- Banned
- #1
is the title of an article online that explores and discusses the mistakes, misunderstandings, and ramifications thereof, of the way our society has dealt and is dealing with this pandemic.
From the link;
"Boogaloo Soup
Case fatality rates (CFRs) for this thing vary tremendously by country, because the numbers don’t exist to properly calculate it. You’re not supposed to calculate a CFR until a confirmed case has either cleared or died, but everyone is calculating them in real time for COVID-19 by looking at deaths of confirmed cases. The math is all wrong. For one, we have some dead people who probably had COVID-19 and didn’t get counted because they didn’t get tested. For another, we have a lot more people who caught it and survived, but never got confirmed, because of the testing SNAFU. For a third, we have some currently alive cases who haven’t resolved in our numbers. This means the numerator in the fraction is wrong, and the denominator is very wrong. It is likely, on speculative analysis, that the final CFR for this thing will turn out to be very similar to the flu, as we see in South Korea and Iceland which have good testing. It’s “just” a flu that everyone gets all at once because nobody started with any immunity to it, which leads to more dead people. The spike of COVID-19 deaths we will see in the coming months are going to be several times higher than the flu deaths, because basically they’re several years-worth of flu victims squeezed into one year.
What would happen if this were as deadly as the measles? What if a “true” epidemic, of the style we’ve seen in the past, hit the highly connected, highly vectored, Marketplace Of Disease we call the “global economy?” Same infection rate, much higher CFR. This is the sort of thing the “preppers” have been thinking about for years.
The preppers didn’t need to run out and buy toilet paper. Or meat. Or rice. Or guns. But everyone else did — especially guns. Check out the March 2020 statistics for the FBI’s NICS Background Check System:
NICS Firearm Checks: Month/Year | Federal Bureau of Investigation
Firearm sales vary seasonally, owing to things like hunting season, Black Friday, Christmas, and such, but a good indicator of gun sales trends can be drawn by comparing a month’s sales to the same month from the prior year. In the past full year, every month except one has set a new monthly record. Look closely at March 2020. 3.7 million background checks were issued in March, in a simply unprecedented wave of sales. It’s a million-gun spike, ten times previous spikes.
Gun store owners told an interesting tale as well — these are almost all new owners. Most estimate around 75% of gun sales in March 2020 were first time buyers. That would constitute 2.8 million people, almost 1% of the total US population buying their first gun. Many of them liberal. Some of them prior supporters of gun control. Many foreign nations only have 1% gun ownership rate nationwide. We may have that many who became first time owners a month ago. And now the ranges are closed, and they can’t practice or train with their new purchase, and they’re sitting at home losing their jobs reading a stream of social media anxiety.
These numbers don’t even count peer to peer sales or gifts of prior owned firearms. And the other things people are buying? Nonperishable food, medicines, seeds, things to use at home. Prepper stuff.
The makeup of COVID-19 America now constitutes the following classes:
1) Previously armed previous preppers
2) Previously armed new preppers
3) Newly armed new preppers
4) Unarmed new preppers, lovingly referred to as “targets.” Bless their heart.
Nobody’s not a prepper anymore. Certain corners of the internet might call this a “Boogaloo Soup.”
But shooting people is a really hard, really terrible thing to do, so people don’t generally start shooting each other unless they have three things, not just one. First, they need the tools. Second, they need dire motivation. And third, they need psychological reinforcement that dehumanizes “the other,” some frame of reference or point of view that posits the person at the other end of the barrel as less human than themselves. We have the tools. Do we have these other elements?"
The article goes on to discuss how the almost inevitable food shortages that accompany the economic collapse we are doing our damnedest to cause, coupled with our extreme ideological divide, is pretty much just a civil war/SHTF event waiting to happen...... all it will take is some hungry children to get daddy to start hunting down folks he already doesn't like and emptying their pantries while they bleed out on the kitchen floor.
"Boogaloo Soup
Case fatality rates (CFRs) for this thing vary tremendously by country, because the numbers don’t exist to properly calculate it. You’re not supposed to calculate a CFR until a confirmed case has either cleared or died, but everyone is calculating them in real time for COVID-19 by looking at deaths of confirmed cases. The math is all wrong. For one, we have some dead people who probably had COVID-19 and didn’t get counted because they didn’t get tested. For another, we have a lot more people who caught it and survived, but never got confirmed, because of the testing SNAFU. For a third, we have some currently alive cases who haven’t resolved in our numbers. This means the numerator in the fraction is wrong, and the denominator is very wrong. It is likely, on speculative analysis, that the final CFR for this thing will turn out to be very similar to the flu, as we see in South Korea and Iceland which have good testing. It’s “just” a flu that everyone gets all at once because nobody started with any immunity to it, which leads to more dead people. The spike of COVID-19 deaths we will see in the coming months are going to be several times higher than the flu deaths, because basically they’re several years-worth of flu victims squeezed into one year.
What would happen if this were as deadly as the measles? What if a “true” epidemic, of the style we’ve seen in the past, hit the highly connected, highly vectored, Marketplace Of Disease we call the “global economy?” Same infection rate, much higher CFR. This is the sort of thing the “preppers” have been thinking about for years.
The preppers didn’t need to run out and buy toilet paper. Or meat. Or rice. Or guns. But everyone else did — especially guns. Check out the March 2020 statistics for the FBI’s NICS Background Check System:
NICS Firearm Checks: Month/Year | Federal Bureau of Investigation
Firearm sales vary seasonally, owing to things like hunting season, Black Friday, Christmas, and such, but a good indicator of gun sales trends can be drawn by comparing a month’s sales to the same month from the prior year. In the past full year, every month except one has set a new monthly record. Look closely at March 2020. 3.7 million background checks were issued in March, in a simply unprecedented wave of sales. It’s a million-gun spike, ten times previous spikes.
Gun store owners told an interesting tale as well — these are almost all new owners. Most estimate around 75% of gun sales in March 2020 were first time buyers. That would constitute 2.8 million people, almost 1% of the total US population buying their first gun. Many of them liberal. Some of them prior supporters of gun control. Many foreign nations only have 1% gun ownership rate nationwide. We may have that many who became first time owners a month ago. And now the ranges are closed, and they can’t practice or train with their new purchase, and they’re sitting at home losing their jobs reading a stream of social media anxiety.
These numbers don’t even count peer to peer sales or gifts of prior owned firearms. And the other things people are buying? Nonperishable food, medicines, seeds, things to use at home. Prepper stuff.
The makeup of COVID-19 America now constitutes the following classes:
1) Previously armed previous preppers
2) Previously armed new preppers
3) Newly armed new preppers
4) Unarmed new preppers, lovingly referred to as “targets.” Bless their heart.
Nobody’s not a prepper anymore. Certain corners of the internet might call this a “Boogaloo Soup.”
But shooting people is a really hard, really terrible thing to do, so people don’t generally start shooting each other unless they have three things, not just one. First, they need the tools. Second, they need dire motivation. And third, they need psychological reinforcement that dehumanizes “the other,” some frame of reference or point of view that posits the person at the other end of the barrel as less human than themselves. We have the tools. Do we have these other elements?"
The article goes on to discuss how the almost inevitable food shortages that accompany the economic collapse we are doing our damnedest to cause, coupled with our extreme ideological divide, is pretty much just a civil war/SHTF event waiting to happen...... all it will take is some hungry children to get daddy to start hunting down folks he already doesn't like and emptying their pantries while they bleed out on the kitchen floor.
