suggests he has a bigger hill to climb this year, as he trails the presumptive Democratic nominee by 14 points among registered voters (49%-35%).
abacusdata.ca
ROFLMFAO ROFLMFAO ROFLMFAO ROFLMFAO ROFLMFAO ROFLMFAO
O
M
G
SON OF A *****...THEY ALREADY FIXED THEIR MISTAKE
I started reading the nonsense and couldn't stop, I'm like...
OMG, really, poll my ass, try an opinion piece supported by poll results
But when my eyes read this... In swing states that Trump won in
201(FL, IA, MI, NC, OH, PA, WI)
INSTANTANEOUSLY Event 201 came to mind and I'm like...O M G
So, just a little about the Chairman of ABACUS
Mr. Anderson has served as a pollster and/or strategic advisor to political leaders in the Liberal and Progressive Conservative parties. He has worked extensively with many major corporations and organizations including Shaw Communications, TELUS, BCE, Enbridge, Imperial Oil, BP, Cenovus, RBC, CIBC, Teck, BC Hydro, the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, the Canadian Energy Pipeline Association, the Mining Association of Canada, CropLife, the Forest Products Association of Canada, and the Canadian Bankers Association.
And CEO, founding partner 35 yr old David Coletto
An outspoken proponent of transparency in the polling industry, David is regularly called up by media and organizations to provide expert analyses of public opinion and research methodologies.
Outspoken proponent of transparency in the polling industry my ass
ABACUS DATA
METHODOLOGY
The survey was conducted with 1,500 American adults from June 11 to 13, 2020.
A random sample of panelists was invited to complete the survey from a set of partner panels based on the Lucid exchange platform. These partners are typically double opt-in survey panels, blended to manage out potential skews in the data from a single source.
The margin of error for a
comparable probability-based random sample of the same size
is +/- 2.5%, 19 times out of 20.
~~~~~~~~~~~
A 'partner' is a dedicated, reliable respondent who is compensated for taking surveys
They have extensive profiles of information they provided
The significance of double opt-in is....
where respondents have gone through an industry-regulated double opt-in registration process to specifically join a research panel. Double opt-in means the respondent signed up for the panel, received an email to confirm the registration, and then click on a link back to the panel site to complete registration. With panel sample, the demographic profile of the respondents is consistently collected and maintained/updated in a master database. We know who these people are and we can target them for specific types of research studies. Panels also have a defined periodic panel cleansing/refresh process that infuses “fresh” respondents while also removing respondents who demonstrate a pattern of poor quality response behaviors.
So, here is how ABACUS created...uh, I mean conducted
the survey you saw fit to share
Hmmm, ABACUS KNEW the people they were choosing to invite to take the survey
Yep...that's how you get the 'right' answers for the questions you're asking
Buy the right respondents
