Gallup 7-Day Tracking Poll Trending Back Toward Other Polls: Romney Now Up Only 5

[mascale]

The Gallup Tracking Poll now proves that in fact it is a statistical event. The Seven-Day tracking poll is trending back toward Obama, like other National Polls. The October Romney Surge has diminished, already. Romney is now a likely voter favorite, 51% of the time(?)! Obama is now a likely voter favorite, 46% of the time(?)!

Election 2012 Likely Voters Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney

People like to say that "Time Flies," just like a bird, or a plane, or. . . ! "Once Upon A Time," however, is probably different--even in poll reporting(?)! Many have suggested that Gallup Seven-Day Tracking was more like that, in recent reports.

The seven day tracking of all registered voters still has Romney up by one.

Mostly, the overnights suggest that Romney blew it again, in the third debate. Surprise! Surprise! To RNC! Apparently the Demorats still have nukes. . . .that Republicans can't seem to find. . . .again!

Someone may eventually suggest that Bush-Cheney also had that problem, in the matter of Iraq(!)

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(White Eyes Now have less smoke and mirrors, now reported: According to The Two Stupid Guys from RNC. . . .Way Too Stupid!)

 

[decker]

The Gallup Tracking Poll now proves that in fact it is a statistical event. The Seven-Day tracking poll is trending back toward Obama, like other National Polls. The October Romney Surge has diminished, already. Romney is now a likely voter favorite, 51% of the time(?)! Obama is now a likely voter favorite, 46% of the time(?)!

Election 2012 Likely Voters Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney

People like to say that "Time Flies," just like a bird, or a plane, or. . . ! "Once Upon A Time," however, is probably different--even in poll reporting(?)! Many have suggested that Gallup Seven-Day Tracking was more like that, in recent reports.

The seven day tracking of all registered voters still has Romney up by one.

Mostly, the overnights suggest that Romney blew it again, in the third debate. Surprise! Surprise! To RNC! Apparently the Demorats still have nukes. . . .that Republicans can't seem to find. . . .again!

Someone may eventually suggest that Bush-Cheney also had that problem, in the matter of Iraq(!)

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(White Eyes Now have less smoke and mirrors, now reported: According to The Two Stupid Guys from RNC. . . .Way Too Stupid!)

well hardly can say surge gone. still 5% up which is still bad for obama if true

i just hope that polls can look better for president in next week or so. he badly needs so mo at moment

 

[mascale]

Mostly in the Gallup October Tracking, debate events seem not to have much influence. Obama started October relatively even. That was probably a reaction to the first debate. Starting on October 15, Obama support deteriorates, even as the campaign is improving. Romney starts improving, suddenly making points. The Embassy attack, however, had been well over a month before. The impact of any ads in the Southern area polling could be an explanation for the mood shift. That could also be an impact of a lack of advertising in the region. Possibly Obama-Biden needed to support their base, and did not, with more ads in the region as a whole!?!

Widely elsewhere noted, Obama consistently wins in the East polling, Midwest polling, and West polling. Then there is the South polling, which is actually majority black in many of the counties. That compares with anywhere else in the United States. The pollling is lopsided pro-Romney, however.

Liberals are traditionally famous for their regard for the black vote. It is widely known to be taken for granted. Likely more attention would have been better been directed at the South, and then let the polling results, even in the South, further demoralize RNC--somehow magically re-ignited in early October. The Hispanic vote likely explains other region outcomes. It is not well known inCalifornia, for example, even if there is a Republican Party anymore. That state could easily find Blue House districts in places never before GOP, this time out! A more Southern-directed Obama campaign may have actually been more helpful, than anyone really will ever know!

Statistics is about methodology. The Gallup polling has lots of separate questions, likely in mostly English, possibly at the brain surgeon level--which allegedly explore voter "intensity." Other factors may actually be in play in Gallup polling, reliant on older ways.

