Midterm correction -The Big Shift?

Discussion in 'Politics' started by zzzz, Sep 6, 2010.

?

Mid-term election pospects. What will be the makeup of the house after the election?

  1. No change.

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  2. Democrats lose seats but still control house.

    3 vote(s)
    13.6%
  3. Even split.

    1 vote(s)
    4.5%
  4. Republicans gain control but with slim majority

    11 vote(s)
    50.0%
  5. Republicans gain a 30-50 seat majority in the House

    3 vote(s)
    13.6%
  6. Republicans get true landslide and gain a 51+ majority

    4 vote(s)
    18.2%
  7. Have to put this here too. Democrats imprive on their majority.

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  1. zzzz
    Offline

    zzzz Just a regular American

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2010
    Messages:
    3,072
    Thanks Received:
    422
    Trophy Points:
    98
    Location:
    Yountsville
    Ratings:
    +429
    With every passing day it appears the public is ready to vote against the Democratic majority. Yet when you look at the individual races at the House level there is no reason to expect a massive change in membership. Most of the Representatives are in safe districts and/or face no real opponents. Of the 435 seats 253 are Democrat and 178 Republican. I would venture (generously at that) fewer than 80 seats are really contestable. LetÂ’s say the Republicans get 70% (Again being generous) of these seats, the new total would be 234 Republicans to 201 Democrats. This would result in committee changes and change the overall balance but it would still be a divided House.
     
  2. Baruch Menachem
    Offline

    Baruch Menachem '

    Joined:
    Sep 12, 2008
    Messages:
    14,204
    Thanks Received:
    3,235
    Trophy Points:
    185
    Ratings:
    +3,305
    the messages I am seeing are pretty mixed. The republican keep on loosing even in nominally republican districts, while the Dems are able to keep theirs in the special elections. MA Senate remains an anomaly.

    But the polls keeps saying the people are fed up with the democrats.

    I am wishing for a big move, But I don't see it yet.
     
  3. Annie
    Offline

    Annie Diamond Member

    Joined:
    Nov 22, 2003
    Messages:
    50,847
    Thanks Received:
    4,644
    Trophy Points:
    1,790
    Ratings:
    +4,770
    It seems to me that the people are making it very clear. They don't like either party. They don't like how we're being governed. They don't like the process, they don't like the leaders.

    I think the GOP will win, big. However, they are toadies of all political class. Change is coming and if reasonable people aren't leading, watch out.
     
    • Thank You! Thank You! x 1
  4. The T
    Offline

    The T George S. Patton Party Supporting Member

    Joined:
    May 24, 2009
    Messages:
    48,072
    Thanks Received:
    5,473
    Trophy Points:
    1,773
    Location:
    What USED TO BE A REPUBLIC RUN BY TYRANTS
    Ratings:
    +5,502
    And the BlueBlood Repubican Elitists are being served notice by real Conservatives...not Democrat wannabes like Lindsey Grahamnesty that continues to suck-up to the Tea Partiers.

    The GOP has been served notice...
     
  5. Baruch Menachem
    Offline

    Baruch Menachem '

    Joined:
    Sep 12, 2008
    Messages:
    14,204
    Thanks Received:
    3,235
    Trophy Points:
    185
    Ratings:
    +3,305
    Old line Republicans are loosing badly in primaries all over. Even pretty far right guys like Christ are finding things tough this year with the Republican base.

    It seems the Democratic leadership still seems determined to piss into the hurricane, while the Republicans are trying to ride the tidal wave.

    It is going to be a storm of a year, and I think voters all over the place are in the mood to vote out any rascal they can find.

    Which may mean that Republican may loose a few seats as well.
     
  6. Missourian
    Offline

    Missourian Gold Member

    Joined:
    Aug 30, 2008
    Messages:
    16,281
    Thanks Received:
    4,799
    Trophy Points:
    280
    Location:
    Missouri
    Ratings:
    +8,124
    You should make your polls public. I voted 51+. :D


    When MO-4 is a toss up, the Democrats are in big trouble.


    I've vote FOR Ike Skelton (D) every time he has been up for re-election.

    We moved last year, so he is no longer my representative, but if he was I couldn't vote for him after Healthcare...I think a lot of the blue dogs who voted for Obamacare will be joining the ranks of the unemployed.
     
    Last edited: Sep 6, 2010
  7. rightwinger
    Offline

    rightwinger Paid Messageboard Poster Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2009
    Messages:
    120,245
    Thanks Received:
    19,821
    Trophy Points:
    2,190
    Location:
    NJ & MD
    Ratings:
    +45,328
    I have faith the Republicans will take their perceived lead in September and fuck it up by November

    Their problems come when they actually have to open their mouths and convince people to vote for them
     
  8. code1211
    Offline

    code1211 Senior Member

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2009
    Messages:
    5,999
    Thanks Received:
    845
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Ratings:
    +845

    It will be interesting to see how many Obama Care supporters retain their seats. If the retention rate is very small, it will be interesting to see if Obama Care is reconsidered, amended or de-funded.
     
  9. The T
    Offline

    The T George S. Patton Party Supporting Member

    Joined:
    May 24, 2009
    Messages:
    48,072
    Thanks Received:
    5,473
    Trophy Points:
    1,773
    Location:
    What USED TO BE A REPUBLIC RUN BY TYRANTS
    Ratings:
    +5,502
    No. Wrong answer fishlips. They get in trouble when they act like *you*
     
  10. rightwinger
    Offline

    rightwinger Paid Messageboard Poster Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2009
    Messages:
    120,245
    Thanks Received:
    19,821
    Trophy Points:
    2,190
    Location:
    NJ & MD
    Ratings:
    +45,328
    Nice answer T...your mommy help you with it?

    Problem with the Republicans is everyone loves them until they open their mouths

    Then it becomes...."Can you believe he actually said THAT??"
     

Share This Page