Associated Press - Trump is winning big with his base, but there’s no sign that he’s broadening support

In a recent analysis by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Linley Sanders, and Josh Boak for the Associated Press, Donald Trump emerges as a formidable contender in the Republican primary races, securing significant support among South Carolina Republicans who view him as the most viable candidate for the November election, capable of ensuring national safety and possessing the requisite mental acuity for the presidency. Despite these victories signaling his dominance within the Republican primaries, the broader appeal of Trump among general election voters is yet to be determined.

The AP VoteCast data illustrates that Trump has effectively rallied the GOP's core demographic, predominantly white, over the age of 50, and largely non-college educated, across Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina. This demographic starkly contrasts with the more diverse electorate Trump needs to attract in the general election, especially to counter potential shifts towards candidates like former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, whose influence in the primaries has been modest but indicative of potential challenges for Trump.

Furthermore, the data indicates a significant portion of Trump's opposition within the Republican primaries consists of voters who have previously withdrawn their support. This shift, alongside the Republican party's reversal on key policy positions, embracing certain large-scale government initiatives and scaling back international commitments, underscores the evolving dynamics within the party.

The AP VoteCast surveys, conducted by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, encompassed 1,597 Republican caucus-goers in Iowa, 1,989 participants in New Hampshire's Republican primary, and 2,466 voters in South Carolina's Republican primary, offering a comprehensive glimpse into the current state of Republican voter sentiment.
Jesus, Tom!

How much broader does Trump's support have to be?


By the time of the first 2024 caucus in Iowa this month, Trump had secured endorsements from 120 House Republicans and nearly half the Republicans in the Senate. On Wednesday, after Trump won the New Hampshire primary, the number of endorsements climbed even higher, with a solid majority of Republicans in both chambers of Congress.

Former President Trump holds a 6-point lead over President Biden in a hypothetical 2024 match-up, new polling shows, even as the Republican frontrunner faces mounting legal woes.

A Harvard CAPS-Harris poll found Trump with 48 percent to Biden’s 42 percent in a head-to-head race, with another 9 percent of registered voters unsure who they would back between the two.

Even if Trump is indicted in one of his legal battles, the polling suggests he could still defeat Biden.


I think they mean "Even if Trump is convicted . . . " not "indicted," since he has been indicted dozens of times by Soros-surrogate prosecutors.
 
In a recent analysis by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Linley Sanders, and Josh Boak for the Associated Press, Donald Trump emerges as a formidable contender in the Republican primary races, securing significant support among South Carolina Republicans who view him as the most viable candidate for the November election, capable of ensuring national safety and possessing the requisite mental acuity for the presidency. Despite these victories signaling his dominance within the Republican primaries, the broader appeal of Trump among general election voters is yet to be determined.

The AP VoteCast data illustrates that Trump has effectively rallied the GOP's core demographic, predominantly white, over the age of 50, and largely non-college educated, across Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina. This demographic starkly contrasts with the more diverse electorate Trump needs to attract in the general election, especially to counter potential shifts towards candidates like former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, whose influence in the primaries has been modest but indicative of potential challenges for Trump.

Furthermore, the data indicates a significant portion of Trump's opposition within the Republican primaries consists of voters who have previously withdrawn their support. This shift, alongside the Republican party's reversal on key policy positions, embracing certain large-scale government initiatives and scaling back international commitments, underscores the evolving dynamics within the party.

The AP VoteCast surveys, conducted by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, encompassed 1,597 Republican caucus-goers in Iowa, 1,989 participants in New Hampshire's Republican primary, and 2,466 voters in South Carolina's Republican primary, offering a comprehensive glimpse into the current state of Republican voter sentiment.
So the black and Hispanic voters do not count that are flocking to him while their neighborhoods are destroyed by illegals do not count. Ridiculous claim.
 
