Lakhota
Diamond Member
Says she made an "accurate prediction" that if Barack Obama were elected it would encourage Russia to invade Ukraine.
A prediction? And the connection between Georgia and Ukraine.
It is clear Palin suggested Russia might invade Ukraine. But did she predict it? And did it happen because of Obama’s reaction to Russia’s incursion into another former Soviet republic, Georgia, in 2008? Back then Obama wasn't president, George W. Bush was.
"Palin did not predict anything; she laid out a possibility," said Mark Beissinger, director of the Princeton Institute for International and Regional Studies at Princeton University.
"Her exact words are not exactly a prediction, but a comment that suggests it raised the probability that Putin would act against Ukraine in the future," said Mark Brawley, professor of international relations, McGill University.
Michael O’Hanlon, a senior fellow in foreign policy at the Brookings Institution, a Washington academic center, had similar reservations. But he doesn’t quibble that she pointed to Ukraine as a geopolitical flash point.
"She did raise the scenario," O’Hanlon said. "So I'd give her half credit."
Trickier, our experts said, was Palin’s 2008 words linking Obama’s "indecision" about Georgia and forthcoming aggression in Ukraine.
It’s a point where a definitive answer is not possible.
More: Palin: I predicted Obama's win would trigger a Russian invasion into Ukraine - PunditFact
Palin made lots of wacky claims, so it was almost inevitable that she would get one partially right.
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