Moore Now Trails By 12

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by Dont Taz Me Bro, Nov 15, 2017.

  1. saveliberty
    Offline

    saveliberty Diamond Member

    Joined:
    Oct 12, 2009
    Messages:
    53,425
    Thanks Received:
    7,890
    Trophy Points:
    1,830
    Ratings:
    +34,978
  2. FA_Q2
    Offline

    FA_Q2 Gold Member

    Joined:
    Dec 12, 2009
    Messages:
    16,203
    Thanks Received:
    2,401
    Trophy Points:
    290
    Location:
    Washington State
    Ratings:
    +5,643
    Because the polls are rather meaningless at this time.

    Polling is entirely based on the pollsters methodology and mathematical calculations based on that methodology to calculate the actual results of the polls. This works when you have a tried and true method polling a standard situation. When you have massive extenuating circumstances that methodology becomes useless because you are no longer dealing with known behaviors but unknown ones that you have no idea how to weight.

    That is what happened with Trump - that race was not standard at all and the methodologies used were no longer effective (no matter how much the pollsters want to blame it on those they polled). Here we have the same problem, the entire race is going to be based on the sex scandal and pollsters do not have any tried and true methods for dealing with the magnitude of this factor.
     
  3. Marion Morrison
    Offline

    Marion Morrison BANNED

    Joined:
    Feb 10, 2017
    Messages:
    26,760
    Thanks Received:
    4,797
    Trophy Points:
    290
    Ratings:
    +26,750
    Is this actual election polls? Or bullshit polls?
     
  4. DarkFury
    Online

    DarkFury FZ LEGEND

    Joined:
    Feb 20, 2015
    Messages:
    26,702
    Thanks Received:
    7,968
    Trophy Points:
    390
    Location:
    Sun, Sand And Palm Trees
    Ratings:
    +38,763
    The local channel TV poll has him up. National polls are very flawed for state races.
     
  5. Flopper
    Offline

    Flopper Gold Member

    Joined:
    Mar 23, 2010
    Messages:
    18,518
    Thanks Received:
    3,289
    Trophy Points:
    280
    Location:
    Washington
    Ratings:
    +7,350
    Polls are incredible accurate at measuring attitudes, opinion, and preferences at a given instant in time. Some preferences such as favorite foods or religion are slow to change. Preference for people that we don't know personally can change quickly, particularly if we don't have strong opinions about them.
     

Share This Page