Discussion in 'Current Events' started by Annie, Jul 27, 2009.
http://www.fordham.edu/images/acade...ccuracy in the 2008 presidential election.pdf
Gallup is near the bottom, that is surprising.
They did this in Canada, and found that there was no correlation between pollsters and accuracy, meaning the pollsters that were closest in one election were not closest the next.
There is a fair amount of randomness in the statistical process. The best way is to look at a sample of all polls. If you average the all the polls in the final few days before the 2008 election, they were off by about 1%, which is pretty good.
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