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Most of those people don't have underwater phones...i wonder if they poll some of those 5000 people who live under the sinking 53rd state of GuamIt's accurate because they tell you it's accurate(to within 3%+or -)
i wonder how many alligators in florida get these calls on thier cell phones, for all we know they tell the pollster that they havent decided yet and they have to go because its lunch timeMost of those people don't have underwater phones...i wonder if they poll some of those 5000 people who live under the sinking 53rd state of GuamIt's accurate because they tell you it's accurate(to within 3%+or -)
what about dolphins?Most of those people don't have underwater phones...i wonder if they poll some of those 5000 people who live under the sinking 53rd state of GuamIt's accurate because they tell you it's accurate(to within 3%+or -)
It's accurate because they tell you it's accurate(to within 3%+or -)
This is one reason why we cant rely on National Polls. Look at how many are polled. 2000? 3000? so divide that among 50 states. What does it come out to? between 40 to 60 votes a state? and thats what we are supposed to go by? Even if they polled 5000 people, its still miniscule to how many were polled in each state. But of course, we have to keep in mind that they are polling a few thousand out of about 130 to 140 million potential voters.
so whats the latest CNN Poll? Biden 547 electoral votes,,,,,Trump 3?This is one reason why we cant rely on National Polls. Look at how many are polled. 2000? 3000? so divide that among 50 states. What does it come out to? between 40 to 60 votes a state? and thats what we are supposed to go by? Even if they polled 5000 people, its still miniscule to how many were polled in each state. But of course, we have to keep in mind that they are polling a few thousand out of about 130 to 140 million potential voters.
It’s accurate. Ask Rachel Maddow. He is the one who pretty much guaranteed Hildo would be the Orange Clown based on those very polls.
its called statistics and yes, national polling is very accurate because the source size is so large that most variables can be averaged out. The problem with polling is NOT small sample sizes or accuracy, such polling works well on 300 million Americans that are extremely diverse in virtually all aspects of life but can be reasonably averaged. This does not seem to be the case on smaller scales in individual states. The relationship of population size and polling sample size is not linear by any means. It would be almost impossible to accurately assess the voting result of 100 people unless you spoke to damn near all of them - the variables are just to massive to average out. The same is simply not true for a sample size of 300 million. It was those local polls that were grossly inaccurate last cycle.This is one reason why we cant rely on National Polls. Look at how many are polled. 2000? 3000? so divide that among 50 states. What does it come out to? between 40 to 60 votes a state? and thats what we are supposed to go by? Even if they polled 5000 people, its still miniscule to how many were polled in each state. But of course, we have to keep in mind that they are polling a few thousand out of about 130 to 140 million potential voters.
The make up the sample being poll is more important than the number being poll. You can poll a million people but if they are not represented of the population, you can end up with results worst than a well designed poll of only a thousand. The secret to a good poll is having a good sample.This is one reason why we cant rely on National Polls. Look at how many are polled. 2000? 3000? so divide that among 50 states. What does it come out to? between 40 to 60 votes a state? and thats what we are supposed to go by? Even if they polled 5000 people, its still miniscule to how many were polled in each state. But of course, we have to keep in mind that they are polling a few thousand out of about 130 to 140 million potential voters.
If we tell you that the average of national polls had Hillary up on the popular vote by 3% and she won by 2%, you would pretend that she lost the popular vote because illegals. No matter what, you will not accept being stupid.This is one reason why we cant rely on National Polls. Look at how many are polled. 2000? 3000? so divide that among 50 states. What does it come out to? between 40 to 60 votes a state? and thats what we are supposed to go by? Even if they polled 5000 people, its still miniscule to how many were polled in each state. But of course, we have to keep in mind that they are polling a few thousand out of about 130 to 140 million potential voters.
They are somewhat accurate because of the mathrmatics of scientific polling. And the more polls agree, the clearer the signal.This is one reason why we cant rely on National Polls. Look at how many are polled. 2000? 3000? so divide that among 50 states. What does it come out to? between 40 to 60 votes a state? and thats what we are supposed to go by? Even if they polled 5000 people, its still miniscule to how many were polled in each state. But of course, we have to keep in mind that they are polling a few thousand out of about 130 to 140 million potential voters.
