JoeB131
Diamond Member
With all this discussion about the Presidential Race, we forget that we have a battle for the Senate.
The GOP needs to pick up three seats to get control.
They have 42 seats that are not up, or safe.
Two seats (AZ and IN) are probably leaning GOP. Three seats are considered vulnerable.
(ME, MA, and NV)
The Democrats have 37 Seats that are not up or safe. They have an additional 8 seats that are open but probably safe. They have six seats that are considered vulnerable (FL, MI, MO, MT, VA, WI.) And two seats they are likely to lose (NE and ND).
So best case for the Democrats, they'll pick up one seat. Worst case scenario, they'll lose 8.
So let's get down to cases.
RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for the Senate
NE- Bob Kerrey has entered the race, but he's been gone so long no one really remembers who he is.
ND- Republicans- Easy pickup.
ME- Olympia Snowe declaring the GOP has become too crazy for her opens this safe seat up. Maine's politics are bit quirky, so this could go any way.
NV- Heller is defending Ensign's old seat. Polls show this to be a toss up.
MA- Scott Brown is leading in Polls, but this is MA, which is normally pretty liberal. This is the only real chance for a Dem Pickup.
FL- Nelson has a comfortable lead in most polls. Only Mack gets close Dem Hold.
MI- Not even sure why RCP is counting this as a toss up. Hoekstra has dropped like a rock since he ran a racist ad with a Asian-American Actress during the superbowl.
MO- A toss up. McCaskill is running even gainst GOP opponents.
MT- Tester is probably toast. Rep Pickup.
VA- It's former Governor Kaine against Former Senator Allen. I'd say the Democrats hold this one.
WI- Republicans pick this one up if they go with Tommy Thompson.
So the Dems will definitely pick up one (MA) while the Republicans will pick up (ND, NE, MT and WI) ME, NV, MO are toss ups.
Retaining control of the Senate is doable on it.
The GOP needs to pick up three seats to get control.
They have 42 seats that are not up, or safe.
Two seats (AZ and IN) are probably leaning GOP. Three seats are considered vulnerable.
(ME, MA, and NV)
The Democrats have 37 Seats that are not up or safe. They have an additional 8 seats that are open but probably safe. They have six seats that are considered vulnerable (FL, MI, MO, MT, VA, WI.) And two seats they are likely to lose (NE and ND).
So best case for the Democrats, they'll pick up one seat. Worst case scenario, they'll lose 8.
So let's get down to cases.
RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for the Senate
NE- Bob Kerrey has entered the race, but he's been gone so long no one really remembers who he is.
ND- Republicans- Easy pickup.
ME- Olympia Snowe declaring the GOP has become too crazy for her opens this safe seat up. Maine's politics are bit quirky, so this could go any way.
NV- Heller is defending Ensign's old seat. Polls show this to be a toss up.
MA- Scott Brown is leading in Polls, but this is MA, which is normally pretty liberal. This is the only real chance for a Dem Pickup.
FL- Nelson has a comfortable lead in most polls. Only Mack gets close Dem Hold.
MI- Not even sure why RCP is counting this as a toss up. Hoekstra has dropped like a rock since he ran a racist ad with a Asian-American Actress during the superbowl.
MO- A toss up. McCaskill is running even gainst GOP opponents.
MT- Tester is probably toast. Rep Pickup.
VA- It's former Governor Kaine against Former Senator Allen. I'd say the Democrats hold this one.
WI- Republicans pick this one up if they go with Tommy Thompson.
So the Dems will definitely pick up one (MA) while the Republicans will pick up (ND, NE, MT and WI) ME, NV, MO are toss ups.
Retaining control of the Senate is doable on it.