In a recent analysis by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Linley Sanders, and Josh Boak for the Associated Press, Donald Trump emerges as a formidable contender in the Republican primary races, securing significant support among South Carolina Republicans who view him as the most viable candidate for the November election, capable of ensuring national safety and possessing the requisite mental acuity for the presidency. Despite these victories signaling his dominance within the Republican primaries, the broader appeal of Trump among general election voters is yet to be determined.

The AP VoteCast data illustrates that Trump has effectively rallied the GOP's core demographic, predominantly white, over the age of 50, and largely non-college educated, across Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina. This demographic starkly contrasts with the more diverse electorate Trump needs to attract in the general election, especially to counter potential shifts towards candidates like former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, whose influence in the primaries has been modest but indicative of potential challenges for Trump.

Furthermore, the data indicates a significant portion of Trump's opposition within the Republican primaries consists of voters who have previously withdrawn their support. This shift, alongside the Republican party's reversal on key policy positions, embracing certain large-scale government initiatives and scaling back international commitments, underscores the evolving dynamics within the party.

The AP VoteCast surveys, conducted by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, encompassed 1,597 Republican caucus-goers in Iowa, 1,989 participants in New Hampshire's Republican primary, and 2,466 voters in South Carolina's Republican primary, offering a comprehensive glimpse into the current state of Republican voter sentiment.
LOL. Trump is ahead in every swing state and all betting venues have Trump winning.
 
In a recent analysis by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Linley Sanders, and Josh Boak for the Associated Press, Donald Trump emerges as a formidable contender in the Republican primary races, securing significant support among South Carolina Republicans who view him as the most viable candidate for the November election, capable of ensuring national safety and possessing the requisite mental acuity for the presidency. Despite these victories signaling his dominance within the Republican primaries, the broader appeal of Trump among general election voters is yet to be determined.

The AP VoteCast data illustrates that Trump has effectively rallied the GOP's core demographic, predominantly white, over the age of 50, and largely non-college educated, across Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina. This demographic starkly contrasts with the more diverse electorate Trump needs to attract in the general election, especially to counter potential shifts towards candidates like former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, whose influence in the primaries has been modest but indicative of potential challenges for Trump.

Furthermore, the data indicates a significant portion of Trump's opposition within the Republican primaries consists of voters who have previously withdrawn their support. This shift, alongside the Republican party's reversal on key policy positions, embracing certain large-scale government initiatives and scaling back international commitments, underscores the evolving dynamics within the party.

The AP VoteCast surveys, conducted by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, encompassed 1,597 Republican caucus-goers in Iowa, 1,989 participants in New Hampshire's Republican primary, and 2,466 voters in South Carolina's Republican primary, offering a comprehensive glimpse into the current state of Republican voter sentiment.
A lot of Americans do not support Trump. Probably it is because they keep thinking about the potential impacts.

Potential Impacts of Trump Winning the White House Again in 2024

The potential impacts of Donald Trump winning the White House again in 2024 is a topic of speculation and debate. Here are some insights from many sources.

1. Domestic Impact: Experts suggest that a second Trump term could have significant consequences for the United States. Some argue that it could lead to further damage to American democracy and institutions, as well as a transformation of the American experience into something unrecognizable. Concerns have been raised about the potential erosion of democratic norms, attacks on the Constitution, and the rule of law. These are speculative assessments and opinions.

2. International Impact: A second Trump term could also have implications for the rest of the world. The reactions of America's allies and adversaries would vary, but it is suggested that a Trump victory could lead to a reevaluation of the post-World War II period of American leadership. Some allies may seek alternative partnerships or cut deals with other countries like China and Russia, while others may consider pursuing an independent nuclear deterrent. The global perception of American leadership and cooperation could be affected.

3. Policy Changes: If Trump were to win again, it is expected that he would pursue his policy agenda in an unconstrained manner. This could include actions such as U.S. withdrawals from international agreements like NATO, security agreements with Japan and South Korea, and the Paris climate accord. It is also suggested that there could be a purge of civil servants and a more focused agenda of retaliation against adversaries.

These potential impacts are based on speculation and opinions from various sources. The actual outcomes and consequences of a Trump victory in 2024 would depend on a range of factors, including the political landscape, policy decisions, and the reactions of various stakeholders.

