Rasmussen predicted a tie between Northam and Gillespie (LOL)

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by Ted Frazier, Nov 11, 2017.

  1. Ted Frazier
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    Ted Frazier Gold Member

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    So let me see:
    First they pick Romney to beat Obama.
    Then they have Hillary ahead of Trump by 2% in the popular vote, which you conservatives say is bullshit because Mexican illegals voted (therefore you believe Rasmussen picked the wrong winner).
    Now Rasmussen is way off in the VA Governor contest.

    How can we not conclude that Rasmussen is one of the worst pollsters in the nation?
     
  2. jillian
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    jillian Princess Supporting Member

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    rasmussen is always awful because they always over-calculate GOP votes.
     
  3. Blake Allyn
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    Blake Allyn VIP Member

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    It is disappointing to see that adult Americans do not know how a poll works. I would highly suggest that both of you stop, and take some basic courses of statistical sampling. Right now you are speaking on a topic you are demonstrably ignorant of. And it is embarrassing.
     
  4. Toro
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    Toro Diamond Member

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    In fairness, the RCP average was 3.3% and he won by 9%, way outside the margin of error. So it wasn't just Rasmussen that failed.
     
  5. Dont Taz Me Bro
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    Dont Taz Me Bro USMB Mod Staff Member Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    Rasmussen and Gallup had Romney up one. Three other pollsters had the race tied and two had Obama up by one. He won by 3.9

    RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama

    In 2016, the LA Times had Trump up by three. One pollster had Clinton up by six, two had her up by five. She won by 2.1

    RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

    Can we conclude that you're just biased because it's fashionable for Marxists to hate on Rasmussen and Fox News?
     
  6. Dont Taz Me Bro
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    Dont Taz Me Bro USMB Mod Staff Member Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    Don't shatter the OP's world view with facts.
     
  7. NYcarbineer
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    NYcarbineer Diamond Member

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    Realclear also included two Republican polls that consistently lowballed Northam's lead.
     
  8. NYcarbineer
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    NYcarbineer Diamond Member

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    So much for the years of Rightwing blah blah about the so-called liberal media producing skewed polls that favor Democrats.
     
  9. Mac1958
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    Mac1958 Diamond Member

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    Funny to watch, though.

    Polls are good for a general idea, but we can't bet the house on any of them in a close race. Partisans do love to talk about them.
    .
     
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  10. Rambunctious
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    Rambunctious Gold Member

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