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Republicans put spotlight on feckless Senate Democrats (Barone likes GOP debt ceiling strategy)
By Michael Barone
01/21/2013
Have the House Republicans come up with a winning strategy on the debt ceiling and spending cuts? Or just a viable one? Maybe so.
They certainly need one that is at least the latter if not the former. Barack Obama is up in the polls since the election, as most re-elected presidents have been. The most recent NBC/Wall Street Journal poll shows him with 52 percent approval and 44 percent disapproval. Other public polls have similar results.
In contrast, the NBC/WSJ poll reports that only 26 percent have positive feelings about the Republican Party and 51 negative feelings. Toward Speaker John Boehner, only 18 percent have positive feelings and 37 percent negative feelings.
It's usually true that groups get lower ratings than individuals and congressional leaders get lower ratings than presidents. Still, these results represent a pretty negative verdict on House Republicans' attempts to wrestle Obama into supporting their preferred fiscal policies.
Defections by enough House Republicans to defeat Boehner's Plan B approach to the "fiscal cliff" ended up producing a compromise considerably less to their liking. The agreement reached by Vice President Biden and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell did limit effective tax increases to those with incomes over $400,000.
But it also gave Democrats something they want -- a permanent fix to the Alternative Minimum Tax, which threatened to engulf high-earning Democratic voters in high-tax states like New York, New Jersey and California. Republicans used to dangle a one-year AMT fix as a negotiating chip in fiscal battles. Now they can't.
Now the House Republicans seem to be emerging from their Williamsburg retreat with a united approach to the debt ceiling issue. Raise the debt ceiling for three months and couple it with a cutoff of congressional pay if the Democratic-majority Senate fails to pass a budget, as it has for the last three years.
This is similar to the approach advocated by former Bush budget negotiator Keith Hennessey: Give Democrats an alternative between short-term debt limit increases with no immediate spending cuts and a long-term increase with serious spending cuts.
Senate Democrats are a more attractive target than the president. The NBC/WSJ poll shows only 16 percent with positive feelings toward Majority Leader Harry Reid and 28 percent with negative feelings.
Fully 36 percent have no view, significantly more than the 22 percent with no view about Boehner. That leaves plenty of room to drive Reid's negatives up. The no-budget-no-pay provision is perhaps a gimmick but may strike a chord with voters.
And it may help unite the 234 House Republicans, 43 percent of whom were first elected in 2010 or are freshmen first elected in 2012. Most share the views and impulses of the Tea Party movement and are determined to cut government spending.
The Tea Party movement, like the peace movement four decades before, injected many new people into an old party. Tea Party voters, like peacenik voters, tend to prefer the purest candidates in primaries, and Tea Party congressmen, like peacenik congressmen, tend to take confrontational and purist stands on issues.
But just as peacenik Democrats learned that the public will not tolerate cutting off defense spending when troops are in the field, so Tea Party Republicans seem to be learning that the public won't tolerate defaulting on the national debt.
***snip***
Continue reading: ---->
Michael Barone: Republicans put spotlight on feckless Senate Democrats | WashingtonExaminer.com
By Michael Barone
01/21/2013
Have the House Republicans come up with a winning strategy on the debt ceiling and spending cuts? Or just a viable one? Maybe so.
They certainly need one that is at least the latter if not the former. Barack Obama is up in the polls since the election, as most re-elected presidents have been. The most recent NBC/Wall Street Journal poll shows him with 52 percent approval and 44 percent disapproval. Other public polls have similar results.
In contrast, the NBC/WSJ poll reports that only 26 percent have positive feelings about the Republican Party and 51 negative feelings. Toward Speaker John Boehner, only 18 percent have positive feelings and 37 percent negative feelings.
It's usually true that groups get lower ratings than individuals and congressional leaders get lower ratings than presidents. Still, these results represent a pretty negative verdict on House Republicans' attempts to wrestle Obama into supporting their preferred fiscal policies.
Defections by enough House Republicans to defeat Boehner's Plan B approach to the "fiscal cliff" ended up producing a compromise considerably less to their liking. The agreement reached by Vice President Biden and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell did limit effective tax increases to those with incomes over $400,000.
But it also gave Democrats something they want -- a permanent fix to the Alternative Minimum Tax, which threatened to engulf high-earning Democratic voters in high-tax states like New York, New Jersey and California. Republicans used to dangle a one-year AMT fix as a negotiating chip in fiscal battles. Now they can't.
Now the House Republicans seem to be emerging from their Williamsburg retreat with a united approach to the debt ceiling issue. Raise the debt ceiling for three months and couple it with a cutoff of congressional pay if the Democratic-majority Senate fails to pass a budget, as it has for the last three years.
This is similar to the approach advocated by former Bush budget negotiator Keith Hennessey: Give Democrats an alternative between short-term debt limit increases with no immediate spending cuts and a long-term increase with serious spending cuts.
Senate Democrats are a more attractive target than the president. The NBC/WSJ poll shows only 16 percent with positive feelings toward Majority Leader Harry Reid and 28 percent with negative feelings.
Fully 36 percent have no view, significantly more than the 22 percent with no view about Boehner. That leaves plenty of room to drive Reid's negatives up. The no-budget-no-pay provision is perhaps a gimmick but may strike a chord with voters.
And it may help unite the 234 House Republicans, 43 percent of whom were first elected in 2010 or are freshmen first elected in 2012. Most share the views and impulses of the Tea Party movement and are determined to cut government spending.
The Tea Party movement, like the peace movement four decades before, injected many new people into an old party. Tea Party voters, like peacenik voters, tend to prefer the purest candidates in primaries, and Tea Party congressmen, like peacenik congressmen, tend to take confrontational and purist stands on issues.
But just as peacenik Democrats learned that the public will not tolerate cutting off defense spending when troops are in the field, so Tea Party Republicans seem to be learning that the public won't tolerate defaulting on the national debt.
***snip***
Continue reading: ---->
Michael Barone: Republicans put spotlight on feckless Senate Democrats | WashingtonExaminer.com