Sources :

1. https://www.washingtonpost.com/magazine/2022/10/10/country-after-second-trump-term/

2. What Will the World Look Like if Trump Wins? - Fair Observer

3. CHRISSY STROOP: If Trump wins again, the rule of law is over

4. What a second Trump term would mean for the world | Brookings

5. https://newrepublic.com/article/165986/what-if-trump-wins-2024
 
Don't get your hopes up too soon.
We have 8 months to go.
The Dems will come out with some new smears on Trump in Sept or Oct.
 
A lot of Americans do not support Trump. Probably it is because they keep thinking about the potential impacts.

Potential Impacts of Trump Winning the White House Again in 2024

The potential impacts of Donald Trump winning the White House again in 2024 is a topic of speculation and debate. Here are some insights from many sources.

1. Domestic Impact: Experts suggest that a second Trump term could have significant consequences for the United States. Some argue that it could lead to further damage to American democracy and institutions, as well as a transformation of the American experience into something unrecognizable. Concerns have been raised about the potential erosion of democratic norms, attacks on the Constitution, and the rule of law. These are speculative assessments and opinions.

2. International Impact: A second Trump term could also have implications for the rest of the world. The reactions of America's allies and adversaries would vary, but it is suggested that a Trump victory could lead to a reevaluation of the post-World War II period of American leadership. Some allies may seek alternative partnerships or cut deals with other countries like China and Russia, while others may consider pursuing an independent nuclear deterrent. The global perception of American leadership and cooperation could be affected.

3. Policy Changes: If Trump were to win again, it is expected that he would pursue his policy agenda in an unconstrained manner. This could include actions such as U.S. withdrawals from international agreements like NATO, security agreements with Japan and South Korea, and the Paris climate accord. It is also suggested that there could be a purge of civil servants and a more focused agenda of retaliation against adversaries.

These potential impacts are based on speculation and opinions from various sources. The actual outcomes and consequences of a Trump victory in 2024 would depend on a range of factors, including the political landscape, policy decisions, and the reactions of various stakeholders.

Sources :

1. https://www.washingtonpost.com/magazine/2022/10/10/country-after-second-trump-term/

2. What Will the World Look Like if Trump Wins? - Fair Observer

3. CHRISSY STROOP: If Trump wins again, the rule of law is over

4. What a second Trump term would mean for the world | Brookings

5. What If Trump Wins in 2024? Here’s What 13 Famous Politicians and Pundits Said.
What a bunch of shit.
 
There are almost no similarities between the Democratic platform and Trump's. I would not even give Biden credit for having and agenda other than filling his and his family's bank accounts with millions of "pay for access" dollars.

Let's start with the "Climate Change/Green Agenda" pushed so hard by the Democrats. Trump would immediately change course and get the US back into major oil production, replenish our SOR and start pushing natural gas which gives us an enormous economic and strategic advantages. You haven't been around, but I have been a staunch advocate for a sane, long term plan for transitioning away from fossil fuels as the supplies diminish and the green technology matures. That is what Trump will do as he is a business man with common sense.

Secondly, Trump understood the dangers of illegal immigration and implemented multiple policies to get it under control which he did. But Biden's Democrats blew up everything he did and Myorkas implemented the new rubber stamp process. That is why we have 5 to 10 thousand illegals per day swarming our border.
Trump also knew the problem begins thousands of miles from the border which is why he pressured Obrador to engage his troops and police to stop the caravans that THEIR border and wherever they were and keep them in Mexico or turn them back. There were multiple policies Trump enacted that kept our border manageable and he would bring them back plus some new and improved ones.
The Democrats WANT illegal immigration and are only paying lip service to the massive problems they have caused because it is killing Biden in the polls. They still will DO nothing but make speeches and posture because they want the flood to continue. It is exactly what they want.
Ok good. If we are to engage in a logical and objective discussion on the differences between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, specifically focusing on climate change, energy policy, and immigration, we should examine their policies, the rationale behind them, and their implications.