Oct to Oct

Debate Night Below (Obama wins here)
16-22 Obama 46, Romney 51
15-21 Obama 45, Romney 51
14-20 Obama 45, Romney 51
13-19 Obama 45, Romney 51
12-18 Obama 45, Romney 51
11-17 Obama 45, Romney 52
Debate Night Below (Obama Wins Here)
10-16 Obama 45, Romney 51
9-15 Obama 46, Romney 50
8-14 Obama 47, Romney 49
7-13 Obama 47, Romney 49
6-12 Obama 47, Romney 49
Debate Night Below (Biden Wins Here)
5-11 Obama 47, Romney 49
4-10 Obama 47, Romney 48
3-9 Obama 48, Romney 48
2-8 Obama 47, Romney 49
1-7 Obama 48, Romney 48

 

[decker]

Mostly in the Gallup October Tracking, debate events seem not to have much influence. Obama started October relatively even. That was probably a reaction to the first debate. Starting on October 15, Obama support deteriorates, even as the campaign is improving. Romney starts improving, suddenly making points. The Embassy attack, however, had been well over a month before. The impact of any ads in the Southern area polling could be an explanation for the mood shift. That could also be an impact of a lack of advertising in the region. Possibly Obama-Biden needed to support their base, and did not, with more ads in the region as a whole!?!

Widely elsewhere noted, Obama consistently wins in the East polling, Midwest polling, and West polling. Then there is the South polling, which is actually majority black in many of the counties. That compares with anywhere else in the United States. The pollling is lopsided pro-Romney, however.

Liberals are traditionally famous for their regard for the black vote. It is widely known to be taken for granted. Likely more attention would have been better been directed at the South, and then let the polling results, even in the South, further demoralize RNC--somehow magically re-ignited in early October. The Hispanic vote likely explains other region outcomes. It is not well known inCalifornia, for example, even if there is a Republican Party anymore. That state could easily find Blue House districts in places never before GOP, this time out! A more Southern-directed Obama campaign may have actually been more helpful, than anyone really will ever know!

Statistics is about methodology. The Gallup polling has lots of separate questions, likely in mostly English, possibly at the brain surgeon level--which allegedly explore voter "intensity." Other factors may actually be in play in Gallup polling, reliant on older ways.

Oct to Oct

Debate Night Below (Obama wins here)
16-22 Obama 46, Romney 51
15-21 Obama 45, Romney 51
14-20 Obama 45, Romney 51
13-19 Obama 45, Romney 51
12-18 Obama 45, Romney 51
11-17 Obama 45, Romney 52
Debate Night Below (Obama Wins Here)
10-16 Obama 45, Romney 51
9-15 Obama 46, Romney 50
8-14 Obama 47, Romney 49
7-13 Obama 47, Romney 49
6-12 Obama 47, Romney 49
Debate Night Below (Biden Wins Here)
5-11 Obama 47, Romney 49
4-10 Obama 47, Romney 48
3-9 Obama 48, Romney 48
2-8 Obama 47, Romney 49
1-7 Obama 48, Romney 48

major promblem for obama this time is turn out. guy on bbc news 24 said gop really hate obama even if they don,t love romney so will go out and vote. dems like obama but not sure turn out be same as 2008 levels.

dems need push harder then they ever have before at getting people out to vote

 

[mascale]

One way to cut into the Conservative GOP voting base is with a strong showing in foreign affairs. Romney, instead, has become an internet laughing stock. Romney-Ryan are not even up on defense issues dating back to 1917(?)!

Usually that is hard to pull off, in so short a time-frame. CNN insta-poll found Obama to be the Foreign Policy debate winner. The CNN insta-poll also found Obama a lopsidedly decisive Foreign Policy debate winner. What RNC was using to create support for their Two Stupid Guys, Way Too Stupid: Was suddenly turned around. . . .more or less like liberals may have just suggested!

Poll: Decisive win for Obama in final debate - CBS News

Next come the newscasts, analysts and commedians. Instead of just advertising, there is likely now being directed an assault on Core Conservative Agena: Just as the outcome of the Romney poor showing. Conservatives are now shown weak on defense, anti-terrorism, and on anything other than Obama Foreign Policy, and Defense. "Whatever he said," turns the "Obama Concept into a "favorable" rating on leadership capability among Conservatives: Likely more than any ad campaign can do. Conservatives tend to be swayed by ratings like that.

