POLLS--The Caller I.D Effect vs. the Bradley Effect

Discussion in 'Congress' started by oreo, Oct 16, 2008.

  1. oreo
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    oreo Gold Member Supporting Member

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    You know I have to laugh at these polls. REASON: Most of us have caller I.D. on our telephones. I even have mine set up to read from my T.V when it is on. I can tell who is calling, & by golly, I'll bet most of you are like me. If you don't know who it is, or what it is--you don't answer that phone call.

    My husband & I also do not believe it's anyone's business on whom or what issues we're voting for. So even if we mistakingly pick up that phone, & someone starts asking us questions, we hang up anyway. Who wants to be bothered after a long day's work.

    We already saw this happen during the 04 Presidential campaign. On election day--"exit polling data" was showing John Kerry running away with the election. All the polling "experts" were stunned. Well as we know it turns out Bush won by 4 million votes. Why & how did this happen? It appears that there were many walking out of their polling districts who refused to say who they voted for. They apparently like me, thought (It's none of your business.)

    So I believe this election--if it turns on Barack Obama will be more due to the Caller I.D. effect versus the Bradley effect. I don't believe there are that many people in the United States that just won't vote for a black man or woman for that matter.

    What I find is really hillarious--is the text message polls showing who won the debates. I don't know anyone over 40 that knows how to text message, including myself, & who really cares to learn--LOL.

    Because of the caller I.D. effect, I believe the polling data are way out of WACK--regardless of whom is shown ahead.
     
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  2. Ravi
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    Ravi Diamond Member

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    Good. Then STFU because no one wants to know.
     
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  3. AllieBaba
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    AllieBaba BANNED

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    THe polls are out of whack. They are used by Dems who want to convince everyone their guys are winning, and there's no point in anyone else voting.

    THe people who poll are largely democrats. Period.
     
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  4. Caligirl
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    Caligirl Oh yes it is too!

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    Hey Oreo,

    Interesting idea.

    Do you think exit polls are more reliable?

    Do you think electronic machines with no paper trails are more reliable?
     
  5. Caligirl
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    Caligirl Oh yes it is too!

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    Oh and, do you think steady trends indicate something real?
     
  6. Larkinn
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    Larkinn Senior Member

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    Because only Republicans have caller ID? This is a stupid theory because, although it might be true that caller ID makes people not pick up, there is no reason to think that it would skew the results at all. After all, its not like only Republicans or Democrats, the old/young/whatever have caller ID.
     
  7. Caligirl
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    Caligirl Oh yes it is too!

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    Right, but it will still skew the results, just like cell phones could skew the results.
     
  8. xsited1
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    xsited1 Agent P

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    The polls will certainly be skewed in favor of Obama because his supporters are much more 'rabid' than McCain's. By how much, I have no idea.
     
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  9. random3434
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    random3434 Senior Member

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    Hope you've had your shots!
     
  10. AllieBaba
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    AllieBaba BANNED

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    I suspect a lot of those polled are actually kids who pick up the phone while mom and dad are having cocktails. I know the ones who respond with the little web-camera bits on the news are all kids. I doubt if they are even old enough to vote.
     

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