Climate Change and Energy Policy

Former President Trump's approach to energy policy emphasized deregulation and support for the fossil fuel industry, with significant moves like withdrawing the U.S. from the Paris Agreement and promoting "American energy dominance." This strategy aimed to bolster economic growth and job creation in the short term by capitalizing on the country's oil and natural gas resources. However, critics argue that this focus on fossil fuels neglects the long-term environmental costs, such as climate change and pollution, and misses opportunities in the growing renewable energy sector.

On the other hand, President Biden has prioritized combating climate change, rejoining the Paris Agreement, and setting ambitious goals for reducing carbon emissions. His administration advocates for a transition to renewable energy, proposing investments in green technology and infrastructure. This approach aims to address the urgent need to combat climate change while also envisioning economic growth through new sectors and job creation in renewable energy. Nonetheless, opponents of these policies argue they could lead to job losses in traditional energy sectors and impose significant costs on the economy during the transition.

Immigration Policy

Trump's immigration policies focused on stringent measures, including building a border wall and implementing the Remain in Mexico policy, to curb illegal immigration. These actions were defended as necessary for national security and economic protection. However, they faced criticism for humanitarian concerns and the effectiveness of such measures in addressing the complex factors driving migration.

Biden's administration has sought to adopt a more humane approach to immigration, aiming to reform the system while still ensuring border security. Efforts to address the root causes of migration through foreign aid and ending policies like Remain in Mexico reflect this shift. While this approach is lauded for its focus on human rights and addressing migration's underlying issues, critics argue it might encourage illegal immigration and strain resources at the border.

Corruption Accusations

Regarding accusations of corruption or "pay for access," it's crucial to rely on credible evidence and investigations. Allegations should be scrutinized with transparency and accountability, irrespective of the political figure involved.

Pros and Cons Analysis

Climate Change and Energy Policy: Trump's focus on fossil fuels could boost economic growth and job creation in the short term but risks environmental damage and missing the renewable energy sector's opportunities. Biden's emphasis on combating climate change and investing in green technology promises long-term environmental benefits and new economic opportunities but faces challenges in transitioning from traditional energy sectors and potential short-term economic impacts.

Immigration Policy: Trump's strict immigration policies aimed to enhance national security and job protection but raised humanitarian concerns and questions about their long-term effectiveness. Biden's more humane approach seeks to address migration's root causes and improve the immigration system's fairness but faces challenges in managing border security and potential perceptions of encouraging illegal immigration.

In each case, the decision's pros and cons reflect a balance between immediate benefits and long-term impacts, economic growth and environmental sustainability, and security and humanitarian concerns. It's important to base any discussion on these topics on factual information and comprehensive analysis to foster a constructive debate.

The assessment of policies and their impacts, whether from President Biden or former President Trump, often depends on the values, priorities, and long-term goals one holds. Here's a concise opinion and evaluation to encapsulate the essence of their differences:

Climate Change and Energy Policy: Trump's policies were geared towards maximizing immediate economic gains from fossil fuels, prioritizing energy independence and job creation in these sectors. This approach has its merits in supporting economic growth and leveraging existing resources but faces criticism for potentially exacerbating environmental challenges and climate change. On the other hand, Biden's focus on renewable energy and climate change aims to mitigate long-term environmental risks and invest in future-proof industries, promising sustainability and new job opportunities. However, it also involves transition challenges, including economic adjustments for industries and workers reliant on fossil fuels.

Immigration Policy: Trump's stringent immigration controls were aimed at bolstering national security and protecting domestic labor markets, addressing immediate concerns about illegal immigration. This approach is seen as beneficial from a security and job protection standpoint but criticized for its potential humanitarian implications and long-term effectiveness. Biden's more compassionate and comprehensive approach seeks to address the root causes of migration and reform the immigration system, which could lead to more sustainable solutions but also faces challenges in balancing humanitarian goals with border security.

