- Thread starter
- #21
In all honesty, it wouldn't surprise me if the Tories were voted back in. But time has begun to tick on the so-called Conservative Party now that their grassroots supporters have seen them for what they are; and now have an alternative that is openly and fiercely hostile towards the European Union: UKIP.
Cameron was quoted earlier today as saying he would not rule out a coalition with UKIP. I do not believe for a minute that Conservatives can get enough votes to form a government unaided.
As to Scotland, they have unleashed a drive for English Independence - something they will likely come to regret.
In the South UKIP are the greatest threat to the Tories and in the North they are the greatest threat to Labour. In Scotland the rise of the SNP looks likely to displace a lot of Labour MPs north of the border. Ironically this might benefit the Tories. The SNP may well want a Tory government as it is the most likely to sway the hearts of Scottish voters to consider independence next time round. In a great many constituencies local polling is going to be crucial this time round as voters will make local choices to support their favourite party or to ensure that their least favourite party does not win. Tactical voting of this sort may well determine the election.
A Cameron- Farage alliance might be the best solution for Britain. Most British people do not really want to leave the EU in my view but they want change and this combination may well be the best one to force real changes with Cameron as a moderating force on UKIP demands and a referendum as the final arbiter of whether we stay or leave.