Looking at this graph, you notice step intervals of about five years, each step being downward. The first step establishes a new low, then the next go up and down in the general area of that new low. Now look at yesterdays figure for ice area; http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/seaice.area.arctic.png And the curve and direction of this graph; Northern Hemisphere Sea Ice Area How far down will this step go? And will it pause there for the next four years as it has in the past, or will it just keep going down now that it has reached this point? The old ice is almost gone, and the new ice goes so fast in the sun, that the Arctic Ocean is just getting warmer every year.