Evaluation:

Neither Purely Good nor Bad: Each set of policies reflects a different set of priorities and trade-offs. Trump's policies emphasize immediate economic and security benefits, potentially at the cost of long-term environmental sustainability and humanitarian concerns. Biden's policies, conversely, focus on long-term sustainability and humanitarian approaches, with the trade-offs being the economic adjustments required and the challenges of implementing comprehensive reform.

Different, But Both Have Merits and Drawbacks: It's not a matter of right or wrong in absolute terms but rather which set of trade-offs one is willing to accept. Each approach has its rationale and intended benefits, as well as its costs and potential downsides. The evaluation of these policies can vary significantly based on individual or collective judgments about what is most important for the country's future.

In summary, the distinction between the policies of Biden and Trump reflects deeper debates about immediate versus long-term priorities, economic growth versus environmental sustainability, and strict security versus humanitarian concerns in immigration. The effectiveness and desirability of their policies can be seen through different lenses, emphasizing the complexity of governance where diverse and often conflicting interests must be balanced but that's just my opinion of course.
 
That same article from the Times said: "New polls by The New York Times and Siena College found that 22 percent of Black voters in six of the most important battleground states said they would support former President Donald J. Trump in next year’s election, and 71 percent would back Mr. Biden."
That's good news
 
Ok good. If we are to engage in a logical and objective discussion on the differences between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, specifically focusing on climate change, energy policy, and immigration, we should examine their policies, the rationale behind them, and their implications.

Climate Change and Energy Policy

Former President Trump's approach to energy policy emphasized deregulation and support for the fossil fuel industry, with significant moves like withdrawing the U.S. from the Paris Agreement and promoting "American energy dominance." This strategy aimed to bolster economic growth and job creation in the short term by capitalizing on the country's oil and natural gas resources. However, critics argue that this focus on fossil fuels neglects the long-term environmental costs, such as climate change and pollution, and misses opportunities in the growing renewable energy sector.

On the other hand, President Biden has prioritized combating climate change, rejoining the Paris Agreement, and setting ambitious goals for reducing carbon emissions. His administration advocates for a transition to renewable energy, proposing investments in green technology and infrastructure. This approach aims to address the urgent need to combat climate change while also envisioning economic growth through new sectors and job creation in renewable energy. Nonetheless, opponents of these policies argue they could lead to job losses in traditional energy sectors and impose significant costs on the economy during the transition.

Immigration Policy

Trump's immigration policies focused on stringent measures, including building a border wall and implementing the Remain in Mexico policy, to curb illegal immigration. These actions were defended as necessary for national security and economic protection. However, they faced criticism for humanitarian concerns and the effectiveness of such measures in addressing the complex factors driving migration.

Biden's administration has sought to adopt a more humane approach to immigration, aiming to reform the system while still ensuring border security. Efforts to address the root causes of migration through foreign aid and ending policies like Remain in Mexico reflect this shift. While this approach is lauded for its focus on human rights and addressing migration's underlying issues, critics argue it might encourage illegal immigration and strain resources at the border.

Corruption Accusations

Regarding accusations of corruption or "pay for access," it's crucial to rely on credible evidence and investigations. Allegations should be scrutinized with transparency and accountability, irrespective of the political figure involved.

Pros and Cons Analysis

Climate Change and Energy Policy: Trump's focus on fossil fuels could boost economic growth and job creation in the short term but risks environmental damage and missing the renewable energy sector's opportunities. Biden's emphasis on combating climate change and investing in green technology promises long-term environmental benefits and new economic opportunities but faces challenges in transitioning from traditional energy sectors and potential short-term economic impacts.

Immigration Policy: Trump's strict immigration policies aimed to enhance national security and job protection but raised humanitarian concerns and questions about their long-term effectiveness. Biden's more humane approach seeks to address migration's root causes and improve the immigration system's fairness but faces challenges in managing border security and potential perceptions of encouraging illegal immigration.