"Fantacize-Along-With-Fox-TV-News" even admits to being more concerned with "ratings(?)m over actual content(?). . . .or something!

On the one hand, debate one created a decidedly lopsided Romney advantage. Then Debates Two and Three stemmed the October Romney surge. That leaves Debate Number Four as the "other hand" springboard into the final two weeks.

Firstly, Secretary Clinton not only took the blame for the embassy attack assessments, but alluded to "Security Professionals" in explaining how the assessments of the embassy attack were created. She might as well have said that General Petraeus was in charge, to Conservatives in the South. Indirectly, Obama likely even gets credit for turning Pakistan into an anti-Taliban hotbed, even though the Pakistani little girl took the actual hit. Pakistan support of the Taliban has been a foreign policy problem, up until the recent few weeks. Now it is way less, and Obama is in Office. Romney is left with, "Whatever He Said!"

News events may now be starting to get their play, in the Conservative GOP base. That could turn the Gallup Tracking findings: Way more than would be expected.

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(White Eyes now shown to have less smoke and mirrors than in 1917: Means That Lands of Many Nations can be regained--maybe as early as Tuesday--like they say at RNC(?)!"

 

[Zander]

ahh, more self soothing by discouraged liberals....

 

[hazlnut]

Remember, according to the GOP, Rape is God's will.

 

[Zander]

Remember, according to the GOP, Rape is God's will.

You really need to take some anti-troll meds....

 

[candycorn]

Anyone else seen JRK lately?

 

[JoeB131]

Gallup is down to 4 yesterday.

There are two problems with Gallup. One is that they've been in a long pissing contest with Obama's DoJ because a whistle-blower inside Gallup dropped a dime on them for overcharging the government for services.

Margin of error: DOJ sues Gallup - Mackenzie Weinger - POLITICO.com

The other is that their sample method assumes the electorate is going to be 79% white, when in 2004, it was only 74% and most believe it will only be about 72% this time. This, incidently is not the method that Gallup uses to determine presidential approval, where 51% actually approve of the job Obama is doing.

 

[decker]

Gallup is down to 4 yesterday.

There are two problems with Gallup. One is that they've been in a long pissing contest with Obama's DoJ because a whistle-blower inside Gallup dropped a dime on them for overcharging the government for services.

Margin of error: DOJ sues Gallup - Mackenzie Weinger - POLITICO.com

The other is that their sample method assumes the electorate is going to be 79% white, when in 2004, it was only 74% and most believe it will only be about 72% this time. This, incidently is not the method that Gallup uses to determine presidential approval, where 51% actually approve of the job Obama is doing.

well i just hope that the gallup poll wrong.

 

[mascale]

For the report issued October 24, the Gallup Tracking has turned to Plus One Obama, putting Obama back in the national lead again!

Gallup Presidential Election Trial Heat Results: Barack Obama vs. Mitt Romney

So as opposed to an RNC Rape-Supportive Deity In America: There can be said to be a television screen, somewhere in America!

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(There are Now Two Of The Rape-Supportive Lunatics running for Senate in the RNC! Many not voting for Hollywood film, security protection ordinance, in City of Los Angeles polling, either(?)! Anyone concludes that in Hollywood, Sex can be fun! At RNC: It is the Violence Against Women that is actualy a whole lot better(?): Even Deity Supported(?)! That they likely to put into the school(?)!)

 

[mascale]

So elsewhere it is noted that there must be a television screen, somewhere in America: And not entirely as rape-supportive as is the Deity(?) of at least one national political party that anyone can think of(?)! The trend back to Obama is now +4 in two days, with Romney leading only +3 in the national tracking.

Election 2012 Likely Voters Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney

The impact of the new RNC push to support Rape--and to explain in the public schools that the real Deity is supportive of rape: Has yet to even be counted in the tracking polls.

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(And the Hollywood Filming Security Protection measure--as Hollywood understands the Security Protection concept--has its own version of dubious outcome(?)! There are never any attack-ads around: When most people would be happy to see some(?)! Publicists Today(?)!)

