Aurora Woman
Not From Around Here
538 often has some interesting articles especially around election time. Their analyses and predictions based on mathematics plus polling are often quite accurate, although they dropped the ball big time in 2016. This what-if scenario article is fascinating, and a glimpse (if you extrapolate) into the angst behind fearful and angry white men -- and their ardent support for Trump.
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Imagine if only one group of Americans cast their ballots this November. What would happen to the electoral map? We’ve conducted this kind of thought experiment before; it can help shed light on why the parties are hoping that certain groups — such as suburban women for Democrats, white working class voters for Republicans — will help them win seats in 2018.
The groups we’re focused on are women, men, nonwhite voters and white voters by education level. To estimate just how Republican or Democratic those groups are, we looked at generic ballot polls from October that have crosstabs. .....
Source: What If Only Men Voted? Only Women? Only Nonwhite Voters?
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Imagine if only one group of Americans cast their ballots this November. What would happen to the electoral map? We’ve conducted this kind of thought experiment before; it can help shed light on why the parties are hoping that certain groups — such as suburban women for Democrats, white working class voters for Republicans — will help them win seats in 2018.
The groups we’re focused on are women, men, nonwhite voters and white voters by education level. To estimate just how Republican or Democratic those groups are, we looked at generic ballot polls from October that have crosstabs. .....
Source: What If Only Men Voted? Only Women? Only Nonwhite Voters?