Today's polls - 10/31/08

Discussion in 'Congress' started by DavidS, Oct 31, 2008.

  1. DavidS

    DavidS Anti-Tea Party Member

    Sep 7, 2008
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    Thanks again to Electoral Projections Done Right Electoral Projections Done Right: Today's Polls, 10/31

    Is Pennsylvania John McCain's last, best hope?

    Perhaps it is. But that speaks as much to McCain's problems elsewhere on the map as any success he has had in the Keystone State. Pennsylvania does seem to be narrowing a bit: the Muhlenberg / Morning Call tracker is now down to "only" a 10-point lead for Senator Obama, while a Strategic Vision poll puts the race at O +5. Strategic Vision has had a Republican lean and some very erratic polling in Pennsylvania all year, so our model treats that result as the equivalent of a +7 or a +8. Nevertheless, with little progress being made elsewhere, McCain will take what he can get.

    Indeed, unlike other recent days, there is no good news for McCain in the national tracking polls. McCain gained a point in the Rasmussen tracker; the other seven all moved toward Obama, although by mere fractions of a point in the cases of Zogby and IBD/TIPP.

    McCain’s most severe problems, however, remain at the state level:


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