The conservative led by Angela Merkel , an East German phd physicist against the social democrat Gerhard Schroeder. Today, Sunday was their long anticipated TV duell. Going in the Social democrats had a slight rise in poll number up to 29% The conservative are at 41% The Green party in alliance with the Social democrats are at 9% The FDP possible alliance partner with the Conservatives are at 8% The leftist Links (left) party is at around 8% According to polls after their discussion mostly about taxes and the welfare system favored Schroeder. 46% favored schroeder, 27% Merkel. The social democrats hope this will gain them additional percentage. On a personal note, I quizzed my parents, my dad a conservative and my mom a centrist on their perception. Both favored Schroeder in the debate. What does that mean for the US. The CDU and FDP still have the majority for a conservative government takeover. The FDP is declining so is the CDU. If it continues a great coaltion led by the conservatives would take over. So it looks for now like Schroeder is done and the conservative will take over. For a complete change in direction the conservatives would need about 47-48% It is close now with the left gaining ground. In the worst case this means a great coalition between the social democrats of Schroeder and the conservatives, under the leadership of the conservatives. If there is no major catostophe or Al Queda attack get used to the first female chancellor.