Scientist's quake predictions were ignored

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by Chris, Apr 6, 2009.

  1. Chris
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    Chris Gold Member

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    L'AQUILA, Italy (CNN) -- A researcher says he predicted Monday's devastating earthquake that killed dozens of people and left tens of thousands homeless in central Italy, but authorities dismissed him as a scaremonger.

    Gioacchino Giuliani, an employee at a physics institute at Gran Sasso, near the badly-hit city of L'Aquila, has demanded an official apology for what he says was an unforgivable failure to act on his predictions.

    "There are people who must apologize to me, and they must have the weight of what occurred on their conscience," Giuliani said after the quake hit, according to local news site Ilcapoluogo.com.

    Last month, vans with loudspeakers drove around the area broadcasting Giuliani's warning after he claimed his method of predicting seismic events by radon gas emissions had forecast an imminent quake.

    The scientist was reported to police for spreading false alarms and was made to remove his findings from the Internet. "They called me an imbecile," he said.

    Scientist: My quake prediction was ignored - CNN.com
     
  2. KittenKoder
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    KittenKoder Senior Member

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    So basically, since he never told anyone because he didn't make the prediction scientifically, but instead said it in passing (like my predictions) because it came true it's everyone elses fault.

    I like how he was "forced to remove" something he posted on the internet, convenient way to cover up the facts huh? I've got a web host stationed in Brittian I rent for $9 a month, nothing can stop someone from posting something online, even illegal content (just use the ones in Russia or some other country that agrees with you if you want). So ... yeah ... sorry but it holds little water.
     
  3. Chris
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    Chris Gold Member

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    Seriously, do you have a reading retention problem?

    He hired vans to ride around and broadcast the warning.
     
  4. ItsFairmont
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    ItsFairmont Member

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    So, he predicted this for up to a month in advance. What were people supposed to do, sleep in the street until the earthquake?

    The reason so many people were hurt will come down to building codes.

    Also, why are they making multi-story buildings in fault zones? They should not be using stonework or multiple levels.


    IT works like this: Stone structures and basements in tornado zones.

    Light housing in earthquake zones.

    Problem solved.
     
  5. xsited1
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    xsited1 Agent P

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    If the 'authorities' don't agree with your findings, they'll get the police to shut you up. Sounds all too familiar.

    So who reported him to police? I'm guessing it's a fellow scientist (or scientists).
     
  6. Chris
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    Chris Gold Member

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    The Japanese have been using radon gas to try to predict earthquakes as well...

    During the 1993 observation period, concentrations of radon were stable at 20Bq/l. By the end of Nov 1994 levels had increased to 60Bq/l. On 7 Jan 1995 a huge increase in radon concentration was observed (to ca. 250Bq/l). These high levels dropped suddenly on 10 Jan, one week before the earthquake. By the time of the earthquake levels had returned to about 30 Bq/l, levels confirmed when the station came back on-line on 22 Jan (monitoring equipment had been damaged by the main shock).
    The researchers have examined other possible reasons for the observed increase in Radon levels, but no satisfactory alternate explanation could be found. Over the period of well-monitoring ground water temperature remained almost constant (±0.2°C), and there was no significant rainfall which might have affected the aquifer. Atmospheric pressure is known to have little effect on radon concentrations, so meteorological explanations were also unlikely.
    Fujita Research Report - Earthquake Prediction
     
  7. Yurt
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    Yurt Gold Member

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    i blame obama
     
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  8. KittenKoder
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    KittenKoder Senior Member

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    The sad thing, so many were killed and hurt in this but someone just had to use it as political ammo instead of using their scientific knowledge to help after the fact, instead they are immature enough to waggle with "I told you so".
     
  9. Yurt
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    Yurt Gold Member

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    maybe "i told you so" will save lives in the future...maybe they will listen to his results...
     
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  10. KittenKoder
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    KittenKoder Senior Member

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    When has anyone ever been happy to listen to someone who says "I told you so" instead of trying to help out after the fact?
     

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