In each case, the decision's pros and cons reflect a balance between immediate benefits and long-term impacts, economic growth and environmental sustainability, and security and humanitarian concerns. It's important to base any discussion on these topics on factual information and comprehensive analysis to foster a constructive debate.

The assessment of policies and their impacts, whether from President Biden or former President Trump, often depends on the values, priorities, and long-term goals one holds. Here's a concise opinion and evaluation to encapsulate the essence of their differences:

Climate Change and Energy Policy: Trump's policies were geared towards maximizing immediate economic gains from fossil fuels, prioritizing energy independence and job creation in these sectors. This approach has its merits in supporting economic growth and leveraging existing resources but faces criticism for potentially exacerbating environmental challenges and climate change. On the other hand, Biden's focus on renewable energy and climate change aims to mitigate long-term environmental risks and invest in future-proof industries, promising sustainability and new job opportunities. However, it also involves transition challenges, including economic adjustments for industries and workers reliant on fossil fuels.

Immigration Policy: Trump's stringent immigration controls were aimed at bolstering national security and protecting domestic labor markets, addressing immediate concerns about illegal immigration. This approach is seen as beneficial from a security and job protection standpoint but criticized for its potential humanitarian implications and long-term effectiveness. Biden's more compassionate and comprehensive approach seeks to address the root causes of migration and reform the immigration system, which could lead to more sustainable solutions but also faces challenges in balancing humanitarian goals with border security.

Evaluation:

Neither Purely Good nor Bad: Each set of policies reflects a different set of priorities and trade-offs. Trump's policies emphasize immediate economic and security benefits, potentially at the cost of long-term environmental sustainability and humanitarian concerns. Biden's policies, conversely, focus on long-term sustainability and humanitarian approaches, with the trade-offs being the economic adjustments required and the challenges of implementing comprehensive reform.

Different, But Both Have Merits and Drawbacks: It's not a matter of right or wrong in absolute terms but rather which set of trade-offs one is willing to accept. Each approach has its rationale and intended benefits, as well as its costs and potential downsides. The evaluation of these policies can vary significantly based on individual or collective judgments about what is most important for the country's future.

In summary, the distinction between the policies of Biden and Trump reflects deeper debates about immediate versus long-term priorities, economic growth versus environmental sustainability, and strict security versus humanitarian concerns in immigration. The effectiveness and desirability of their policies can be seen through different lenses, emphasizing the complexity of governance where diverse and often conflicting interests must be balanced but that's just my opinion of course.
Too bad you are leaving, you are one of the few I have encountered on this board who understands debate and discussion without interjecting animus.
 
In a recent analysis by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Linley Sanders, and Josh Boak for the Associated Press, Donald Trump emerges as a formidable contender in the Republican primary races, securing significant support among South Carolina Republicans who view him as the most viable candidate for the November election, capable of ensuring national safety and possessing the requisite mental acuity for the presidency. Despite these victories signaling his dominance within the Republican primaries, the broader appeal of Trump among general election voters is yet to be determined.

The AP VoteCast data illustrates that Trump has effectively rallied the GOP's core demographic, predominantly white, over the age of 50, and largely non-college educated, across Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina. This demographic starkly contrasts with the more diverse electorate Trump needs to attract in the general election, especially to counter potential shifts towards candidates like former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, whose influence in the primaries has been modest but indicative of potential challenges for Trump.

Furthermore, the data indicates a significant portion of Trump's opposition within the Republican primaries consists of voters who have previously withdrawn their support. This shift, alongside the Republican party's reversal on key policy positions, embracing certain large-scale government initiatives and scaling back international commitments, underscores the evolving dynamics within the party.

The AP VoteCast surveys, conducted by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, encompassed 1,597 Republican caucus-goers in Iowa, 1,989 participants in New Hampshire's Republican primary, and 2,466 voters in South Carolina's Republican primary, offering a comprehensive glimpse into the current state of Republican voter sentiment.
^^^ WEF shills gaslighting Americans.

Trump is more popular now than he's ever been while claiming to be a Democrat is like admitting you're a pedo.
 

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