Projected Voter turnout 2016---Bad News for GOP

nat4900

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Mar 3, 2015
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Regardless of who will win the primaries later this year, the demographics entailed in the population growth of our country will constitute the main factor in determining who will sit in the oval office....
It is a stark reality that the US white, evangelical and republican-leaning population is dwindling, while the Hispanic/Latino and Asian segment is fast and steadily growing.
These latter segments have been ill-courted by the GOP and tend to heavily favor democrats' policies........The US House will likely remain in republican hands, but the Senate might experience a shift toward democrats (if not a majority) and the WH with guarded surety will remain "blue."
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Republicans have two major problems when it comes to winning presidential elections: demograpics and the Electoral College. And as the 2016 election gets off the ground, both of these problems are getting worse.

On the Electoral College front, Democrats quite simply have more electoral votes "in the bank" (i.e. safe blue states) and need to win fewer swing states than Republicans do. And demographically, the Democrats' gains among Hispanic voters in particular pose a real long-term problem for Republicans, given this population is growing extremely fast and the white population is, well, not.

The GOP s major 2016 problem in 3 maps - The Washington Post
 
Regardless of who will win the primaries later this year, the demographics entailed in the population growth of our country will constitute the main factor in determining who will sit in the oval office....
It is a stark reality that the US white, evangelical and republican-leaning population is dwindling, while the Hispanic/Latino and Asian segment is fast and steadily growing.
These latter segments have been ill-courted by the GOP and tend to heavily favor democrats' policies........The US House will likely remain in republican hands, but the Senate might experience a shift toward democrats (if not a majority) and the WH with guarded surety will remain "blue."
_____________________________________

Republicans have two major problems when it comes to winning presidential elections: demograpics and the Electoral College. And as the 2016 election gets off the ground, both of these problems are getting worse.

On the Electoral College front, Democrats quite simply have more electoral votes "in the bank" (i.e. safe blue states) and need to win fewer swing states than Republicans do. And demographically, the Democrats' gains among Hispanic voters in particular pose a real long-term problem for Republicans, given this population is growing extremely fast and the white population is, well, not.

The GOP s major 2016 problem in 3 maps - The Washington Post

Its too bad that rdean is on My ignore list as I'd like to see his head explode but that is just the way it goes.

I want you to consider something very carefully.

When Jindal, Fiorina, and Carson announce their candidacy, the GOP will have an African-American, a women, an American Inidan, a Cuban, and two white guys.

Now contrast that to the Democrat party which has ONE UBER RICH WHITE WOMAN who is a corporatist.

So, you go ahead with your idyll speculation on racial blocks and how they vote, ignore that second coat of shellack that was administered last year, and stick with the Dems have the white house locked up, meme. Everyone needs a fantasy.
 
the good ole DNC WashingtonCompost...they gotta keep the morale up for those who vote democrat

Just OVERLOOK that historic ass kicking you party just took in the last TWO midterm elections to cost you to become the Minority in Congress... the last just: SIX months ago

I mean hey. you all got it sewn up, in the bag, everyone just now LOVES loves loves ya all...

wow no wonder the compost puts out this crap...some of their followers buys into it
 
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When Jindal, Fiorina, and Carson announce their candidacy, the GOP will have an African-American, a women, an American Inidan, a Cuban, and two white guys.

Now contrast that to the Democrat party which has ONE UBER RICH WHITE WOMAN who is a corporatist.



What are you hoping for, President by committee?

Does it really take ALL those candidates to beat up on Hillary? Bullies.
 
Regardless of who will win the primaries later this year, the demographics entailed in the population growth of our country will constitute the main factor in determining who will sit in the oval office....
It is a stark reality that the US white, evangelical and republican-leaning population is dwindling, while the Hispanic/Latino and Asian segment is fast and steadily growing.
These latter segments have been ill-courted by the GOP and tend to heavily favor democrats' policies........The US House will likely remain in republican hands, but the Senate might experience a shift toward democrats (if not a majority) and the WH with guarded surety will remain "blue."
_____________________________________

Republicans have two major problems when it comes to winning presidential elections: demograpics and the Electoral College. And as the 2016 election gets off the ground, both of these problems are getting worse.

On the Electoral College front, Democrats quite simply have more electoral votes "in the bank" (i.e. safe blue states) and need to win fewer swing states than Republicans do. And demographically, the Democrats' gains among Hispanic voters in particular pose a real long-term problem for Republicans, given this population is growing extremely fast and the white population is, well, not.

The GOP s major 2016 problem in 3 maps - The Washington Post


Correct. Since 1980, the percentage of the electorate that is white has steadily shrunk, so the possibility that it rises above the 72% from 2012 is extremely slim. It is far more likely that the trend will continue and that in 2016, the electorate will be 69-70% White.

