HIV/AIDS Risk: The Reality

Discussion in 'Health and Lifestyle' started by eagleseven, Dec 2, 2009.

  1. eagleseven
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    eagleseven Quod Erat Demonstrandum

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    If you are the bottom, there is a 0.8% chance you will contract HIV from an HIV+ partner during unprotected anal sex.

    If you are the top, there is a 0.06% chance of contracting HIV from an HIV+ partner during unprotected anal sex. This is similar to the risk of contracting HIV during unprotected vaginal intercourse.

    This probability is reduced to near-zero when condoms are used, as it is when partners have non-penetrative sex.


    So why is HIV still a problem? For two reasons:

    1. Many people avoid condom use.

    2. Humans have a lot of sex. If you sleep with an HIV+ partner every day, 0.8% rapidly compounds into a near-100% risk of contracting HIV.


    As the lead HIV vaccine researcher here often says, "HIV is a preventable disease, if only humans would consistently use protection."

    LAMBDA Volume 28 Issue 3: HIV Panic, Part II - Sexual Transmission and Public Health
     
  2. geauxtohell
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    geauxtohell Choose your weapon.

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    I don't understand, in this day and age, why anyone wouldn't wear protection during intercourse if they aren't in a monogamous relationship (regardless of orientation).

    .8% and .6% is still too high to roll the dice when you consider the outcomes.
     
    Last edited: Dec 2, 2009
  3. waltky
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    waltky Wise ol' monkey Supporting Member

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    Get ready for a new spike in AIDS cases...
    :eek:
    HIV increase in gay men caused by fall in condom use
    15 February 2013 - A modest increase in unprotected sex is enough to erode the benefits of other interventions, researchers said
     
  4. Dante
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    Dante On leave Supporting Member

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    those are only stats.

    some people will get infected within one or a dozen exposures. Think of it like the lottery. I play once in my life. If I buy what turns out to be the winning ticket, fuck the odds. I won on my first try. There are incidences where a person only played once and won.

    Odds are about risk. They guarantee nothing. Possibilities versus probabilities.

    People tell me my chances of being hit by lightning are ________________. I always say no, because I do not golf, I do not swim during storms, and I do not live in a high risk of lightning strike location. My risk is always lower than what generic stats say
    --'

    from my days in public health: Communicable diseases and VD: There is no safe sex, there is safer sex. Many determinant factors come into play. Stating the odds alone is an academic exercise in safe mental masturbation
     
    Last edited: Feb 16, 2013
  5. Dante
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    Dante On leave Supporting Member

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    human nature. people who don't want children have them or are involved in pregnancies. Anyone who thinks like Spock about sex isn't horny
     
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  6. Dante
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    Dante On leave Supporting Member

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    Been out of the picture for years, but I know there is lots of new data that makes your post look ignorant of facts
     
    Last edited: Feb 16, 2013
  7. ArmyCowboy
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    ArmyCowboy The Dark Lord

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    Actually, when discussing mathamatical probability, the .8% chances don't increase based on multiple instances, you just have the same .8% chance EVERY time, so if you do it twenty times, you don't have an 16% chance of getting the virus, you just have 20 .8% chances.:redface:
     
  8. Dante
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    Dante On leave Supporting Member

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    :popcorn:

    An E7 Pissing-contest Free For All?

    (inside humor)
     
    Last edited: Feb 16, 2013
  9. ChloeP80
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    ChloeP80 Member

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    Hard to believe people still take risks but I suppose everyone thinks it wont happen to them. Also, I imagine it's hard to get people to get regular testing. I know lots of people who have never been tested, while I have one friend who tests himself with those online tests, this kind of thing STD Testing | Private and Confidential | Affordable and Accurate and does it a couple of times a year, but then he did have a scare once so maybe that's it, everyone else thinks they're indestructible. Scary stuff though.
     
  10. waltky
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    waltky Wise ol' monkey Supporting Member

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    Granny says if dem young'uns wouldn't havin' sex, dey wouldn't have to worry `bout HIV...

    UNICEF: More Funds Needed to Fight Teen HIV
    December 01, 2016 | WASHINGTON — The U.N. Children’s Fund predicts a 60 percent rise in the number of HIV-positive adolescents by 2030, unless there’s an increase in funding to fight it.
     

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