 

[Zarius]

So elsewhere it is noted that there must be a television screen, somewhere in America: And not entirely as rape-supportive as is the Deity(?) of at least one national political party that anyone can think of(?)! The trend back to Obama is now +4 in two days, with Romney leading only +3 in the national tracking.

Election 2012 Likely Voters Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney

The impact of the new RNC push to support Rape--and to explain in the public schools that the real Deity is supportive of rape: Has yet to even be counted in the tracking polls.

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(And the Hollywood Filming Security Protection measure--as Hollywood understands the Security Protection concept--has its own version of dubious outcome(?)! There are never any attack-ads around: When most people would be happy to see some(?)! Publicists Today(?)!)

Plus his job approval

 

[auditor0007]

The Gallup Tracking Poll now proves that in fact it is a statistical event. The Seven-Day tracking poll is trending back toward Obama, like other National Polls. The October Romney Surge has diminished, already. Romney is now a likely voter favorite, 51% of the time(?)! Obama is now a likely voter favorite, 46% of the time(?)!

Election 2012 Likely Voters Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney

People like to say that "Time Flies," just like a bird, or a plane, or. . . ! "Once Upon A Time," however, is probably different--even in poll reporting(?)! Many have suggested that Gallup Seven-Day Tracking was more like that, in recent reports.

The seven day tracking of all registered voters still has Romney up by one.

Mostly, the overnights suggest that Romney blew it again, in the third debate. Surprise! Surprise! To RNC! Apparently the Demorats still have nukes. . . .that Republicans can't seem to find. . . .again!

Someone may eventually suggest that Bush-Cheney also had that problem, in the matter of Iraq(!)

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(White Eyes Now have less smoke and mirrors, now reported: According to The Two Stupid Guys from RNC. . . .Way Too Stupid!)

Gallup is now down to Romney up by three. This means he has lost four percentage points in two days, meaning that during the last two days, Obama has been polling higher than Romney as they only poll about 385 people per day, giving you a sampling of 2700 over seven days. If they get the same kind of numbers over the next few days as they have the last two, it will show Obama receiving about 53% of the vote, leaving Romney down at least seven points. Now, there is no guarantee that Obama will continue to poll at the same level as he has the last two days, but the fact is that Gallup polling has Obama up over the last two days.

 

[Dr.House]

Do the libs like Gallup again?

What a fickle bunch...

 

[Dr.House]

The Gallup Tracking Poll now proves that in fact it is a statistical event. The Seven-Day tracking poll is trending back toward Obama, like other National Polls. The October Romney Surge has diminished, already. Romney is now a likely voter favorite, 51% of the time(?)! Obama is now a likely voter favorite, 46% of the time(?)!

Election 2012 Likely Voters Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney

People like to say that "Time Flies," just like a bird, or a plane, or. . . ! "Once Upon A Time," however, is probably different--even in poll reporting(?)! Many have suggested that Gallup Seven-Day Tracking was more like that, in recent reports.

The seven day tracking of all registered voters still has Romney up by one.

Mostly, the overnights suggest that Romney blew it again, in the third debate. Surprise! Surprise! To RNC! Apparently the Demorats still have nukes. . . .that Republicans can't seem to find. . . .again!

Someone may eventually suggest that Bush-Cheney also had that problem, in the matter of Iraq(!)

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(White Eyes Now have less smoke and mirrors, now reported: According to The Two Stupid Guys from RNC. . . .Way Too Stupid!)

Gallup is now down to Romney up by three. This means he has lost four percentage points in two days, meaning that during the last two days, Obama has been polling higher than Romney as they only poll about 385 people per day, giving you a sampling of 2700 over seven days. If they get the same kind of numbers over the next few days as they have the last two, it will show Obama receiving about 53% of the vote, leaving Romney down at least seven points. Now, there is no guarantee that Obama will continue to poll at the same level as he has the last two days, but the fact is that Gallup polling has Obama up over the last two days.

Back up to +5 Romney today....

You can go back to hating Gallup again...