And then there's the female vote, where Hillary is usually sailing above any GOP comer by between +20 and +39, WAY above Obama's +11 in this rubrik in 2012.

And indeed, there is the so-called BLUE WALL, which I have been describing since 2012:

Statistikhengst s ELECTORAL POLITICS - 2015 and beyond ELECTORAL COLUMNS - a map display


Also, this may be interesting to read:

Statistikhengst s ELECTORAL POLITICS - 2015 and beyond Preliminary Totals III 11 12 2012 REDUX 2004 in reverse colors Gilded Age II

(Please remember, that write-up only dealt with preliminary totals).

The Blue Wall is at least 242 EV, but with New Hampshire and New Mexico, is likely 251 EV. Just 19 more to go...
 
Just OVERLOOK that historic ass kicking you party just took in the last TWO midterm elections to cost you to become the Minority in Congress the last just: SIX months ago



Even though it has been explained to you numerous times, you just can't figure out what happened last election cycle.

You think it was this broad endorsement of Republican ideals. Whatever those are.

Instead it was gerrymandered districts and apathy of the party in the WH.
But you cling to the idea that enough Americans are gonna support a Republican candidate. A fantasy like that is all you've got left.
 
When Jindal, Fiorina, and Carson announce their candidacy, the GOP will have an African-American, a women, an American Inidan, a Cuban, and two white guys.

Now contrast that to the Democrat party which has ONE UBER RICH WHITE WOMAN who is a corporatist.



What are you hoping for, President by committee?

Does it really take ALL those candidates to beat up on Hillary? Bullies.
Try and make sense, will ya......Only one will get the nod....the point was that the left like to call the right the party of old white people......

Yet the only diversity I see in the upcoming election is from the right.....while the left has one broom-riding, ultra rich, corporatist, whitey.....
 
Just OVERLOOK that historic ass kicking you party just took in the last TWO midterm elections to cost you to become the Minority in Congress the last just: SIX months ago



Even though it has been explained to you numerous times, you just can't figure out what happened last election cycle.

You think it was this broad endorsement of Republican ideals. Whatever those are.

Instead it was gerrymandered districts and apathy of the party in the WH.
But you cling to the idea that enough Americans are gonna support a Republican candidate. A fantasy like that is all you've got left.

It was people fed up with Democrats and their insane policies
 
When Jindal, Fiorina, and Carson announce their candidacy, the GOP will have an African-American, a women, an American Inidan, a Cuban, and two white guys.

Now contrast that to the Democrat party which has ONE UBER RICH WHITE WOMAN who is a corporatist.



What are you hoping for, President by committee?

Does it really take ALL those candidates to beat up on Hillary? Bullies.


Nope, the media is doing just fine in bringing out all of her lies and corruption. All the GOP has to do is sit back, smile, and watch the dems self-destruct because they can't figure out how to dump the bitch.
 
Just OVERLOOK that historic ass kicking you party just took in the last TWO midterm elections to cost you to become the Minority in Congress the last just: SIX months ago



Even though it has been explained to you numerous times, you just can't figure out what happened last election cycle.

You think it was this broad endorsement of Republican ideals. Whatever those are.

Instead it was gerrymandered districts and apathy of the party in the WH.
But you cling to the idea that enough Americans are gonna support a Republican candidate. A fantasy like that is all you've got left.
No, that's not explanation. That's what everyone understands to be juvenile rationalization.
 
When Jindal, Fiorina, and Carson announce their candidacy, the GOP will have an African-American, a women, an American Inidan, a Cuban, and two white guys.

...and the above from the ilk who cringes and shouts that those "silly dems" voted for the half-black Obama because of guilt?

Why not try to get a Muslim, Kenyan to be yet another GOP candidate?
 
the good ole DNC WashingtonCompost...they gotta keep the morale up for those who vote democrat

Your ilk ONLY likes the WaPo or NYT when they criticize Hillary.....note just a tiny bit of right wingers' hypocrisy???? LOL
 
Didn't a lot of these same people predict there would not be a GOP takeover of the Senate or a wave election for the Republicans last year? The simple truth is in April of 2015 no one has any idea what the voter turnout will be in November of 2016 or what issues will be driving voters.
 
the good ole DNC WashingtonCompost...they gotta keep the morale up for those who vote democrat

Just OVERLOOK that historic ass kicking you party just took in the last TWO midterm elections to cost you to become the Minority in Congress... the last just: SIX months ago

I mean hey. you all got it sewn up, in the bag, everyone just now LOVES loves loves ya all...

wow no wonder the compost puts out this crap...some of their followers buys into it


OMG frikken frikken razzle-frazzle schnicken-dicken OVERLOOK bla bla frikken frikken morale no wonder the compsot puts out thies crap frikken frikken belch burp fart vomit SIX months GAWD frikken frikken.
 

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