Top 20 Economies by 2030

[GHook93]

World's top 20 economic superpowers by 2030 - Rediff.com Business

(1) China
(2) USA
(3) India
(4) Japan
(5) Russia
(6) Brazil
(7) Germany
(8) Mexico
(9) UK
(10) France
(11) Indonesia
(12) Turkey
(13) Italy
(14) Sout Korea
(15) Spain
(16) Canada
(17) Saudi Arabia
(18) Australia
(19) Poland
(20) Argentina

Thoughts? I am surprised how far up Mexico is ranked!

 

[SteadyMercury]

I'm assuming this ranking by GDP.

 

[hipeter924]

I'm assuming this ranking by GDP.

Yep. Certainly not by GDP per capita, economic growth percentages and poverty rates.

 

[TheOldSchool]

Keep in mind that this list, when compared to the ACTUAL 2030 list, will be completely incorrect

 

[GHook93]

Keep in mind that this list, when compared to the ACTUAL 2030 list, will be completely incorrect

Very true. I think they under-estimate Germany and don't take into account the drop in oil usage over the next 20 years (through more efficient cars and the emergence of the electric car). But all of them have their issues.

(1) China (They are set for some troubles. 1. The one child policy has created a lost generation where the elderly will far far outweigh the workers. Therefore China can either shift it's capital away from promoting it's economy and taking care of it's elderly or do what they have done in the past, let the weak die. If they do the later, then it will cause extreme hardships and take away one of their huge competitive advantages and 2. The land of a billion virgins is a powder keg. Just imagine what will happen when millions of Chinese virgins show their frustrations!
(2) USA - $20 Trillion Debt, inner city violence out of control, inner city liberal policies destroying every major city in America, illegal immigration out of control, up-coming student loan debt crisis, the shrinking middle class, Islamic threat will lead to a major US city getting nuked or hit with a dirty bomb.
(3) India - Probably the fast emerging economy in the world, but they have over a billion people and set to overtake China (who is set to start decreasing). They still have a major poverty probably and a very uneducated and ignorant lower class. They also have 100 million Muslims that fight for their own country and cause nothing but issues (like Muslims always do). They also have a nuclear crazy arch-enemy in Pakistan.
(4) Japan - After Russia they have the lowest birth rate in the world. Expensive workforce.
(5) Russia - Highly reliant on oil and natural gas exports. Natural gas should increase, but not oil. They also have a decreasing population with the lowest birth rate in the world. They loss millions in population a year and don't have immigrates to replace them. They also have a growing Muslim population. This country could be headed to a religious civil war!
(6) Brazil - See India
(7) Germany - Expensive Western country. I think they are the most stable in the world though.
(8) Mexico - Drug cartels, the maybe shut off of sending their poor to America and the reworking of NAFTA, could put their economy at a halt
(9) UK - Expensive Western country might not be able to compete
(10) France - French socialist and large lazy and belligerent Muslim class will destroy them.
(11) Indonesia - Cheap labor is their competitive advantage. That could change.
(12) Turkey - Muslim radicals in charge are doing everything they can to destroy the great economy the secular government of past generation created
(13) Italy - See UK
(14) Sout Korea - Unification of the Koreas will severly hurt their economy.
(15) Spain - See France.
(16) Canada - Less oil usage will hurt them much in the same Russia gets hurt.
(17) Saudi Arabia - They will be dead when the oil usage decreases
(18) Australia - BS ranking. They should be higher, but low population and expensive labor force hurts them
(19) Poland - Eastern European mentality
(20) Argentina - They destroyed the world's best economy in the past and they could do it again.


My predictions of the top ten:
(1) USA - We stay on top with a Chinese slowdown
(2) China - Slowdown, but not out.
(3) India - Their new leader might be the best in the world!
(4) Germany - European beast continues
(5) Japan - after a lost decade they still remain close to the top. Imagine a so called productive decade.
(6) Brazil - Everyone ranks them high for good reason. I just don't think the beat the others.
(7) Mexico - They have a lower birth rate (that will make it manageable). The violence is high, but they have the fast growing middle class in the world. Once they get a stable middle class, the cartels influence will start to decrease
(8) UK - Always a good economy
(9) South Korea - Won't unify with the North and have a great economy.
(10) Canada - With the conservative in charge they only have a growing economy!

 

[SteadyMercury]

China has a problem with internal wages having risen enough that other countries like Thailand, Vietnam, etc. can look more attractive for manufacturing.