 

[Zander]

The Gallup Tracking Poll now proves that in fact it is a statistical event. The Seven-Day tracking poll is trending back toward Obama, like other National Polls. The October Romney Surge has diminished, already. Romney is now a likely voter favorite, 51% of the time(?)! Obama is now a likely voter favorite, 46% of the time(?)!

Election 2012 Likely Voters Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney

People like to say that "Time Flies," just like a bird, or a plane, or. . . ! "Once Upon A Time," however, is probably different--even in poll reporting(?)! Many have suggested that Gallup Seven-Day Tracking was more like that, in recent reports.

The seven day tracking of all registered voters still has Romney up by one.

Mostly, the overnights suggest that Romney blew it again, in the third debate. Surprise! Surprise! To RNC! Apparently the Demorats still have nukes. . . .that Republicans can't seem to find. . . .again!

Someone may eventually suggest that Bush-Cheney also had that problem, in the matter of Iraq(!)

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(White Eyes Now have less smoke and mirrors, now reported: According to The Two Stupid Guys from RNC. . . .Way Too Stupid!)

Gallup is now down to Romney up by three. This means he has lost four percentage points in two days, meaning that during the last two days, Obama has been polling higher than Romney as they only poll about 385 people per day, giving you a sampling of 2700 over seven days. If they get the same kind of numbers over the next few days as they have the last two, it will show Obama receiving about 53% of the vote, leaving Romney down at least seven points. Now, there is no guarantee that Obama will continue to poll at the same level as he has the last two days, but the fact is that Gallup polling has Obama up over the last two days.

Back up to +5 Romney today....

You can go back to hating Gallup again...

They'll always have NATE SILVER BOY GENIUS!!! to blame....

 

[Trajan]

The Gallup Tracking Poll now proves that in fact it is a statistical event. The Seven-Day tracking poll is trending back toward Obama, like other National Polls. The October Romney Surge has diminished, already. Romney is now a likely voter favorite, 51% of the time(?)! Obama is now a likely voter favorite, 46% of the time(?)!

Election 2012 Likely Voters Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney

People like to say that "Time Flies," just like a bird, or a plane, or. . . ! "Once Upon A Time," however, is probably different--even in poll reporting(?)! Many have suggested that Gallup Seven-Day Tracking was more like that, in recent reports.

The seven day tracking of all registered voters still has Romney up by one.

Mostly, the overnights suggest that Romney blew it again, in the third debate. Surprise! Surprise! To RNC! Apparently the Demorats still have nukes. . . .that Republicans can't seem to find. . . .again!

Someone may eventually suggest that Bush-Cheney also had that problem, in the matter of Iraq(!)

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(White Eyes Now have less smoke and mirrors, now reported: According to The Two Stupid Guys from RNC. . . .Way Too Stupid!)

on this day 4 years ago, gallup had obama up by 5 over McCain. the electorate is simply not the same now, as it was the.......

 

[mascale]

During the Swing from Gallup LV Romney up 7, to Romney Up 3, To Romney Up 5: The Registered Voter Tracking was Romney slighty up, to Obama Slightly up, to the most recent "tied" between the two.

Gallup LV overstated the 2010 GOP national vote plurality by about 150% of actual outcome. Generally, the Gallup Registered Voter Tracking tends to be the more reliable predictor.

Why Do The Gallup Poll's Likely Voter Results Differ From The Rest?

The matter for now is that Romney continuing "momentum" would have to be at an eight or more plurality. Other tracking, such as Rasmussen or ABC-Washington Post, are trending back to "tied" at the national level: At the LV tracking levels.

ABC-Washington Post is at below 50% for both candidates, just out today. The Romney voter preference increase of momentum has been stopped during the week, and may be reversing back to Obama. The trend of national events is back to pro-Obama.

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(General Eisenhower was no friend of Adolph Hitler and the Nazis, and so General Powell notes that Romney RNC is actually supportive of the GOP Extremist, (pro-rape) candidates, in public advertising! Romney Campaign Chairman therefore claims to have proof that Colin Powell is both colored, and from Nairob(?)i!)