How RCP Counts Wins and Losses(?) FLA #25

Discussion in 'Politics' started by mascale, Oct 28, 2010.

  1. mascale

    mascale VIP Member

    Feb 22, 2009
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    So coming into the final week, the Real Clear Politics counts of races does as follows, Florida District 25:

    10/28/10 -- The Sunshine State poll shows a very, very tight race here, though among the most likely votes, Rivera has a somewhat larger lead. Still, this is not going to be a walk in the park for him, and Garcia could win.

    10/26/10 -- No recent polling here, but given the national environment, you have to like Rivera's chances. Democrats insist that Rivera's problems are great enough to swing the district their way, but we are skeptical

    In the 10/28 Likely Voter poll, the difference between the two candidates is 1% point.

    The only thing certain is that Garcia could win. The poll show fairly luke warm "enthusiasm" overall. The one fellow gets 44% and the other fellow is 43%.

    Ground game politics would actually tend to favor the Democrat, and especially in a race that is tied.

    At Real Clear Politics, this tied race is also, "leans Republican!"

    "Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
    (This is, of course, a Florida election being counted, and polled, which is well-known to be different from any "national environment!" Probably the Democrat wins hands down, if commentators be counted. . .out! As in "What do they know, and when did they know it?:" RCP is actually. . . "skeptical!")
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    Last edited: Oct 28, 2010

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