The Trumpian Divide IV: 1st Latino poll with Trump for 2016

[Statistikhengst]

This thread is an extension of this thread and this thread, but with separate data:


The Latino Vote Destino2016 Univision reveals the profile of the hispanic voter

http://huelladigital.univisionnoticias.com/the-latin-vote/Univision Hispanic Electorate Poll.pdf

1,400 Hispanic RV, Moe=+/-2.62

Political self-identification:

D 58 / R 16 / I 26

Political affiliation, by swing state:

Florida: D 42 / R 33 / I 25
Nevada: D 58 / R 18 / I 24
North Carolina: D 35 / R 27 / I 38
Colorado: D 55 / R 12 / I 33

Republican party:

Fav 36 / Unfav 52, -16

Democratic Party:

Fav 68 / Unfav 25, +43

Clinton:

Fav 68 / Unfav 26, +42

Bush, Jeb:

Fav 36 / Unfav 45, -9

Trump:

Fav 17 / Unfav 71, -64

More GOP fav/unfavs at the link


GOP nomination polling, pre and post Trump announcement:

And by swing-state:

DEM nomination polling: Clinton 73, Biden 8, Sanders 3: Clinton + 65


4 Swing states, Clinton vs. Bush, Latino vote:

Florida: Clinton (D) 49 / Bush (R) 44, Clinton +5
Nevada: Clinton (D) 67 / Bush (R) 24, Clinton +43
North Carolina: Clinton (D) 53 / Bush (R) 39, Clinton +14
Colorado: Clinton (D) 67 / Bush (R) 21, Clinton +46

Generic, GE, NATIONAL:

Democratic candidate: 62%
Republican candidate: 23%
undecided: 15%
Margin: D +39

Nationally, Clinton vs. GOP field:

Clinton (D) 69 / Walker (R) 20, Clinton +49
Clinton (D) 69 / Paul (R) 22, Clinton +47
Clinton (D) 69 / Cruz (R) 22, Clinton +47
Clinton (D) 66 / Rubio (R) 25, Clinton +41
Clinton (D) 64 / Bush (R) 27, Clinton +37


"Which political party do you think is more in line with your views on immigration policy?"

Democratic Party 60
Republican Party 24
neither 10
both 4
don't know 6

D +36



"During his speech announcing himself as a Republican candidate for President of the United States, Donald Trump said the following: “When Mexico sends its people, they’re not sending their best. They’re sending people that have lots of problems and they’re bringing those problems with us. They’re bringing drugs, they’re bringing crime, they’re rapists, and some, I assume, are good people.” Do you find Donald Trump’s comments offensive?"

Offensive 79 / inoffensive 18, offensive +61

More at the .pdf


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This is the first set of data that shows that Donald Trump is hurting the Republicans.

 

[ScienceRocks]

Doesn't look good...Republicans better pray that latino punch below their weight against in 2016! Only 46% of Hispanic voters voted in 2012....If they came out like blacks = 15-16% of the electorate.

 

[The Rabbi]

Democrats are racists.

 

[bendog]

Is there anyway this guy can be the nominee?

 

[amrchaos]

Is there anyway this guy can be the nominee?

You mean Trump? Yes!!

Deep inside his head....

 

[Dot Com]

Repubs unfavorables are always off-the-charts

 

[Steinlight]

Repubs unfavorables are always off-the-charts

Aren't you a Libertarian?

 

[tinydancer]

Repubs unfavorables are always off-the-charts

I didn't notice that during the "historic win of Republicans in mid terms kicking Democrat ass from here to Kingdom come".

 

[NYcarbineer]

Democrats are racists.

This from the guy who said blacks aren't fit for leadership positions.

 

[theHawk]

Of course we can trust Univision to not be biased at all when it comes to Trump.

 

[NYcarbineer]

Democrats are racists.

You have a Democrat in your avatar. Is that the point?

 

[B. Kidd]

Of course we can trust Univision to not be biased at all when it comes to Trump.

Yup.......Trump must be suin' them or something........

 

[Dot Com]

Repubs unfavorables are always off-the-charts

Aren't you a Libertarian?

I'm a independent (never registered for a party) Progressive

 

[Dot Com]

Repubs unfavorables are always off-the-charts

I didn't notice that during the "historic win of Republicans in mid terms kicking Democrat ass from here to Kingdom come".

ummm..... EARTH TO TINYD!!! That *cough* "historic win" win (your words) had the lowest turnout in not one but TWO generations.

Voter turnout in 2014 was the lowest since WWII - The Washington Post

Stop trying to blow stuff out of proportion

tinydancer

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

This data is hardly surprising.

 

[Statistikhengst]

Repubs unfavorables are always off-the-charts

I didn't notice that during the "historic win of Republicans in mid terms kicking Democrat ass from here to Kingdom come".

Only, it wasn't historic. It doesn't even come close to 1958 or 1930, also 1974. Try again. Learn your electoral history.

 

[Statistikhengst]

This data is hardly surprising.

No. It is not at all. But Righties are saying they are making inroads into the Latino vote.

So, I ask: where?

 

[tyroneweaver]

the illegals in my neighborhood have already let me know how much they hate trump

 

[Statistikhengst]

Of course we can trust Univision to not be biased at all when it comes to Trump.

The poll was conducted by two pollsters:

BENDIXEN & AMANDI INTERNATIONAL
AND THE TARRANCE GROUP

The Tarrance Group is a REPUBLICAN pollster.

I knew someone would try to throw that shit into here.

This means that it is very likely that the DEM numbers are actually a tad low.

Just wait until Latino Decisions, which polls a MUCH LARGER group, puts out it's results.

 

[blackhawk]

If there was any realistic chance of Trump being the Republican nominee this might mean something right now it's nothing more than the lefts latest Derangement Syndrome.