Moore Now Trails By 12

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by Dont Taz Me Bro, Nov 15, 2017.

  1. saveliberty
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    saveliberty Diamond Member

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  2. FA_Q2
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    FA_Q2 Gold Member

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    Because the polls are rather meaningless at this time.

    Polling is entirely based on the pollsters methodology and mathematical calculations based on that methodology to calculate the actual results of the polls. This works when you have a tried and true method polling a standard situation. When you have massive extenuating circumstances that methodology becomes useless because you are no longer dealing with known behaviors but unknown ones that you have no idea how to weight.

    That is what happened with Trump - that race was not standard at all and the methodologies used were no longer effective (no matter how much the pollsters want to blame it on those they polled). Here we have the same problem, the entire race is going to be based on the sex scandal and pollsters do not have any tried and true methods for dealing with the magnitude of this factor.
     
  3. Marion Morrison
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    Marion Morrison Gold Member

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    Is this actual election polls? Or bullshit polls?
     
  4. DarkFury
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    DarkFury Platinum Member Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    The local channel TV poll has him up. National polls are very flawed for state races.
     
  5. Flopper
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    Flopper Gold Member Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    Polls are incredible accurate at measuring attitudes, opinion, and preferences at a given instant in time. Some preferences such as favorite foods or religion are slow to change. Preference for people that we don't know personally can change quickly, particularly if we don't have strong opinions about them.
     

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