Republicans' "Art" Of Making Assumptions

[Mr. Shaman]

Due to their preference for dodging....from-shadow-to-shadow....making every effort to AVOID The Real World....their assumptions are....

....usually WRONG!!!!!

 

[Mr. Shaman]

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TkdeX6OaePo]Part 1 Seniors Yes We Cannabis - YouTube[/ame]

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[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=juVwqdNJlpU]Should Grandma Smoke Pot? Final Cut - Legalize Marijuana - YouTube[/ame]

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STRESS KILLS.....not Pot!

 

[bucs90]

OH GAWD!!!! Tell dude to put some pants on!!!!! We're one swift breeze away from terror!

 

[Mr. Shaman]

OH GAWD!!!! Tell dude to put some pants on!!!!! We're one swift breeze away from terror!

I got 'cher terror....

.....right HERE!!!​

 

[Truthmatters]

http://www.ocf.berkeley.edu/~broockma/broockman_skovron_asymmetric_misperceptions.pdf


We reexamine prospects for constituency control in American politics with original data
describing nearly 2,000 state legislative candidates’ perceptions of mass opinion in their districts
and recent advances in public opinion estimation that allow us to determine actual districtlevel
opinion with precision. Actual district opinion explains only a modest share of the variation
in politicians’ perceptions of their districts’ views. Moreover, there is a striking conservative
bias in politicians’ perceptions, particularly among conservatives: conservative politicians
systematically believe their constituents are more conservative than they actually are by over
20 percentage points, while liberal politicians also typically overestimate their constituents’
conservatism by several percentage points. A follow-up survey demonstrates that politicians
appear to learn nothing from democratic campaigns or elections that leads them to correct these
shortcomings. Electoral selection has a limited impact on whether the chosen representative is
congruent with the majority of her constituents. These findings suggest a substantial conservative
bias in American political representation and bleak prospects for constituency control of
politicians when voters’ collective preferences are less than unambiguous.